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Stock Analysis & ValuationEltes Co.,Ltd. (3967.T)

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¥682.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, ¥Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)2747445.50402751
Intrinsic value (DCF)44362.856405
Graham-Dodd Methodn/a
Graham Formulan/a
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Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Eltes Co., Ltd. is a Tokyo-based technology company specializing in AI-driven security, digital risk management, and digital transformation (DX) solutions in Japan. Founded in 2004, the company provides a comprehensive suite of services, including social and internal risk management, online reputation management, digital credit solutions, and e-Government security services. Eltes leverages AI and IoT to enhance physical security and DX promotion within the security industry. Additionally, it supports administrative digitization for residents, dispatches DX engineers, and manages property services. The company’s multi-layered approach addresses both preemptive risk avoidance and post-crisis response, positioning it as a key player in Japan’s growing cybersecurity and DX markets. With a focus on innovation and regulatory compliance, Eltes caters to businesses and government entities navigating Japan’s digital evolution.

Investment Summary

Eltes Co., Ltd. operates in the high-growth sectors of AI security and digital transformation, benefiting from Japan’s increasing demand for cybersecurity and regulatory compliance solutions. However, the company reported a net loss of ¥860 million in its latest fiscal year, raising concerns about profitability despite ¥7.3 billion in revenue. Positive operating cash flow (¥587 million) and a solid cash position (¥2.5 billion) provide liquidity, but high total debt (¥4.2 billion) and negative EPS (-¥142.61) signal financial strain. The stock’s low beta (0.736) suggests relative stability, but its lack of dividends and competitive pressures in Japan’s tech sector may deter risk-averse investors. Long-term potential hinges on its ability to monetize AI-driven security solutions and expand its DX services.

Competitive Analysis

Eltes competes in Japan’s fragmented cybersecurity and DX market, where differentiation through AI integration is critical. Its niche in social risk management and e-Government services provides a defensible position, but larger rivals dominate broader enterprise security. The company’s dual focus on security and DX aligns with Japan’s regulatory push for digitalization, but execution risks persist due to its negative profitability. Competitors with deeper R&D budgets (e.g., Trend Micro) could outpace Eltes in AI innovation, while domestic IT service firms (e.g., NTT Data) offer overlapping DX solutions. Eltes’ strength lies in localized, compliance-heavy offerings, but scalability beyond Japan remains untested. Its debt load may limit aggressive expansion, requiring disciplined cost management to achieve sustainable margins.

Major Competitors

  • Trend Micro Inc. (4704.T): Trend Micro is a global leader in cybersecurity, with strong cloud and enterprise solutions. Its scale and R&D resources dwarf Eltes’, but it lacks Eltes’ niche focus on Japanese regulatory and social risk management. Trend’s profitability (positive net income) contrasts with Eltes’ losses, though its growth in Japan is slower due to saturation.
  • NTT Data Corporation (9613.T): NTT Data dominates Japan’s IT services, including DX and cybersecurity. Its vast client network and government ties pose a threat to Eltes’ e-Government segment. However, NTT’s bureaucratic structure may limit agility in AI-driven security, where Eltes can compete with specialized solutions.
  • Rakuten Symphony Inc. (4755.T): Rakuten Symphony focuses on telecom and cloud security, overlapping with Eltes’ IoT offerings. Its parent company’s ecosystem provides cross-selling opportunities, but Eltes’ standalone reputation management services are more tailored to non-telecom clients.
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