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Stock Analysis & ValuationNantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co.,Ltd. (600389.SS)

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$27.42
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)23.29-15
Intrinsic value (DCF)8.92-67
Graham-Dodd Method6.93-75
Graham Formula7.61-72

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co., Ltd. is a prominent Chinese agrochemical manufacturer specializing in the production and distribution of crop protection products and industrial chemicals. Headquartered in Nantong, China, the company operates in the basic materials sector with a diverse portfolio including herbicides (glyphosate, acetochlor), insecticides (dichlorvos, imidaclothiz), fungicides, and various chemical intermediates. The company serves both domestic and international markets, exporting to 40 countries across Asia, Europe, the Americas, and Africa. As a key player in China's agricultural chemical industry, Nantong Jiangshan leverages its integrated chemical production capabilities to serve the growing global demand for crop protection solutions. The company's product range also includes specialty chemicals like flame retardants and insulating materials, demonstrating diversification beyond traditional agrochemicals. With China's position as a global agrochemical production hub, Nantong Jiangshan represents an important supplier in the worldwide agricultural value chain.

Investment Summary

Nantong Jiangshan presents a mixed investment profile with several concerning financial metrics. While the company maintains a reasonable market position in China's agrochemical sector with international export reach, its financial performance raises significant concerns. The company reported negative free cash flow (operating cash flow of CNY 347 million minus capital expenditures of CNY -1.26 billion), indicating substantial investment requirements that exceed operational cash generation. With a net income margin of approximately 4.1% and diluted EPS of CNY 0.52, profitability appears modest in a competitive industry. The debt level of CNY 1.51 billion against cash reserves of CNY 1.13 billion suggests adequate but not strong liquidity. The beta of 0.717 indicates lower volatility than the broader market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors, but the overall financial picture suggests caution until the company demonstrates improved cash flow generation and return on invested capital.

Competitive Analysis

Nantong Jiangshan operates in the highly competitive global agrochemical market, where it faces pressure from both multinational giants and domestic Chinese producers. The company's competitive positioning is primarily as a mid-tier producer with strength in generic agrochemicals, particularly glyphosate and other herbicides. Its integrated production capabilities for chemical intermediates provide some cost advantages, allowing backward integration into raw materials. However, the company lacks the research and development scale of global leaders, limiting its ability to develop proprietary products and higher-margin solutions. The export reach to 40 countries demonstrates distribution capabilities, but likely focuses on price-sensitive markets rather than premium segments. The company's diversification into fine chemicals and specialty materials represents a strategic move to reduce reliance on cyclical agrochemical markets, though these segments likely contribute minimally to overall revenue. In the Chinese domestic market, the company benefits from local manufacturing presence and understanding of regulatory requirements, but faces intense competition from numerous similar-sized producers. The negative free cash flow suggests the company may be investing heavily to maintain or improve its competitive position, potentially through capacity expansion or efficiency improvements, but this creates financial strain in the short to medium term.

Major Competitors

  • Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical Co., Ltd. (600486.SS): Yangnong Chemical is a major domestic competitor with stronger financial metrics and broader product portfolio. The company has significant production capacity for pyrethroid insecticides and other agrochemicals, with better R&D capabilities. Yangnong typically demonstrates higher profitability margins and more stable cash flow generation compared to Nantong Jiangshan. Their stronger market position in specific insecticide segments represents a competitive challenge.
  • Jiangsu Huifeng Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (000553.SZ): Huifeng Agrochemical operates in similar product categories including herbicides and insecticides. The company has faced regulatory challenges in recent years but maintains significant production capacity. Compared to Nantong Jiangshan, Huifeng has experienced more volatility in financial performance but maintains competitive production costs. Both companies compete in export markets with similar generic product offerings.
  • Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (603077.SS): Guoguang Agrochemical specializes in glyphosate and other herbicides, making it a direct competitor in Nantong Jiangshan's core product categories. The company has strong production capabilities and competitive manufacturing costs. Guoguang typically demonstrates solid export performance and may have better margins in certain herbicide segments due to specialized focus and scale advantages.
  • Syngenta AG (SYT): As a global agrochemical giant recently acquired by ChemChina, Syngenta represents the premium end of competition with extensive R&D capabilities and proprietary products. While not directly competing on price in generic segments, Syngenta's technological advantage and global distribution network set industry standards. The company's presence in China through its ChemChina ownership creates both competitive pressure and potential partnership opportunities for domestic players like Nantong Jiangshan.
  • Corteva, Inc. (CTVA): Corteva is a global agricultural science leader spun off from DowDuPont, with strong positions in seeds and crop protection. The company's integrated approach and proprietary technology portfolio represent a different competitive tier than Nantong Jiangshan. However, in generic product segments, Corteva's scale and global distribution create significant competitive pressure. Their focus on innovation and higher-margin products contrasts with Nantong Jiangshan's generic-focused strategy.
  • Bayer AG (BAYRY): Bayer's crop science division, particularly following the Monsanto acquisition, is a global leader in seeds and crop protection. The company dominates certain herbicide categories including glyphosate (Roundup), competing directly with Nantong Jiangshan's generic offerings. Bayer's massive R&D budget and intellectual property portfolio create significant barriers to entry in innovative products, though Chinese manufacturers compete effectively in generic segments through cost advantages.
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