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Stock Analysis & ValuationChangzhou Tenglong AutoPartsCo.,Ltd. (603158.SS)

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$10.36
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)24.92141
Intrinsic value (DCF)41.30299
Graham-Dodd Method3.49-66
Graham Formula11.6613

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Changzhou Tenglong AutoParts Co., Ltd. is a prominent Chinese automotive components manufacturer specializing in thermal management systems and precision auto parts. Founded in 1997 and headquartered in Changzhou, China, the company has established itself as a key supplier in the automotive supply chain with a comprehensive product portfolio including air-conditioning pipelines, heat exchange connecting tubes, auto sensors, EGR cooling parts, and precision aluminum tubes. Operating in the Consumer Cyclical sector's Auto-Parts industry, Tenglong serves both domestic Chinese automakers and international markets through exports to North America, South America, Europe, Japan, and South Asia. The company's vertically integrated manufacturing capabilities and R&D focus on thermal management solutions position it strategically within the evolving automotive landscape, particularly as vehicle electrification drives demand for sophisticated cooling and thermal control systems. With nearly three decades of industry experience, Tenglong leverages its technical expertise to maintain competitive positioning in the rapidly growing Asian automotive market while expanding its global footprint through quality-driven export relationships.

Investment Summary

Changzhou Tenglong AutoParts presents a mixed investment profile with several positive indicators offset by notable concerns. The company demonstrates reasonable profitability with net income of CNY 249.8 million on revenue of CNY 3.81 billion, translating to a 6.5% net margin. The low beta of 0.368 suggests defensive characteristics relative to market volatility, potentially appealing to risk-averse investors. However, concerning aspects include weak cash flow generation with operating cash flow of CNY 224.2 million barely covering capital expenditures of CNY 214.3 million, indicating limited financial flexibility. The debt position of CNY 959.4 million against cash reserves of CNY 385.8 million raises liquidity concerns, while the modest dividend yield reflects conservative capital allocation. The company's exposure to the competitive Chinese auto parts market and dependence on automotive industry cycles present additional risk factors that require careful monitoring.

Competitive Analysis

Changzhou Tenglong AutoParts operates in the highly competitive Chinese automotive components sector, where its competitive positioning is defined by specialized expertise in thermal management systems rather than broad-based auto parts manufacturing. The company's primary competitive advantage lies in its focused product portfolio centered on air-conditioning pipelines, heat exchange components, and precision tubes – areas requiring specialized manufacturing capabilities and technical knowledge. This specialization allows Tenglong to develop deep customer relationships with automakers seeking reliable thermal management solutions. However, the company faces significant scale disadvantages compared to larger Chinese auto parts conglomerates that benefit from economies of scale and broader product offerings. Tenglong's export business to international markets provides diversification benefits but exposes it to global competition and trade dynamics. The company's moderate market capitalization of CNY 5.43 billion positions it as a mid-tier player in the fragmented Chinese auto parts industry. Its competitive sustainability depends on maintaining technological relevance, particularly as vehicle electrification transforms thermal management requirements. While Tenglong's nearly 30-year industry presence provides established customer relationships and manufacturing experience, it must continuously innovate to compete against both domestic specialists and international component suppliers expanding in the Chinese market. The company's focus on quality and specialization represents its key differentiation strategy in a market dominated by both large diversified suppliers and smaller niche players.

Major Competitors

  • Fuyao Glass Industry Group Co., Ltd. (600660.SS): Fuyao Glass is the dominant Chinese automotive glass manufacturer with global scale advantages. While not directly competing in thermal management components, Fuyao represents the scale and diversification that Tenglong lacks. Fuyao's strengths include massive production capacity, international presence, and strong automaker relationships. However, its focus on glass rather than thermal systems means Tenglong maintains specialization advantages in its core product categories.
  • Zhejiang Silver Elephant Auto Parts Co., Ltd. (002126.SZ): Silver Elephant specializes in automotive rubber parts including cooling system components, creating partial overlap with Tenglong's thermal management offerings. The company competes in similar product segments with strengths in rubber manufacturing technology and domestic market penetration. However, Silver Elephant's focus on rubber-based components versus Tenglong's metal-based thermal systems creates differentiated competitive positioning, with each company maintaining technical specializations.
  • Anhui Zhongding Sealing Parts Co., Ltd. (000887.SZ): Zhongding is a major automotive sealing components manufacturer with broader product range and larger scale than Tenglong. The company's strengths include comprehensive sealing solutions and strong OEM relationships. While not directly competing in pipeline systems, Zhongding's scale and diversification represent the competitive pressure Tenglong faces from larger auto parts suppliers. Zhongding's weakness relative to Tenglong is less specialized expertise in thermal management-specific components.
  • Tongda Auto Parts Co., Ltd. (601689.SS): Tongda specializes in automotive heat exchange systems including radiators and air conditioning components, creating direct competition with Tenglong's core business. Tongda's strengths include comprehensive heat exchange product portfolio and established manufacturing capabilities. The company represents Tenglong's most direct competitor in thermal management systems, with both companies vying for similar automotive customers. Tongda's larger scale may provide cost advantages, while Tenglong's focused approach may offer technical specialization benefits.
  • Songz Automobile Air Conditioning Co., Ltd. (002454.SZ): Songz specializes in automotive air conditioning systems, directly competing with Tenglong's pipeline and component offerings. The company's strengths include complete AC system capabilities and strong technical expertise. Songz represents vertical integration competition, offering complete systems rather than components. This creates competitive pressure on Tenglong's component-focused business model, though Tenglong may benefit from supplying multiple system integrators rather than competing directly with them.
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