| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial intelligence (AI) | 28.57 | 64 |
| Intrinsic value (DCF) | 21.87 | 25 |
| Graham-Dodd Method | 4.45 | -75 |
| Graham Formula | 2.50 | -86 |
Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain System Co., Ltd. is a specialized Chinese automotive components manufacturer focused on powertrain systems. Headquartered in Ningbo, China, the company operates as a subsidiary of Ningbo Shenglong Group Co., Ltd. and has established itself as a key supplier in the automotive value chain. Shenglong's core product portfolio includes engine oil pumps, transmission oil pumps, transfer case oil pumps, vacuum pumps, and various other pump products essential for vehicle operation. Additionally, the company manufactures casting, forged, and assembled camshafts along with other critical transmission components. Serving both domestic Chinese and international automotive markets, Shenglong plays a vital role in the automotive manufacturing ecosystem by providing essential powertrain components to vehicle manufacturers. As China continues to be the world's largest automotive market, the company benefits from its strategic position within this massive industrial sector. The automotive components industry represents a critical segment of the consumer cyclical sector, with demand closely tied to vehicle production volumes and automotive industry health. Shenglong's specialization in powertrain systems positions it at the heart of automotive technology development, particularly as the industry evolves toward electrification and more efficient internal combustion engines.
Ningbo Shenglong presents a mixed investment profile with several concerning financial metrics. The company operates with extremely thin margins, as evidenced by net income of just 29.75 million CNY on revenue of 1.62 billion CNY, representing a net margin of approximately 1.8%. This indicates significant pricing pressure and competitive challenges in the automotive components sector. The negative beta of -0.455 suggests the stock moves counter to broader market trends, which could provide diversification benefits but also indicates unusual volatility patterns. While the company maintains a reasonable debt level with total debt of 249.4 million CNY against cash of 158.9 million CNY, the negative operating cash flow of 18.3 million CNY combined with substantial capital expenditures of -144.6 million CNY raises concerns about cash generation and investment efficiency. The modest dividend yield of 0.04 CNY per share provides some income, but the overall financial performance suggests the company faces significant operational challenges in a highly competitive automotive supply chain environment.
Ningbo Shenglong operates in the highly competitive automotive components sector, specifically focused on powertrain systems where it faces intense pressure from both domestic Chinese suppliers and international competitors. The company's competitive positioning is challenged by its relatively small scale compared to global automotive suppliers, with a market capitalization of approximately 4.82 billion CNY. Shenglong's specialization in oil pumps and camshafts represents a niche focus within the broader powertrain components market, which may provide some insulation from broader competition but also limits growth opportunities. The automotive components industry is characterized by significant pricing pressure from OEMs, requiring suppliers to continuously improve efficiency and reduce costs. Shenglong's thin profit margins suggest it lacks significant pricing power or technological differentiation that would allow it to command premium pricing. The company's position as part of the Ningbo Shenglong Group provides some stability through potential intra-group business, but also creates dependency risks. As the automotive industry transitions toward electrification, Shenglong's traditional internal combustion engine-focused product portfolio faces long-term structural challenges, requiring strategic adaptation to remain relevant. The company's international operations provide some geographic diversification but likely represent a small portion of overall business given China's dominant automotive market position. Competitive advantages appear limited to regional manufacturing presence and established customer relationships rather than proprietary technology or scale efficiencies.