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Stock Analysis & ValuationZhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co.,Ltd (603867.SS)

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$28.81
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)40.1339
Intrinsic value (DCF)12.35-57
Graham-Dodd Method9.25-68
Graham Formula26.92-7

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co., Ltd. is a prominent Chinese chemical manufacturer with a legacy dating back to 1967, headquartered in Jiande, Zhejiang Province. Operating within the Basic Materials sector, the company specializes in the production and trade of a diverse portfolio of chemical products, serving both domestic Chinese and international markets. Xinhua Chemical's core offerings include fatty amines, organic solvents, flavors, hydrogen peroxide organic amine series, and various inorganic chemicals. The company has further diversified into specialty segments such as aroma chemicals (including turpentine oil derivatives and sandal series) and fine chemicals like peroxide series and synthetic ammonia. This diversified product range positions Xinhua Chemical as a versatile player in the chemical industry, catering to various downstream applications. Listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, the company leverages its long-standing operational experience and integrated manufacturing capabilities to maintain its market position. The chemical industry in China is characterized by intense competition and evolving regulatory standards, requiring continuous innovation and operational efficiency, areas where Xinhua Chemical's established presence provides a foundational advantage.

Investment Summary

Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical presents a mixed investment profile characterized by moderate profitability and a conservative financial structure. For FY 2024, the company reported revenue of approximately CNY 2.97 billion and net income of CNY 226.9 million, translating to a diluted EPS of CNY 1.17 and a net profit margin of around 7.6%. A key positive is the company's low beta of 0.26, suggesting lower volatility compared to the broader market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors. The balance sheet shows a manageable debt level (CNY 770 million) relative to cash holdings (CNY 756 million), indicating a reasonable liquidity position. However, the investment case is tempered by modest cash flow generation (operating cash flow of CNY 311 million) and significant capital expenditures (CNY -225 million), which may pressure free cash flow. The dividend per share of CNY 0.45 offers a yield, but overall growth prospects appear constrained by the competitive nature of the chemical industry. The primary investment appeal lies in its stability and niche product segments, but investors should weigh this against the challenges of margin compression and the capital-intensive nature of the business.

Competitive Analysis

Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical operates in the highly fragmented and competitive Chinese chemical industry. Its competitive positioning is defined by a diversified but not necessarily dominant product portfolio spanning fatty amines, solvents, and aroma chemicals. The company's advantages likely stem from its long history (founded in 1967), which implies established production processes, customer relationships, and regional brand recognition within China. Its product diversification across multiple chemical segments provides some insulation against downturns in any single market. However, Xinhua Chemical's scale is modest compared to domestic chemical giants, which limits its bargaining power for raw materials and its ability to compete on price in commoditized products. The company's focus on specialties like aroma chemicals and custom chemicals is a strategic differentiator, but it likely faces intense competition from both larger integrated chemical companies and smaller, more agile specialty chemical producers. Its international operations, mentioned in the description, suggest an effort to diversify geographically, but the extent and success of this expansion are unclear from the provided data. The company's low beta indicates it is not perceived as a high-growth, high-risk player, but rather as a stable, established operator. Ultimately, Xinhua Chemical's competitive edge appears to be its longevity and broad-based product offering within its mid-tier scale, rather than a clear technological or cost leadership position in any specific niche. Its future success will depend on its ability to efficiently manage operations and selectively invest in higher-margin specialty products.

Major Competitors

  • Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. (600309.SS): Wanhua Chemical is a global leader in MDI (methylene diphenyl diisocyanate) production and a major diversified chemical company. Its immense scale, strong R&D capabilities, and vertical integration represent a significant competitive threat to smaller players like Xinhua Chemical in overlapping segments like amines and solvents. Wanhua's strengths include technological leadership and global supply chains, but its focus on large-volume petrochemicals means it may be less agile in very specialized, small-volume fine chemicals where Xinhua might compete.
  • Satellite Chemical Co., Ltd. (002648.SZ): Satellite Chemical is a major producer of petrochemicals and polymers, with a strong focus on propane dehydrogenation (PDH) and acrylic acid chains. While its product slate differs, it competes in the broader organic chemical and solvent markets. Satellite's strengths are its large-scale, cost-competitive asset base and integration into energy feedstocks. Its weakness relative to Xinhua could be a lesser focus on the very specific fine and aroma chemicals that are part of Xinhua's portfolio.
  • Zhejiang Longsheng Group Co., Ltd. (600352.SS): Zhejiang Longsheng is a major chemical company with significant businesses in dyes, intermediates, and specialty chemicals. As a fellow Zhejiang-based chemical producer, it is a direct regional competitor. Longsheng's strengths include a strong market position in dye intermediates and greater overall scale. However, Xinhua Chemical might compete effectively in specific niches like its fatty amines and peroxide series, where it has developed specialized expertise.
  • Zhejiang Andeli Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (603077.SS): While primarily a pharmaceutical company, Andeli and many similar firms are involved in the production of fine chemicals and intermediates that can overlap with Xinhua's custom and fine chemical operations. Their strength lies in high-purity, pharmaceutical-grade production standards. Their weakness in competing with Xinhua is that their primary focus is on the pharma sector, whereas Xinhua serves a broader industrial customer base.
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