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Stock Analysis & ValuationShanghai QiFan Cable Co., Ltd (605222.SS)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
$20.94
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)9.22-56
Intrinsic value (DCF)6.22-70
Graham-Dodd Method4.95-76
Graham Formula1.81-91

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Shanghai QiFan Cable Co., Ltd is a prominent Chinese manufacturer specializing in comprehensive wire and cable solutions, serving diverse industrial and infrastructure needs across China. Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Shanghai, the company has established itself as a key player in the Electrical Equipment & Parts sector within the broader Industrials landscape. QiFan Cable's extensive product portfolio spans low, medium, and extra high voltage power cables, control cables, submarine cables, building wires, and specialized cables for renewable energy applications including solar cables. The company's strategic location in Shanghai, China's economic hub, provides significant advantages in serving the massive domestic infrastructure market while maintaining export capabilities. As China continues its massive infrastructure development and energy transition initiatives, QiFan Cable is well-positioned to capitalize on growing demand for reliable power transmission and distribution solutions. The company's diverse product range caters to multiple end markets including construction, industrial manufacturing, energy generation, and telecommunications, making it an integral component of China's industrial supply chain.

Investment Summary

Shanghai QiFan Cable presents a mixed investment profile with several concerning financial metrics. While the company operates in a strategically important sector with steady demand from China's infrastructure development, its financial performance raises significant concerns. The negative beta of -0.159 suggests unusual price movement patterns that may not correlate with broader market trends. More critically, the company's profitability metrics are weak, with net income of just 135.5 million CNY on revenue of 22.76 billion CNY, representing a razor-thin net margin of approximately 0.6%. The high total debt of 5.78 billion CNY compared to market capitalization of 7.18 billion CNY indicates substantial leverage, while the modest operating cash flow of 498 million CNY relative to debt levels suggests potential liquidity challenges. The diluted EPS of 0.32 CNY and dividend of 0.04 CNY provide limited return potential for investors. The company's attractiveness is primarily tied to China's infrastructure spending trends, but current financial metrics suggest significant operational inefficiencies or competitive pressures.

Competitive Analysis

Shanghai QiFan Cable operates in China's highly competitive wire and cable manufacturing industry, which is characterized by numerous players ranging from large state-owned enterprises to smaller private manufacturers. The company's competitive positioning appears challenged by several factors evident in its financial metrics. The extremely thin net margin of 0.6% suggests intense price competition and limited pricing power in the market. QiFan's product diversification across multiple cable categories provides some buffer against sector-specific downturns, but may also indicate a lack of specialization in high-margin niche segments. The company's location in Shanghai offers logistical advantages for serving eastern China's industrial base, but also means higher operating costs compared to manufacturers in lower-cost regions. The substantial debt load of 5.78 billion CNY relative to its market capitalization indicates potential financial constraints that may limit investment in technological upgrades or capacity expansion compared to better-capitalized competitors. The company's export activities provide some geographic diversification, but the domestic Chinese market likely remains its primary focus. The competitive landscape is further complicated by the presence of large, vertically integrated competitors with stronger financial positions and broader customer relationships. QiFan's ability to maintain market share will depend on improving operational efficiency and potentially focusing on higher-value specialty cable segments where competition may be less intense.

Major Competitors

  • Shanghai Electric Cable Research Institute Co., Ltd (601727.SS): As a research-intensive cable manufacturer, Shanghai Electric Cable Research Institute benefits from strong technical capabilities and government relationships. The company's research focus gives it advantages in developing specialized, high-margin cable products. However, it may lack the scale advantages of larger industrial conglomerates and could face challenges in mass-market segments where price competition is intense. Compared to QiFan Cable, it likely has stronger technical expertise but potentially higher cost structures.
  • ZhongDe Metal Group Co., Ltd (002471.SZ): ZhongDe Metal Group operates with significant scale in metal products including cables, giving it cost advantages in raw material procurement. The company's diversified metal business provides stability during cable market fluctuations. However, its focus on multiple metal segments may dilute attention from cable-specific innovation. Compared to QiFan, ZhongDe likely has stronger financial resources but potentially less specialized cable expertise.
  • BaoSightIO Co., Ltd (600973.SS): BaoSightIO focuses on industrial automation and electrical equipment, including cable products. The company's integration across multiple electrical segments provides cross-selling opportunities and customer relationship advantages. However, cables may represent a smaller portion of its overall business, potentially limiting focus on cable-specific innovation. Compared to QiFan, BaoSightIO likely has broader customer relationships but may be less specialized in cable manufacturing.
  • Sun Cable and Wire Co., Ltd (002300.SZ): As a specialized cable manufacturer, Sun Cable likely competes directly with QiFan in many product categories. The company's focused approach may yield efficiency advantages in specific cable segments. However, its regional concentration could limit national market penetration compared to competitors with broader geographic reach. Relative to QiFan, Sun Cable may have similar scale challenges in competing against larger industrial conglomerates.
  • China XD Electric Co., Ltd (601179.SS): As a major state-owned electrical equipment manufacturer, China XD Electric has significant advantages in large infrastructure projects and government contracts. The company's scale and financial resources allow for substantial R&D investment and capacity expansion. However, its bureaucratic structure may limit operational flexibility compared to smaller private competitors. Compared to QiFan, China XD Electric has vastly superior resources but may be less agile in responding to market changes.
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