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Stock Analysis & ValuationShandong Intco Recycling Resources Co., Ltd. (688087.SS)

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Previous Close
$31.98
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)26.67-17
Intrinsic value (DCF)44.1738
Graham-Dodd Method14.56-54
Graham Formula43.4036

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Shandong Intco Recycling Resources Co., Ltd. stands as a pioneering force in China's circular economy, specializing in the recycling and utilization of renewable plastics since its founding in 2005. Headquartered in Zibo, China, the company operates a vertically integrated business model that spans the entire value chain, from manufacturing advanced foam reduction and density enhancement recycling equipment to producing high-value finished goods. Its diverse product portfolio includes plastic recycled particles, picture frame lines, environmental protection moldings, and various indoor and outdoor decorative materials like skirtings and corner lines. Operating within the Waste Management industry under the Industrials sector, Intco Recycling exemplifies the transformation of waste plastic into sustainable consumer and construction products. The company's innovative approach to resource recovery positions it at the forefront of China's environmental sustainability initiatives, addressing critical waste management challenges while creating economically viable products from recycled materials. This unique business model combines environmental technology with manufacturing excellence, making Intco Recycling a key player in China's growing green economy and circular resource management landscape.

Investment Summary

Shandong Intco Recycling presents an intriguing investment case within China's expanding circular economy, though with notable financial considerations. The company demonstrates solid profitability with net income of CNY 307 million on revenue of CNY 2.92 billion, translating to a healthy net margin of approximately 10.5%. However, investors should note the significant total debt of CNY 2.41 billion against cash reserves of CNY 1.17 billion, indicating substantial leverage. The company maintains positive operating cash flow of CNY 298 million and pays a modest dividend of CNY 0.10 per share. With a market capitalization of CNY 5.18 billion and a beta of 0.707, the stock shows lower volatility than the broader market. The primary investment appeal lies in Intco's positioning within China's strategic push toward environmental sustainability and waste reduction, though the high debt load and capital-intensive nature of recycling operations warrant careful monitoring of financial health and industry dynamics.

Competitive Analysis

Shandong Intco Recycling's competitive positioning is defined by its unique vertical integration across the plastic recycling value chain. Unlike many competitors who focus solely on waste collection or basic processing, Intco manufactures its own recycling equipment, produces recycled plastic particles, and transforms these materials into finished consumer and construction products. This integrated model provides cost control advantages and quality consistency throughout the production process. The company's specialization in foam plastics recycling, particularly EPS (expanded polystyrene), represents a niche expertise that differentiates it from broader waste management players. However, Intco faces intense competition from both specialized recycling firms and larger waste management conglomerates with greater scale and financial resources. The company's competitive advantage lies in its technical expertise in plastic foam recycling and its established distribution channels for finished products like picture frames and decorative moldings. Challenges include the capital-intensive nature of recycling operations, fluctuating raw material (waste plastic) prices, and evolving regulatory requirements in China's environmental sector. Intco's focus on creating higher-value finished products rather than just commodity recycled materials provides some insulation from price volatility but requires continuous innovation and market development. The company's location in Shandong province, a major industrial region, provides logistical advantages for sourcing waste materials but also exposes it to regional economic fluctuations and environmental regulations.

Major Competitors

  • GEM Co., Ltd. (002340.SZ): GEM is a major Chinese competitor specializing in resource recycling, particularly in battery materials and electronic waste. The company has significantly larger scale and broader recycling capabilities across multiple waste streams. GEM's strengths include established relationships with major automotive and electronics manufacturers, giving it stable waste supply sources. However, GEM's diversification across multiple recycling segments means it may lack Intco's specialized expertise in plastic foam recycling and finished product manufacturing. The company faces challenges in managing its expansive operations and the capital requirements of multiple recycling technologies.
  • Zhejiang Fuchunjiang Environmental Thermoelectric Co., Ltd. (600217.SS): This company operates in waste-to-energy and environmental services, overlapping with Intco in waste management but with different technological approaches. Its strengths include government contracts for waste treatment and energy generation capabilities. However, it focuses more on thermal treatment of waste rather than material recycling, representing a different environmental solution. The company's weakness compared to Intco is its lack of vertical integration into high-value finished products from recycled materials.
  • Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering & Technology, Inc. (603588.SS): GeoEnviron specializes in environmental remediation and solid waste treatment, particularly in hazardous waste management. The company's strengths include technical expertise in complex waste treatment and strong government relationships for environmental projects. However, its focus on remediation services rather than material recycling places it in a different segment of the environmental industry. GeoEnviron lacks Intco's manufacturing capabilities for consumer products from recycled materials, limiting its participation in the circular economy's value-added segments.
  • Sound Environmental Resources Co., Ltd. (000826.SZ): Sound Environmental focuses on waste electrical and electronic equipment (WEEE) recycling and resource recovery. The company's strengths include specialized expertise in e-waste processing and established collection networks. However, its narrow focus on electronic waste limits its diversification compared to Intco's broader plastic recycling operations. Sound Environmental faces challenges from fluctuating commodity prices for recovered metals and increasing competition in the e-waste recycling sector.
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