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Stock Analysis & Valuationbaby calendar Inc. (7363.T)

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Previous Close
¥1,568.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, ¥Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)22798.151354
Intrinsic value (DCF)13237.16744
Graham-Dodd Method316.43-80
Graham Formula659.54-58

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

baby calendar Inc. (7363.T) is a Tokyo-based company specializing in digital platforms and services for pregnancy, childcare, and women's health in Japan. Operating under the dacco brand, the company runs popular information sites such as Moon Calendar (menstruation tracking), Woman Calendar (anti-aging), and long-term calendar (elderly care resources). Its core business includes a pregnancy/childcare information portal, gift acceptance services, and First Gift Card—a personalized baby picture book. Additionally, baby calendar provides touch panel monitors and web marketing solutions for healthcare facilities. Formerly known as Cookpad Baby Co., the company rebranded in 2017 to reflect its expanded focus on lifecycle care services. With ¥1.53B in revenue (FY2024) and a ¥1.34B market cap, it serves a niche but growing demand for digital health resources in Japan's aging society.

Investment Summary

baby calendar presents a specialized play in Japan's digital healthcare niche with modest revenue growth (¥1.53B FY2024) but thin profitability (net income ¥17.2M). Its asset-light model generates solid operating cash flow (¥195M), though high beta (1.54) suggests volatility. The zero dividend policy reinvests earnings into content and platform expansion. Key risks include reliance on Japan's declining birthrate and competition from general health platforms. Upside potential lies in monetizing its engaged user base (particularly through gift services and B2B healthcare solutions) and possible expansion into adjacent Asian markets with similar demographics.

Competitive Analysis

baby calendar occupies a unique position as a vertically integrated digital platform for pregnancy/childcare and women's health in Japan. Its competitive edge stems from: 1) Niche authority - Deep, Japan-specific content under the trusted dacco brand, 2) Multi-platform ecosystem - Synergies between information sites (Moon Calendar, Woman Calendar) and transactional services (gift acceptance), 3) Healthcare adjacency - B2B solutions for obstetrics/gynecology clinics. However, it faces pressure from both generalist platforms (like Yahoo Japan's health portals) and global women's health apps (Flo, Clue). Its monetization through advertising and gifts lacks the scalability of subscription models used by competitors. The company's Japan focus is both a strength (cultural relevance) and limitation (TAM constraints). While technology spend appears low (¥8.1M capex), its first-mover advantage in Japanese childcare digital services provides some defensibility. Success hinges on converting its informational platforms into higher-margin transactional services while maintaining content quality.

Major Competitors

  • CYBERDYNE Inc. (4689.T): Focuses on robotic healthcare solutions including nursing care support. Stronger in hardware/IP but lacks baby calendar's content ecosystem and direct consumer reach in childcare. Higher R&D spend (¥3.4B) contrasts with baby calendar's asset-light approach.
  • Recruit Holdings Co Ltd (6098.T): Operates general lifestyle platforms including healthcare-related services. Massive scale advantage (¥3.7T market cap) but less specialized in maternal/childcare verticals. Potentially competitive in advertising revenue.
  • M3, Inc. (2413.T): Leading medical information platform with stronger physician network. More B2B-focused versus baby calendar's B2C emphasis. Higher-margin model (30%+ operating margins) but less engagement in consumer childcare content.
  • Flo Health (FLO.US): Global women's health app with 50M+ users. Superior technology and international reach but lacks Japan-localized content and baby calendar's integrated gift/childcare services. Potential threat if it expands deeper into Asian markets.
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