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Stock Analysis & ValuationCELM,Inc. (7367.T)

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¥348.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, ¥Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)568.5763
Intrinsic value (DCF)4673.751243
Graham-Dodd Methodn/a
Graham Formula421.4921

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

CELM, Inc. is a Tokyo-based company specializing in human resources and organizational development support services. Founded in 1995, CELM offers a comprehensive suite of services including management training, HR consulting, corporate culture reform, and career development support for individuals with disabilities. Operating in the Staffing & Employment Services sector under Industrials, CELM plays a vital role in enhancing workforce efficiency and corporate governance in Japan. With a market capitalization of approximately ¥7.03 billion, the company has established itself as a key player in Japan's HR consulting landscape. CELM's diversified service portfolio caters to middle management innovation, HR system construction, and disability employment support, positioning it as a holistic solution provider in organizational development. The company's strong cash position (¥1.97 billion) and conservative beta (0.141) reflect its stable financial footing in a competitive industry.

Investment Summary

CELM presents a stable investment opportunity in Japan's HR services sector, with modest growth potential and low volatility (beta 0.141). The company maintains healthy fundamentals with ¥7.5 billion revenue and ¥631 million net income (8.4% margin), supported by strong operating cash flow (¥710 million). While the dividend yield appears modest (¥15/share), the company's debt-to-equity ratio remains manageable (¥561 million debt vs ¥1.97 billion cash). The primary investment appeal lies in CELM's niche positioning in organizational development and disability employment services - growing segments in Japan's aging workforce. However, investors should note the company's small market cap and domestic focus may limit growth potential compared to global HR firms. The capital-light business model and consistent profitability make CELM a conservative play in Japan's professional services sector.

Competitive Analysis

CELM operates in a competitive Japanese HR services market where differentiation comes from specialized service offerings rather than scale. The company's competitive advantage stems from its integrated approach combining traditional staffing services with higher-margin organizational development consulting. Unlike general staffing firms, CELM has developed expertise in middle management training and corporate culture transformation - areas that command premium pricing and create client stickiness. Their disability employment support services provide another differentiation point in Japan's compliance-driven market. However, CELM lacks the scale advantages of larger staffing conglomerates and remains geographically concentrated in Japan. The company's ¥7.5 billion revenue is modest compared to industry leaders, limiting its bargaining power with large corporate clients. Financially, CELM maintains healthier margins than many staffing peers (8.4% net margin) due to its consulting-heavy mix, but faces pressure from both boutique consultancies and diversified HR giants. The company's challenge lies in scaling its specialized services while maintaining quality - an area where its 28 years of domestic experience provides some defensive moat.

Major Competitors

  • Persol Holdings Co., Ltd. (2181.T): Persol is Japan's largest staffing firm with ¥1.3 trillion revenue, offering scale advantages CELM cannot match. While Persol dominates temporary staffing, it lacks CELM's depth in organizational development consulting. Persol's international presence (Asia-Pacific) contrasts with CELM's domestic focus. However, Persol's lower margins reflect its volume-driven model versus CELM's premium services.
  • SECOM CO., LTD. (9735.T): Although primarily a security services firm, SECOM competes in HR solutions through its business support services. Its ¥1.1 trillion revenue and diversified operations provide cross-selling opportunities CELM lacks. However, SECOM's HR services lack CELM's specialization in organizational development. SECOM's stronger balance sheet allows for more aggressive expansion.
  • JAC Recruitment Co., Ltd. (6072.T): JAC specializes in high-end recruitment like CELM but focuses more on executive search than organizational consulting. With ¥42 billion revenue, JAC has greater international reach (Asia/Europe) but less comprehensive service offerings than CELM. Both companies compete for Japan's premium HR services market but with different emphasis - JAC on recruitment, CELM on development.
  • INTLOOP, Inc. (2128.T): INTLOOP provides IT and engineering staffing, overlapping with some of CELM's technical recruitment services. While INTLOOP's ¥13 billion revenue is smaller than CELM's, its tech specialization gives it an edge in high-growth IT sectors. CELM maintains broader organizational development capabilities that INTLOOP lacks, creating differentiated market positions.
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