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Stock Analysis & ValuationMICREED Co.,Ltd. (7687.T)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
¥490.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, ¥Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)647.9332
Intrinsic value (DCF)6072.051139
Graham-Dodd Method299.99-39
Graham Formula849.6173

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

MICREED Co., Ltd. is a Tokyo-based company specializing in the mail-order sale of commercial ingredients to small and medium-sized restaurants across Japan. Founded in 1995, MICREED offers a diverse product range, including meat, fish, vegetables, skewers, fried foods, and desserts, catering to the needs of food service businesses. Operating in the Food Distribution sector under the Consumer Defensive industry, the company plays a crucial role in Japan's food supply chain by providing high-quality ingredients efficiently. With a market capitalization of approximately ¥3.07 billion, MICREED has established itself as a reliable supplier in a competitive market. The company's direct-to-business model ensures streamlined logistics and cost-effective solutions for its clients, reinforcing its position in Japan's growing foodservice industry. Investors looking for exposure to Japan's resilient food distribution sector may find MICREED an interesting opportunity due to its niche focus and stable financial performance.

Investment Summary

MICREED Co., Ltd. presents a stable investment opportunity within Japan's food distribution sector, supported by its consistent revenue of ¥5.94 billion and net income of ¥222 million in FY 2024. The company's low beta of 0.183 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, appealing to risk-averse investors. With no debt and a healthy cash position of ¥842 million, MICREED demonstrates strong financial health. However, its small market cap and niche focus on small and medium restaurants may limit growth scalability compared to larger distributors. The dividend yield, though modest (¥8.2 per share), adds to its defensive appeal. Investors should weigh its stable cash flows against potential challenges from rising food costs and competition in Japan's crowded food distribution market.

Competitive Analysis

MICREED Co., Ltd. competes in Japan's fragmented food distribution industry by focusing exclusively on small and medium-sized restaurants through a mail-order model, which differentiates it from larger broadline distributors. Its competitive advantage lies in its targeted supply chain efficiency and personalized service for smaller clients, who may be underserved by giants like Nissui or Itochu. However, the company's scale is limited compared to industry leaders, restricting its bargaining power with suppliers. MICREED's zero-debt balance sheet and positive operating cash flow (¥378 million in FY 2024) underscore operational stability, but its growth potential may be capped without expansion into adjacent markets or digital commerce enhancements. The lack of international exposure also contrasts with multinational competitors, though this insulates it from global supply chain risks. Its main challenges include competing on price with larger distributors and adapting to Japan's declining restaurant sector amid demographic shifts.

Major Competitors

  • Nissui Corporation (1332.T): Nissui is a major Japanese seafood and food processing company with a vast distribution network. Its strengths include economies of scale and diversified product lines, but it lacks MICREED's specialized focus on small restaurants. Nissui's global operations expose it to currency risks, unlike MICREED's domestic-only model.
  • Itochu Corporation (8001.T): A trading giant with a significant food division, Itochu benefits from immense scale and vertical integration. However, its broad focus reduces agility in serving niche markets like MICREED's clientele. Itochu's international footprint adds complexity compared to MICREED's streamlined domestic operations.
  • Suntory Beverage & Food Limited (2587.T): Primarily a beverage company, Suntory overlaps with MICREED in foodservice distribution. Its strong brand portfolio is an advantage, but its limited focus on fresh ingredients contrasts with MICREED's core offering. Suntory's higher-margin business model differs from MICREED's volume-driven approach.
  • NH Foods Ltd. (2282.T): A leading meat processor and distributor, NH Foods competes directly in MICREED's protein segment. Its integrated supply chain is a strength, but it primarily serves large clients, leaving room for MICREED in the SME space. NH Foods' higher R&D spending contrasts with MICREED's asset-light model.
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