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Stock Analysis & ValuationRegal Corporation (7938.T)

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¥2,467.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, ¥Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)4626.2088
Intrinsic value (DCF)1269.52-49
Graham-Dodd Method4071.9665
Graham Formula1614.52-35

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Regal Corporation (7938.T) is a leading Japanese footwear company specializing in the manufacturing, retail, and repair of men's and women's shoes. Founded in 1902 and headquartered in Urayasu, Japan, the company operates through both physical stores and online platforms, catering to a broad consumer base. Formerly known as Nippon Shoe Co., Ltd., Regal Corporation rebranded in 1990 to reflect its modernized approach to footwear retail. The company operates in the competitive Apparel - Footwear & Accessories sector, a segment of the Consumer Cyclical industry, where it leverages its long-standing heritage and craftsmanship to maintain market relevance. With a market capitalization of approximately ¥7.52 billion, Regal Corporation remains a niche player in Japan's footwear market, balancing traditional retail with e-commerce expansion. Its financial stability, evidenced by a net income of ¥427 million in FY2024, underscores its resilience in a challenging retail environment.

Investment Summary

Regal Corporation presents a mixed investment profile. On the positive side, the company maintains a modest net income (¥427 million in FY2024) and a strong cash position (¥5.2 billion), which provides liquidity for potential expansion or debt reduction. However, negative operating cash flow (-¥1.05 billion) and high total debt (¥10.59 billion) raise concerns about financial sustainability. The company's low beta (-0.065) suggests minimal correlation with broader market movements, potentially appealing to risk-averse investors. The dividend yield, at ¥75 per share, may attract income-focused investors, but the negative cash flow from operations could pressure future payouts. Given its niche positioning in Japan's footwear market, Regal Corporation may appeal to investors seeking exposure to domestic consumer cyclical stocks, but its growth prospects appear limited without significant operational improvements.

Competitive Analysis

Regal Corporation operates in a highly competitive segment dominated by global footwear giants and fast-fashion retailers. Its competitive advantage lies in its long-standing brand recognition in Japan and a dual retail strategy combining physical stores with e-commerce. However, the company faces intense competition from international brands like Nike and Adidas, which benefit from stronger global supply chains and marketing budgets. Domestically, Regal competes with ABC-Mart (2670.T) and Onward Holdings (8016.T), both of which have broader product portfolios and stronger financials. Regal's focus on traditional shoe manufacturing and repair services differentiates it somewhat, but this niche may limit scalability. The company's negative operating cash flow suggests inefficiencies in its business model, possibly due to high fixed costs from its retail footprint. To improve competitiveness, Regal could explore partnerships with emerging designers or expand its digital sales channels to offset declining in-store traffic. Its high debt load (¥10.59 billion) further constrains its ability to invest in innovation or marketing, putting it at a disadvantage against better-capitalized rivals.

Major Competitors

  • ABC-Mart (2670.T): ABC-Mart is a dominant player in Japan's footwear retail sector, with a vast store network and strong brand partnerships (e.g., Dr. Martens, Timberland). Its financials are robust, with higher revenue and profitability than Regal. However, its reliance on third-party brands limits its control over supply chains compared to Regal's in-house manufacturing.
  • Onward Holdings (8016.T): Onward Holdings operates in apparel and footwear, offering a diversified product range that mitigates sector-specific risks. Its stronger balance sheet and international presence give it an edge over Regal. However, Onward's broader focus dilutes its footwear expertise, where Regal retains niche craftsmanship appeal.
  • Nike (NKE): Nike's global scale, innovation, and marketing power dwarf Regal's capabilities. While Nike dominates performance footwear, Regal's strength lies in traditional and formal shoes for the Japanese market. Nike's direct-to-consumer shift poses a long-term threat to regional retailers like Regal.
  • Adidas (ADS.DE): Adidas competes with Regal in casual and athletic footwear, leveraging global brand recognition. Its sustainability initiatives resonate with younger consumers, a demographic Regal struggles to capture. However, Adidas has limited presence in Japan's formal footwear segment, where Regal retains a foothold.
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