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Stock Analysis & ValuationZenrin Co., Ltd. (9474.T)

Professional Stock Screener
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¥1,049.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, ¥Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)1335.3027
Intrinsic value (DCF)594.62-43
Graham-Dodd Method718.59-31
Graham Formula630.21-40

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Zenrin Co., Ltd. (9474.T) is a leading Japanese geospatial information company specializing in map databases, navigation systems, and digital mapping solutions. Founded in 1948 and headquartered in Kitakyushu, Japan, Zenrin operates across three key segments: Map Database, General Printing, and Other services. The company is a dominant player in Japan’s mapping industry, providing high-quality residential maps, in-car navigation data, and smartphone-compatible geospatial services. Zenrin’s integrated geospatial system supports businesses, government agencies, and consumers with accurate and reliable mapping solutions. With a strong foothold in Japan and expanding global reach, Zenrin leverages its proprietary data collection and management expertise to serve industries such as automotive, logistics, and digital services. The company’s diversified revenue streams—from printed maps to digital databases—position it as a resilient player in the evolving geospatial and communication services sector.

Investment Summary

Zenrin Co., Ltd. presents a stable investment opportunity with its entrenched position in Japan’s mapping industry and consistent profitability. The company’s low beta (0.283) suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, making it a defensive play. With JPY 64.4 billion in revenue and JPY 2.6 billion in net income, Zenrin maintains solid fundamentals, supported by strong operating cash flow (JPY 9.6 billion) and a healthy cash position (JPY 13.9 billion). However, growth prospects may be limited by Japan’s mature mapping market and increasing competition from global digital mapping providers. The dividend yield (approx. 1.8%) offers modest income, but investors should monitor the company’s ability to innovate in digital mapping and expand internationally to sustain long-term growth.

Competitive Analysis

Zenrin’s competitive advantage lies in its deep-rooted expertise in Japan’s geospatial data market, where it holds a near-monopoly in high-quality residential mapping. The company’s proprietary databases and long-standing relationships with automotive and government clients provide a durable moat. Unlike global competitors, Zenrin’s hyper-localized data accuracy is difficult to replicate, particularly for Japanese road networks and addressing systems. However, the rise of free digital mapping services (e.g., Google Maps) poses a threat to its traditional revenue streams. Zenrin has responded by diversifying into smartphone-compatible services and B2B solutions, but its reliance on the domestic market remains a vulnerability. The company’s capital expenditures (JPY -4.9 billion) indicate ongoing investments in digital transformation, yet its slower international expansion compared to rivals like TomTom or HERE Technologies may limit growth. Zenrin’s competitive positioning is strongest in B2B and automotive sectors, but it must accelerate innovation to counter tech giants encroaching on mapping services.

Major Competitors

  • Alphabet Inc. (Google Maps) (GOOGL): Google Maps dominates the global digital mapping space with free, user-friendly navigation and real-time data. Its vast resources and AI integration make it a formidable competitor, but it lacks Zenrin’s depth in hyper-local Japanese mapping accuracy. Google’s ad-supported model also limits its appeal for specialized B2B applications where Zenrin excels.
  • TomTom NV (TOM2.AS): TomTom is a key player in navigation tech and digital maps, with strong automotive partnerships. Unlike Zenrin, it has a broader global footprint but struggles in Japan due to Zenrin’s localized data dominance. TomTom’s real-time traffic services are superior, but its profitability is less stable compared to Zenrin’s steady earnings.
  • HERE Technologies (Private): HERE Technologies, owned by a consortium of automakers, specializes in high-definition mapping for autonomous vehicles. It competes with Zenrin in automotive navigation but focuses more on Europe and North America. Zenrin’s advantage in Japan remains unchallenged, though HERE’s advanced tech could disrupt the sector long-term.
  • Rakuten Group, Inc. (4755.T): Rakuten offers competing digital services, including mapping through Rakuten Maps. While it leverages its e-commerce ecosystem, its mapping data is less comprehensive than Zenrin’s. Rakuten’s strength lies in integration with consumer apps, whereas Zenrin dominates in precision and B2B solutions.
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