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Stock Analysis & ValuationNac Co., Ltd. (9788.T)

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Previous Close
¥542.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, ¥Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)12679.272239
Intrinsic value (DCF)273.78-49
Graham-Dodd Method342.33-37
Graham Formula556.683

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Nac Co., Ltd. (9788.T) is a diversified Japanese company operating primarily in the water delivery and housing sectors. Headquartered in Tokyo, the company has evolved from its origins as Duskin Tsurugawa Co., Ltd. in 1971 to become a multifaceted player in Japan's industrials sector. Nac Co. specializes in home delivery water services, housing construction, and related consulting, while also engaging in pest control, cleaning services, and renewable energy solutions like solar power generation. The company further diversifies its revenue streams through cosmetics, dietary supplements, and financial services. With a market capitalization of approximately ¥24.2 billion, Nac Co. serves both residential and commercial markets, leveraging its expertise in construction know-how and sustainable products. Its integrated business model positions it uniquely in Japan's engineering and construction industry, combining traditional services with innovative energy-saving solutions.

Investment Summary

Nac Co., Ltd. presents a mixed investment profile with both opportunities and risks. The company's diversified operations across water delivery, housing, and ancillary services provide revenue stability, but its modest net income of ¥1.44 billion on ¥54.4 billion revenue suggests thin margins. With a low beta of 0.175, the stock may appeal to conservative investors seeking limited market correlation, though its negative operating cash flow (-¥10 million) and significant capital expenditures (-¥287 million) raise liquidity concerns. The dividend yield appears sustainable at ¥22 per share, supported by a reasonable debt level (¥7.19 billion) and healthy cash reserves (¥8.06 billion). Investors should weigh Japan's shrinking population against the company's niche in essential services and energy-efficient housing solutions.

Competitive Analysis

Nac Co. occupies a specialized niche in Japan's construction and water delivery sectors, differentiating itself through vertical integration and service diversification. Its competitive advantage stems from combining traditional housing construction with proprietary water delivery systems and eco-friendly solutions—a rare hybrid model in Japan's fragmented construction industry. The company's pest control and cleaning services create cross-selling opportunities with its housing clients, while its franchise consulting business extends reach without heavy capital investment. However, Nac Co. faces scalability challenges outside its regional strongholds and competes with larger construction firms for housing contracts. Its solar power and energy-saving products division is relatively small compared to specialized renewable energy providers. The water delivery business benefits from recurring revenue but competes with national beverage distributors. Financial strength is adequate (debt-to-equity ~0.3x), but limited R&D spending may hinder innovation against tech-driven construction rivals. The company's main edge lies in integrated customer solutions—combining housing, utilities, and maintenance—which larger competitors often outsource.

Major Competitors

  • Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd. (1911.T): A dominant player in Japanese housing construction with strong brand recognition and larger scale (¥1.3 trillion revenue). Strengths include advanced prefabrication technology and overseas expansion, but lacks Nac's integrated water service offering. Higher exposure to cyclical housing demand poses earnings volatility.
  • LIXIL Group Corporation (5938.T): Global leader in building materials and housing equipment with strong R&D capabilities. Its water technology division competes directly with Nac's delivery business, but LIXIL focuses more on hardware than services. Struggles with profitability post-acquisition spree, unlike Nac's stable niche focus.
  • Daikin Industries, Ltd. (6367.T): Market leader in HVAC and energy-efficient systems that compete with Nac's solar products. Daikin's technological edge and global distribution dwarf Nac's capabilities, but it doesn't offer integrated housing construction services. Higher-margin business model but more exposed to global supply chain risks.
  • Suntory Beverage & Food Limited (2587.T): Major beverage company with water delivery services that compete with Nac's core business. Suntory's brand power and distribution network are superior, but it lacks Nac's housing synergy. Focused on bottled beverages rather than Nac's equipment-based water solutions.
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