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Stock Analysis & ValuationSundrug Co.,Ltd. (9989.T)

Professional Stock Screener
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¥4,120.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, ¥Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)4894.4719
Intrinsic value (DCF)1969.04-52
Graham-Dodd Method1778.63-57
Graham Formula3797.25-8

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Sundrug Co., Ltd. is a leading Japanese drugstore chain specializing in pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and general merchandise. Founded in 1957 and headquartered in Fuchu, Japan, the company operates a network of discount stores offering a wide range of products, including prescription drugs, over-the-counter medications, fresh food, home appliances, and alcoholic beverages. Sundrug’s business model combines convenience, affordability, and accessibility, catering to Japan’s aging population and growing demand for healthcare and wellness products. As part of Japan’s competitive drugstore sector, Sundrug differentiates itself through strategic store locations, competitive pricing, and a diversified product mix. The company’s strong presence in urban and suburban areas positions it well to capitalize on Japan’s retail pharmacy market, which benefits from regulatory support for self-medication and preventive healthcare. With a market capitalization of over ¥526 billion, Sundrug remains a key player in Japan’s healthcare and retail landscape.

Investment Summary

Sundrug Co., Ltd. presents a stable investment opportunity with moderate growth potential in Japan’s resilient drugstore sector. The company benefits from consistent revenue streams (¥751.8 billion in FY2024) and strong profitability (¥29.1 billion net income), supported by a low beta (0.224), indicating lower volatility compared to the broader market. Its diversified product offerings and focus on cost efficiency contribute to healthy operating cash flow (¥41.2 billion). However, risks include intense competition in Japan’s crowded drugstore market and potential margin pressures from pricing regulations. The company’s dividend yield (¥130 per share) and solid cash position (¥69.7 billion) provide downside protection, but investors should monitor debt levels (¥35 billion) and capital expenditures (¥36.4 billion) for store expansions.

Competitive Analysis

Sundrug competes in Japan’s highly fragmented drugstore industry, where differentiation is driven by pricing, store density, and product assortment. The company’s competitive advantage lies in its hybrid model combining pharmacy services with discount retail, allowing it to capture both healthcare and general merchandise demand. Its store locations—often near transit hubs and residential areas—enhance foot traffic, while private-label products improve margins. However, Sundrug faces stiff competition from larger rivals like Matsumotokiyoshi (Holdings) and Welcia, which benefit from greater scale and nationwide branding. Unlike specialty pharmacies, Sundrug’s broad product range mitigates reliance on prescription drug sales, but this also exposes it to competition from supermarkets and convenience stores. The company’s operational efficiency (evidenced by steady EPS growth to ¥249.06) helps maintain profitability, but its smaller store footprint compared to industry leaders limits bargaining power with suppliers. Regulatory tailwinds, such as Japan’s push for self-medication, could benefit Sundrug, but success hinges on its ability to optimize store productivity and expand high-margin services like dispensing pharmacies.

Major Competitors

  • Matsumotokiyoshi Holdings Co., Ltd. (3088.T): Matsumotokiyoshi is Japan’s largest drugstore chain by revenue, with a strong brand and extensive store network. Its scale allows for superior supplier negotiations and nationwide marketing campaigns. However, its focus on urban centers may limit growth in suburban markets where Sundrug has a stronger presence. The company has faced profitability challenges due to aggressive expansion.
  • Welcia Holdings Co., Ltd. (3141.T): Welcia, a subsidiary of Aeon, combines drugstores with supermarket-style retail, similar to Sundrug’s model. Its integration with Aeon’s ecosystem provides synergies in logistics and private-label products. Welcia’s weakness lies in higher operational complexity, while Sundrug’s leaner structure may offer better cost control.
  • Cocokara Fine Inc. (2659.T): Cocokara Fine specializes in health and beauty products, with a premium positioning compared to Sundrug’s discount focus. Its strength lies in high-margin cosmetics, but its narrower product range makes it more vulnerable to economic downturns. Sundrug’s diversified offerings provide more stable revenue streams.
  • Three F Co., Ltd. (7544.T): Three F operates smaller-format stores targeting convenience shoppers, competing directly with Sundrug’s urban outlets. Its agility in local merchandising is a strength, but lack of pharmacy services limits its healthcare revenue potential compared to Sundrug.
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