US · AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
- Headquarters
- Fort Worth, TX 76155
- Website
- aa.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$11.84
Market cap 8.63B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $26.50 | +123.82% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $5.01 | -57.69% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $1.50 | -87.37% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $6.63 | $142.08 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $14.07 | $68.31 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $36.79 | $120.70 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $46.73 | $49.35 | $1,112.29 | $14.19 | $260.89 |
| 2015 | $40.70 | $53.99 | $499.56 | $53.00 | $51.19 |
| 2016 | $42.52 | $44.52 | $234.45 | $17.59 | $30.12 |
| 2017 | $54.75 | $40.22 | $0.06 | $3.59 | $50.66 |
| 2018 | $31.49 | $32.45 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $41.02 |
| 2019 | $15.97 | $28.09 | $0.00 | $3.50 | $41.10 |
| 2020 | $23.37 | $21.30 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $943.15 |
| 2021 | $14.02 | $15.36 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $15.46 | $14.51 | $590.28 | $0.00 | $13.51 |
| 2023 | $14.68 | $24.94 | $1,573.40 | $0.00 | $19.61 |
| 2024 | $13.03 | $19.76 | $367.56 | $0.00 | $13.67 |
| 2025 | $12.52 | $26.50 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $1.50 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates American Airlines Group Inc.'s (AAL) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $26.50
- Current price
- $11.84
- AI upside
- +123.82%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$5.01
-57.69% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$1.50
-87.37% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| AAL | American Airlines Group I… | $11.84 | 8.63B | +124% | -58% | — | -87% | 74.50 | -2.22 | 0.15 | 9.71 | — | -0.84 | 28.42% | 2.91% | 0.20% | -2.88% | 3.58% | 0.18% | -9.65 | 0.93 | 0.50 | 0.35 | 8.84 | -8629.00% | 78.00% | -15231.00% | -8.22% | 0.13 | -2.60% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.74% | 23.68 | -55.39 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| ALK | Alaska Air Group, Inc. | $51.60 | 5.92B | -11% | -38% | -68% | -52% | 58.66 | 1.42 | 0.41 | 8.22 | — | 10.11 | 59.66% | 2.13% | 0.70% | 2.36% | 2.42% | 0.50% | 1.67 | 1.25 | 0.50 | 0.41 | 4.84 | -7175.00% | 2134.00% | -28525.00% | -5.78% | 0.19 | -3.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 35.10 | -31.37 | 0.75 | 1.12 |
| CPA | Copa Holdings, S.A. | $138.61 | 5.72B | +35% | +94% | -62% | +52% | 8.11 | 1.96 | 1.51 | 5.63 | 68.20 | 2.04 | 31.65% | 22.64% | 18.56% | 26.09% | 19.77% | 10.90% | 0.92 | 8.32 | 1.23 | 1.07 | 1.84 | 1189.00% | 498.00% | -953.00% | 5.66% | 0.78 | 8.59% | 4.88% | 39.60% | 5.04% | 8.15 | 21.66 | 1.84 | 2.48 |
| SKYW | SkyWest, Inc. | $104.08 | 4.21B | -8% | +54% | +16% | +129% | 9.57 | 1.49 | 1.01 | 5.59 | 28.83 | 1.49 | 61.58% | 15.22% | 10.55% | 16.62% | 10.64% | 5.90% | 0.87 | 5.92 | 0.65 | 0.42 | 2.31 | 3320.00% | 1503.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.43% | 9.36 | — | 1.43 | 1.26 |
About American Airlines Group Inc.
American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a mainline fleet of 865 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
- CEO
- Robert D. Isom Jr.
- Employees
- 133.1K
- Beta
- 1.23
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($5.01 ÷ $11.84) − 1 = -57.69% (DCF, example).