US · AAP
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
- Headquarters
- Raleigh, NC 27604
- Website
- advanceautoparts.com
Price · as of 2026-01-03
$58.93
Market cap 3.2B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | — | — |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $21.38 | -63.72% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $15.33 | -73.99% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $2.18 | -96.3% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | $53.80 | $379.50 | |||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | |||||
| 2021 | |||||
| 2022 | $0.00 | $30.18 | |||
| 2023 | |||||
| 2024 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2025 | |||||
| 2026 | $53.27 | $0.12 | $15.33 | $2.18 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s (AAP) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- —
- Current price
- $58.93
- AI upside
- —
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$21.38
-63.72% upside
Graham-Dodd
$15.33
-73.99% upside
Graham Formula
$2.18
-96.3% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| AAP | Advance Auto Parts, Inc. | $58.93 | 3.2B | — | -64% | -74% | -96% | 46.92 | 1.45 | 0.37 | 17.41 | — | 2.66 | 43.73% | 1.87% | 0.51% | — | — | — | 3.40 | 1.16 | 1.75 | 0.84 | 10.04 | — | — | — | -9.34% | -0.01 | — | 1.88% | 88.20% | 1.88% | 46.83 | -25.30 | 0.88 | 1.66 |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters… | $24.57 | 4.16B | +7% | -83% | -63% | -36% | 6.01 | 1.12 | 0.37 | 4.65 | 6.30 | 1.32 | 35.31% | 8.44% | 6.18% | 18.80% | 12.59% | 8.92% | 0.82 | 374.97 | 1.53 | 0.70 | 1.73 | 9535.00% | 127.00% | -3742.00% | 12.84% | 0.54 | 9.55% | 4.87% | 29.30% | 15.21% | 6.82 | 12.06 | 0.58 | 3.40 |
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoo… | $60.13 | 4.01B | — | — | — | -80% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29.63% | 3.71% | 2.49% | 62849.74% | 8.59% | 3.17% | -332.37 | 1.77 | 1.72 | 0.22 | 7.32 | 39259.00% | 96.00% | 12175.00% | — | 0.35 | 9.84% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| BKE | The Buckle, Inc. | $53.55 | 2.74B | -20% | -62% | — | -64% | 8.17 | 3.77 | 1.31 | 6.20 | — | 3.77 | 48.68% | 19.82% | 16.05% | 46.71% | 40.78% | 21.68% | 0.77 | — | 2.05 | 1.39 | 0.23 | -1159.00% | -344.00% | -811.00% | 12.50% | 1.13 | 44.51% | 12.40% | 101.30% | 12.40% | 6.77 | 8.18 | 1.34 | 4.79 |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear Compa… | $61.94 | 3.34B | +65% | -61% | -53% | -53% | 18.57 | 1.92 | 0.97 | 11.75 | — | 2.01 | 50.53% | 6.31% | 5.22% | 10.16% | 10.33% | 6.00% | 0.51 | — | 2.59 | 1.57 | 1.48 | -1518.00% | 85.00% | -4974.00% | 6.59% | 0.37 | 13.55% | 1.99% | 37.00% | 8.10% | 15.72 | 15.53 | 0.99 | 3.52 |
| DRVN | Driven Brands Holdings In… | $11.00 | 1.81B | +109% | -42% | — | — | -8.80 | 4.24 | 1.10 | 231.04 | — | -1.76 | 52.37% | -5.99% | -12.50% | -38.65% | -2.74% | -5.24% | 6.58 | -0.89 | 1.52 | 0.84 | 138.11 | -5982.00% | 154.00% | -8698.00% | -1.83% | 0.56 | -1.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.60% | -45.65 | -136.03 | 2.74 | 0.47 |
| FUN | Six Flags Entertainment C… | $17.03 | 1.73B | -60% | -60% | — | — | -1.12 | 0.18 | 0.56 | -2.38 | -0.19 | 0.26 | 57.69% | -43.73% | -50.78% | -26.64% | -15.22% | -15.64% | 0.02 | -3.77 | 0.53 | 0.42 | -0.18 | 59130.00% | 1445.00% | -38939.00% | -8.74% | 0.54 | -1.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 283.36% | -1.39 | -12.39 | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| PTON | Peloton Interactive, Inc. | $4.02 | 1.65B | +867% | -20% | — | — | -26.31 | -7.56 | 1.26 | 37.43 | — | -6.79 | 50.92% | -1.45% | -4.77% | 25.49% | -5.23% | -5.52% | -4.78 | -0.27 | 1.79 | 1.42 | 8.63 | -8013.00% | -777.00% | -47727.00% | 10.35% | 0.41 | 46.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.19% | -112.30 | 12.56 | 1.63 | -1.48 |
| RH | Rh | $165.71 | 3.11B | +57% | -60% | -98% | -69% | 42.03 | -18.60 | 0.96 | 15.33 | — | -8.00 | 44.48% | 11.56% | 2.28% | -31.42% | 9.80% | 1.66% | -24.07 | 1.57 | 1.39 | 0.16 | 8.62 | -3875.00% | 501.00% | 21827.00% | -7.02% | 0.02 | -6.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.39% | 18.90 | -32.53 | 2.19 | 1.29 |
| VC | Visteon Corporation | $95.67 | 2.61B | -1% | -42% | -14% | -56% | 12.19 | 1.66 | 0.69 | 5.24 | — | 1.93 | 14.12% | 8.76% | 5.33% | 15.23% | 17.56% | 6.82% | 0.34 | 82.50 | 1.80 | 1.40 | -0.51 | -2587.00% | -253.00% | -448.00% | 10.67% | 0.41 | 23.39% | 0.58% | 7.00% | 4.08% | 7.17 | 8.54 | 0.63 | 3.79 |
| VSCO | Victoria's Secret & Co. | $62.70 | 5.03B | +11% | -89% | -78% | -70% | 8.18 | 2.11 | 0.22 | 6.76 | 17.50 | -13.11 | 36.66% | 4.98% | 2.65% | 31.22% | 7.95% | 3.61% | 4.22 | 3.60 | 1.05 | 0.28 | 4.37 | 4676.00% | 78.00% | 8571.00% | 18.29% | 0.31 | 8.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.74% | 12.33 | 15.47 | 0.61 | 1.93 |
About Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles, and light and heavy duty trucks. The company offers battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis and climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wires; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also offers air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluids; electrical wires and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers, and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting products; performance parts; sealants, adhesives and compounds; tire repair accessories; vent shades, mirrors and exterior accessories; washes, waxes and cleaning supplies; and wiper blades. In addition, the company offers air filters; fuel and oil additives; fuel filters; grease and lubricants; motor oils; oil filters, part cleaners and treatments; and transmission fluids for engine maintenance. Further, it offers battery and wiper installation; engine light scanning and checking; electrical system testing; video clinic; oil and battery recycling; and loaner tool program services. Additionally, the company sells its products through its website. It serves professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. The company operates stores under the Advance Auto Parts, Autopart International, and Carquest brands, as well as branches under the Worldpac name. As of April 23, 2022, it operated 4,687 stores and 311 branches in the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada; and served 1,318 independently owned Carquest branded stores in Mexico, Grand Cayman, the Bahamas, Turks and Caicos, and the British Virgin Islands. The company was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina.
- CEO
- Shane O'Kelly
- Employees
- 33.2K
- Beta
- 1.17
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($21.38 ÷ $58.93) − 1 = -63.72% (DCF, example).