US · AFGB
American Financial Group, Inc.
- Sector
- Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty
- Headquarters
- Cincinnati, OH 45202
- Website
- afginc.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$21.31
Market cap 1.84B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $111.44 | +422.95% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $28.26 | +32.61% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $101.40 | +375.82% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $50.04 | $45.67 | |||
| 2012 | $60.79 | $37.49 | |||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | $40.10 | $75.72 | |||
| 2016 | $59.69 | $80.72 | |||
| 2017 | $14.25 | $71.93 | |||
| 2018 | $16.89 | $64.37 | |||
| 2019 | $43.24 | $0.00 | |||
| 2020 | $20.04 | $27.55 | $88.33 | $59.34 | $15.00 |
| 2021 | $20.13 | $258.42 | $16.53 | $0.00 | $302.51 |
| 2022 | $20.23 | $270.30 | $414.68 | $0.00 | $180.67 |
| 2023 | $21.72 | $165.41 | $535.69 | $0.00 | $172.23 |
| 2024 | $20.91 | $195.35 | $27.34 | $0.00 | $160.79 |
| 2025 | $22.12 | $111.44 | $32.70 | $0.00 | $101.40 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates American Financial Group, Inc.'s (AFGB) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $111.44
- Current price
- $21.31
- AI upside
- +422.95%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$28.26
+32.61% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$101.40
+375.82% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| AFGB | American Financial Group,… | $21.31 | 1.84B | +423% | +33% | — | +376% | 2.19 | 0.38 | 0.23 | -11.72 | — | 0.41 | 46.32% | 13.13% | 10.30% | 18.13% | -28.01% | 2.65% | 0.38 | 13.41 | — | — | -13.32 | -464.00% | 205.00% | 3719.00% | 75.79% | — | -46.55% | 32.85% | 72.00% | 874.83% | -12.60 | -9.67 | -1.65 | 1.22 |
| AIZ | Assurant, Inc. | $229.59 | 11.5B | -41% | -34% | -56% | +17% | 13.51 | 2.01 | 0.92 | 2.48 | 66.66 | -1.69 | 77.15% | 8.49% | 6.81% | 15.90% | 260.78% | 2.45% | 0.38 | 9.91 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.26 | 2026.00% | 789.00% | 4382.00% | 13.56% | 0.08 | 477.63% | 1.43% | 19.30% | 4.01% | 3.29 | 2.24 | 0.28 | 0.47 |
| CNA | CNA Financial Corporation | $48.02 | 13B | -25% | -32% | -83% | +29% | 10.52 | 1.16 | 0.91 | 7.49 | 31.64 | 1.28 | 30.73% | 11.01% | 8.69% | 11.55% | 12.16% | 1.88% | 0.26 | 12.00 | — | — | 1.40 | 3324.00% | 510.00% | -291.00% | 17.89% | — | 22.87% | 7.79% | 81.90% | 8.04% | 8.44 | 5.69 | 0.93 | 0.68 |
| FHN | First Horizon Corporation | $23.79 | 11.71B | +134% | +2% | -36% | -24% | 12.07 | 1.34 | 2.38 | 8.84 | 31.56 | 1.64 | 67.32% | 25.70% | 19.72% | 11.13% | 15.06% | 1.18% | 0.52 | 0.82 | 0.96 | 0.95 | 2.70 | 3824.00% | 97.00% | -4869.00% | 5.29% | 0.01 | 9.46% | 2.65% | 31.90% | 10.39% | 9.22 | 18.81 | 2.37 | 0.25 |
| GL | Globe Life Inc. | $145.26 | 11.56B | -4% | -15% | -4% | +16% | 10.19 | 1.98 | 1.97 | 8.79 | 57.38 | 2.16 | 33.40% | 24.38% | 19.36% | 20.59% | -193.46% | 3.88% | 0.44 | 10.36 | 4.03 | 4.03 | 1.56 | 1776.00% | 382.00% | -582.00% | 10.60% | 4.58 | -205.63% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.79% | 9.57 | 11.16 | 2.33 | 1.06 |
| KNSL | Kinsale Capital Group, In… | $389.67 | 9.07B | -22% | +195% | -53% | +42% | 18.20 | 4.68 | 4.89 | 14.17 | 83.63 | 4.69 | 52.47% | 33.85% | 26.87% | 29.25% | 57.06% | 9.54% | 0.11 | 59.58 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.09 | 2177.00% | 1804.00% | 396.00% | 10.80% | 1.28 | 112.18% | 0.17% | 3.10% | 1.26% | 14.54 | 9.32 | 4.92 | 2.50 |
| OXLC | Oxford Lane Capital Corp. | $8.39 | 814.74M | -3% | +59% | — | — | 32.95 | 0.82 | 16.67 | 36.90 | — | 0.82 | 59.84% | 50.60% | 50.60% | 3.10% | 2.79% | 2.11% | 0.25 | 1.26 | 220.74 | 220.74 | 3.95 | -9046.00% | -6574.00% | 46852.00% | -44.08% | -485.50 | -40.54% | 19.32% | 636.70% | 19.32% | 36.90 | -2.54 | 18.67 | 0.98 |
| RNR | RenaissanceRe Holdings Lt… | $302.46 | 13.17B | +18% | +2,428% | +72% | +238% | 3.81 | 1.19 | 1.08 | -4.07 | 6.26 | 1.46 | 40.66% | 31.49% | 21.04% | 32.62% | -56.67% | 6.92% | 0.20 | 33.21 | 5.03 | 4.92 | 0.14 | 6081.00% | 945.00% | -1133.00% | 26.81% | 0.41 | -57.85% | 0.80% | 3.00% | 12.41% | -4.20 | -4.56 | -1.32 | 1.82 |
| SF | Stifel Financial Corp. | $74.05 | 11.46B | -1% | +57% | +4% | +33% | 11.36 | 1.30 | 1.23 | 5.12 | — | 1.76 | 86.56% | 13.83% | 10.86% | 11.72% | 16.19% | 1.68% | 0.14 | 1.07 | 4.49 | 6.49 | -1.50 | -592.00% | 694.00% | 15320.00% | 13.58% | 1.31 | 24.98% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.25% | 5.48 | 4.53 | 0.76 | 0.58 |
| UNM | Unum Group | $71.73 | 12B | -38% | -60% | -20% | -40% | 16.84 | 1.12 | 0.95 | 12.79 | — | 1.16 | 38.22% | 7.15% | 5.66% | 6.69% | 5.00% | 1.17% | 0.35 | 4.47 | — | — | 2.96 | -5476.00% | 207.00% | -5997.00% | 4.46% | — | 3.76% | 2.46% | 41.50% | 10.58% | 17.34 | 29.14 | 1.24 | 0.71 |
About American Financial Group, Inc.
American Financial Group, Inc. is an insurance holding company, which engages in property and casualty insurance, focusing on commercial products for businesses, and in the sale of fixed and fixed-indexed annuities in the retail, financial institutions and education markets. Its Property and Casualty Insurance Products include Property and Transportation, Specialty Casualty, and Specialty Financial. The company was founded by Carl Henry Lindner Jr. in 1959 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, OH.
- CEO
- None
- Employees
- 8.7K
- Beta
- 0.69
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($28.26 ÷ $21.31) − 1 = +32.61% (DCF, example).