US · ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
- Sector
- Technology · Semiconductors
- Headquarters
- Veldhoven 5504 DR
- Website
- asml.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$1,427.02
Market cap 559.07B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $874.20 | -38.74% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $768.40 | -46.15% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $73.60 | -94.84% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $518.60 | -63.66% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $44.55 | $88.92 | $2,499.89 | $28.00 | $169.90 |
| 2012 | $61.30 | $60.70 | $914.71 | $19.00 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $80.88 | $68.50 | $45.99 | $18.70 | $51.10 |
| 2014 | $94.56 | $75.05 | $4.32 | $17.90 | $61.60 |
| 2015 | $88.29 | $80.96 | $10.23 | $21.90 | $57.30 |
| 2016 | $114.24 | $91.50 | $12.12 | $15.70 | $73.30 |
| 2017 | $193.28 | $126.25 | $86.21 | $25.20 | $209.40 |
| 2018 | $166.53 | $136.91 | $144.71 | $29.80 | $209.60 |
| 2019 | $272.60 | $177.10 | $146.81 | $3.70 | $113.80 |
| 2020 | $513.24 | $308.70 | $153.73 | $33.90 | $253.90 |
| 2021 | $562.35 | $405.14 | $649.13 | $38.90 | $670.20 |
| 2022 | $585.47 | $403.93 | $1,002.17 | $0.00 | $353.00 |
| 2023 | $977.50 | $572.40 | $4,076.41 | $40.10 | $862.40 |
| 2024 | $725.87 | $467.02 | $713.71 | $39.60 | $239.20 |
| 2025 | $1,423.54 | $746.95 | $547.44 | $73.60 | $518.60 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates ASML Holding N.V.'s (ASML) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $874.20
- Current price
- $1,427.02
- AI upside
- -38.74%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$768.40
-46.15% upside
Graham-Dodd
$73.60
-94.84% upside
Graham Formula
$518.60
-63.66% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ASML | ASML Holding N.V. | $1,427.02 | 559.07B | -48% | -46% | -95% | -64% | 51.20 | 24.11 | 15.06 | 38.02 | 180.08 | 32.64 | 52.83% | 34.60% | 29.42% | 48.48% | 91.00% | 18.62% | 0.14 | — | 1.26 | 0.72 | -0.84 | 2843.00% | 1102.00% | 1202.00% | 2.25% | 0.50 | 107.96% | 0.52% | 26.50% | 2.25% | 42.55 | 43.39 | 14.72 | 10.64 |
| AMAT | Applied Materials, Inc. | $372.30 | 295.46B | -40% | -67% | -90% | -71% | 30.85 | 10.58 | 7.61 | 22.22 | 5312.71 | 13.10 | 48.67% | 29.22% | 24.67% | 35.51% | 35.73% | 19.79% | 0.35 | 30.81 | 2.61 | 1.74 | -0.02 | 58.00% | 439.00% | -2389.00% | 2.64% | 0.99 | 32.53% | 0.64% | 19.80% | 2.91% | 25.86 | 37.62 | 7.56 | 12.25 |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices, I… | $200.21 | 326.42B | -39% | -23% | -82% | -45% | 75.56 | 5.12 | 9.31 | 43.50 | 45.79 | 15.24 | 49.52% | 10.66% | 12.51% | 7.08% | 6.62% | 5.84% | 0.07 | 28.20 | 2.85 | 1.78 | -0.15 | 16500.00% | 3434.00% | 18004.00% | 2.09% | 0.82 | 12.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.41% | 85.67 | 46.99 | 9.14 | 14.90 |
| CSCO | Cisco Systems, Inc. | $79.46 | 313.95B | -21% | -58% | — | -58% | 25.54 | 5.70 | 4.71 | 18.14 | 6487.91 | -12.44 | 64.94% | 20.76% | 17.97% | 22.65% | 18.37% | 8.47% | 0.60 | 7.38 | 1.00 | 0.74 | 1.28 | 39.00% | 530.00% | 3015.00% | 4.98% | 0.40 | 22.64% | 2.41% | 61.60% | 6.51% | 23.72 | 21.00 | 4.92 | 2.90 |
| IBM | International Business Ma… | $240.21 | 224.53B | +17% | -53% | — | -27% | 21.11 | 6.84 | 3.30 | 15.96 | 28.64 | -4.80 | 59.50% | 15.29% | 15.69% | 35.26% | 13.20% | 7.31% | 2.06 | 5.34 | 0.93 | 0.83 | 3.10 | 7372.00% | 762.00% | -157.00% | 5.19% | 0.34 | 14.80% | 2.80% | 59.20% | 2.80% | 26.72 | 23.83 | 4.08 | 3.21 |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | $1,524.55 | 200.31B | -61% | -57% | -95% | -38% | 29.56 | 25.58 | 9.88 | 22.78 | 59.41 | 48.89 | 62.32% | 43.11% | 33.41% | 100.78% | 76.58% | 25.79% | 1.30 | 17.34 | 2.62 | 1.70 | 0.75 | 4975.00% | 2389.00% | 2344.00% | 3.12% | 1.00 | 62.52% | 0.75% | 22.30% | 3.24% | 23.21 | 32.51 | 10.01 | 8.85 |
| LRCX | Lam Research Corporation | $233.89 | 292.08B | -62% | -62% | -94% | -45% | 24.62 | 13.38 | 7.16 | 20.54 | 57.12 | 16.38 | 48.71% | 32.01% | 29.06% | 58.24% | 66.74% | 26.73% | 0.48 | 33.11 | 2.21 | 1.49 | -0.26 | 4310.00% | 2368.00% | 2722.00% | 4.10% | 0.94 | 68.09% | 0.87% | 21.50% | 4.05% | 22.08 | 24.07 | 7.07 | 11.02 |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | $412.37 | 464.13B | -59% | -62% | -81% | +2% | 31.08 | 4.90 | 7.10 | 14.62 | 3.16 | 5.05 | 39.79% | 26.41% | 22.84% | 17.20% | 15.83% | 11.22% | 0.28 | 20.69 | 2.52 | 1.71 | 0.30 | 98429.00% | 4885.00% | 127851.00% | 0.63% | 1.53 | 3.03% | 0.20% | 6.10% | 0.70% | 27.39 | 162.10 | 7.23 | 7.48 |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | $142.36 | 152.05B | +9% | -23% | — | -25% | 34.40 | 8.99 | 4.30 | 13.03 | — | 21.91 | 55.43% | 27.90% | 12.51% | 23.34% | 20.20% | 10.52% | 0.77 | 18.61 | 2.82 | 1.84 | 0.57 | -4421.00% | 1366.00% | 1486.00% | 6.73% | 1.53 | 47.91% | 2.00% | 68.70% | 6.61% | 15.74 | 15.17 | 4.39 | 6.62 |
| SAP | SAP SE | $201.53 | 234.83B | -9% | -52% | -94% | -60% | 27.75 | 4.37 | 5.52 | 15.30 | 22.02 | 14.52 | 73.48% | 27.97% | 19.91% | 15.61% | 16.08% | 9.74% | 0.18 | 7.47 | 1.17 | 0.99 | -0.01 | 12604.00% | 343.00% | 7945.00% | 4.06% | 0.50 | 18.06% | 1.35% | 37.40% | 2.91% | 19.58 | 24.39 | 5.48 | 6.63 |
| TXN | Texas Instruments Incorpo… | $212.11 | 192.73B | -30% | -60% | — | -47% | 38.14 | 11.72 | 10.79 | 24.39 | 793.26 | 16.29 | 57.02% | 34.06% | 28.28% | 30.15% | 20.63% | 14.27% | 0.95 | 11.09 | 4.35 | 2.17 | 1.47 | 481.00% | 1305.00% | 7377.00% | 1.36% | 2.26 | 10.18% | 2.62% | 100.00% | 3.40% | 33.41 | 77.31 | 11.38 | 9.82 |
About ASML Holding N.V.
ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, markets, sells, and services advanced semiconductor equipment systems for chipmakers. It offers advanced semiconductor equipment systems, including lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. The company also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, it offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip defects. Further, the company provides computational lithography solutions, and lithography systems and control software solutions; and refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems, as well as offers customer support and related services. It operates in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. and changed its name to ASML Holding N.V. in 2001. ASML Holding N.V. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.
- CEO
- Christophe D. Fouquet
- Employees
- 43.13K
- Beta
- 1.46
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($768.40 ÷ $1,427.02) − 1 = -46.15% (DCF, example).