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Stock Analysis & ValuationAroundtown S.A. (AT1.DE)

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Previous Close
2.68
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)24.37810
Intrinsic value (DCF)3.0915
Graham-Dodd Method11.29322
Graham Formula1.68-37

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Aroundtown SA (AT1.DE) is a Luxembourg-based real estate investment company specializing in commercial and residential properties across Germany, the Netherlands, the UK, Belgium, and other international markets. With a diversified portfolio that includes office spaces, hotels, logistics centers, retail properties, and wholesale assets, Aroundtown SA has established itself as a key player in the European real estate sector. Founded in 2004 and listed on the Deutsche Börse (XETRA), the company leverages its extensive market knowledge and strategic acquisitions to drive growth. Aroundtown SA operates in a dynamic real estate services industry, benefiting from urbanization trends and demand for mixed-use developments. Despite macroeconomic challenges such as rising interest rates and fluctuating property valuations, the company maintains a strong liquidity position, supported by a market capitalization of approximately €2.86 billion. Investors value Aroundtown SA for its income-generating assets and long-term value creation strategy.

Investment Summary

Aroundtown SA presents a mixed investment case. On the positive side, the company boasts a diversified real estate portfolio across stable European markets, strong operating cash flow (€820.5M in the latest period), and a solid liquidity position (€3.13B in cash). However, risks include high leverage (total debt of €14.7B), exposure to cyclical property markets, and a beta of 1.44, indicating higher volatility than the broader market. The lack of a dividend (€0 per share) may deter income-focused investors, though this could reflect capital retention for strategic acquisitions. The company’s ability to navigate interest rate pressures and maintain occupancy rates will be critical. Investors with a higher risk tolerance and a long-term horizon may find value in Aroundtown’s asset base and potential recovery in European real estate demand.

Competitive Analysis

Aroundtown SA competes in the highly fragmented European real estate services sector, where scale, geographic diversification, and asset quality are key differentiators. The company’s competitive advantage lies in its diversified portfolio spanning multiple property types (office, hotel, logistics, retail) and prime locations in Germany and the Netherlands, which are among Europe’s most stable real estate markets. Its Luxembourg base provides tax efficiency and access to international capital. However, Aroundtown faces stiff competition from larger peers with stronger balance sheets and more aggressive development pipelines. The company’s high debt-to-equity ratio could limit its flexibility compared to less leveraged competitors. Aroundtown’s focus on value-add acquisitions and asset management rather than ground-up development differentiates it from pure-play developers but exposes it to fluctuating rental yields. The firm’s ability to maintain high occupancy rates and manage refinancing risks will be crucial in a rising-rate environment. Its lack of a dividend may also put it at a disadvantage compared to income-focused REITs.

Major Competitors

  • DIC Asset AG (DIC.DE): DIC Asset AG is a German real estate company focusing on commercial properties, with a strong presence in domestic markets. It has a more conservative leverage profile than Aroundtown but lacks the same international diversification. DIC’s smaller scale limits its acquisition firepower, though its local expertise in Germany is a strength.
  • Gerentum Property AG (GXI.DE): Gerentum Property AG specializes in German residential and commercial real estate. While it has a narrower geographic focus than Aroundtown, its residential assets provide more stable cash flows. Gerentum’s smaller portfolio size may limit its ability to compete for large-scale transactions.
  • Tritax EuroBox plc (TLX.L): Tritax EuroBox is a UK-listed logistics-focused REIT with assets across Europe. Its specialization in logistics properties gives it exposure to e-commerce growth, a sector where Aroundtown has less concentration. Tritax’s lower leverage and higher dividend yield make it attractive to income investors.
  • Barry Callebaut AG (BARN.SW): Note: This appears to be an incorrect competitor (food industry) and should be excluded. No valid alternative identified.
  • Deutsche EuroShop AG (DEQ.DE): Deutsche EuroShop focuses exclusively on retail properties, particularly shopping centers. This niche approach contrasts with Aroundtown’s diversification but exposes it to higher e-commerce risks. Its strong tenant relationships in Germany are a competitive advantage.
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