TO · ATH.TO
Athabasca Oil Corporation
- Sector
- Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
- Headquarters
- Calgary, AB T2P 1K3
- Website
- atha.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$11.91
Market cap 4.29B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $31.80 | +167% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $3.25 | -72.71% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $7.46 | -37.37% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $23.77 | +99.55% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $16.31 | $84.34 | $3.85 | $0.00 | $1,917.18 |
| 2011 | $11.91 | $29.13 | $6.20 | $9.69 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $9.65 | $92.08 | $3.16 | $11.94 | $338.49 |
| 2013 | $8.47 | $64.45 | $0.00 | $6.96 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $1.79 | $21.54 | $0.00 | $5.08 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $1.17 | $27.80 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $42.20 |
| 2016 | $1.52 | $31.12 | $0.83 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $1.02 | $52.81 | $8.30 | $0.96 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $0.85 | $21.64 | $2.81 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $0.29 | $25.49 | $13.27 | $4.11 | $4.02 |
| 2020 | $0.59 | $26.82 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $46.80 |
| 2021 | $2.24 | $54.13 | $33.26 | $6.25 | $105.00 |
| 2022 | $3.07 | $37.86 | $78.18 | $8.05 | $54.45 |
| 2023 | $5.19 | $27.97 | $36.27 | $2.27 | $1.02 |
| 2024 | $4.80 | $31.80 | $5.39 | $7.46 | $23.77 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Athabasca Oil Corporation's (ATH.TO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $31.80
- Current price
- $11.91
- AI upside
- +167%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$3.25
-72.71% upside
Graham-Dodd
$7.46
-37.37% upside
Graham Formula
$23.77
+99.55% upside
About Athabasca Oil Corporation
Athabasca Oil Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and production of light and thermal oil resource plays in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin in Alberta, Canada. The company operates through Thermal Oil and Light Oil segments. Its principal properties are in the Greater Placid and Greater Kaybob areas near the Town of Fox Creek in northwestern Alberta; and the Leismer and Hangingstone projects located in the Athabasca region of northeastern Alberta. The company produces light and medium crude oil, tight oil, conventional natural gas, shale gas, and natural gas liquids; and bitumen from sand and carbonate rock formations. As of December 31, 2021, it held approximately 889,000 net acres of mineral resource leases, licenses, and permits, which include approximately 347,000 net acres of oil sands leases and permits, and approximately 337,000 net acres of petroleum and natural gas leases in the Athabasca region of northwestern Alberta; approximately 204,000 net acres of petroleum and natural gas leases in northwestern Alberta; and had an interest in approximately 254 gross wells of bitumen, crude oil, and natural gas. The company was formerly known as Athabasca Oil Sands Corp. and changed its name to Athabasca Oil Corporation in May 2012. Athabasca Oil Corporation was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
- CEO
- Robert Anthony Broen
- Employees
- 181
- Beta
- 0.73
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($3.25 ÷ $11.91) − 1 = -72.71% (DCF, example).