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Stock Analysis & ValuationAubay S.A. (AUB.PA)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
59.90
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)39.78-34
Intrinsic value (DCF)20.80-65
Graham-Dodd Method7.40-88
Graham Formula27.19-55

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Aubay SA (AUB.PA) is a leading European digital services company specializing in IT consulting, digital transformation, and cloud solutions. Headquartered in Boulogne-Billancourt, France, Aubay operates across Belgium, Luxembourg, Spain, Portugal, Italy, and France, serving diverse sectors including banking, insurance, public services, telecom, retail, and more. The company offers a comprehensive suite of services such as management consulting, IT infrastructure and security, big data analytics, digital marketing, and agile DevOps solutions. Founded in 1997, Aubay has established itself as a trusted partner for enterprises undergoing digital transformation, leveraging emerging technologies like AI, blockchain, and RPA. With a market cap of approximately €596 million, Aubay combines deep industry expertise with innovative digital solutions, positioning it as a key player in Europe's competitive IT services landscape. Its strong presence in high-growth markets and commitment to operational excellence make it a compelling choice for businesses seeking end-to-end digital enablement.

Investment Summary

Aubay presents a moderately attractive investment opportunity with a balanced risk-reward profile. The company operates in the growing IT services sector, benefiting from increasing demand for digital transformation and cloud solutions across Europe. With a market cap of €596M and a beta of 1.056, Aubay exhibits slightly higher volatility than the market. Its FY2024 financials show solid revenue of €540M and net income of €37.6M, with a diluted EPS of €2.93. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with €84.7M in cash and €21M in total debt, indicating manageable leverage. Operating cash flow of €55M supports its €1.30 dividend per share, appealing to income-focused investors. However, competition from larger global IT service providers and regional players could pressure margins. Investors should weigh Aubay's strong European footprint against potential macroeconomic headwinds in its core markets.

Competitive Analysis

Aubay competes in the fragmented European IT services market, differentiating itself through deep sector expertise and a comprehensive digital services portfolio. Its competitive advantage lies in its strong regional presence across key Western European markets, allowing for localized service delivery combined with multinational scalability. The company's focus on high-growth areas like cloud infrastructure, cybersecurity, and AI-driven analytics positions it well against both global giants and smaller niche players. Aubay's vertical specialization in banking, insurance, and public sectors provides domain-specific insights that generalist competitors often lack. However, its mid-size scale may limit its ability to compete on large multinational contracts where global IT service providers dominate. The company compensates with agility and tailored solutions for European regulatory environments. Its hybrid delivery model balances on-site consulting with offshore capabilities, though it faces pricing pressure from lower-cost Eastern European and Indian competitors. Aubay's innovation labs focusing on emerging technologies demonstrate forward-looking capabilities, but require continued investment to maintain differentiation against better-funded rivals.

Major Competitors

  • Capgemini SE (CAP.PA): Capgemini is a global leader in IT services with significantly larger scale (€22B revenue) and international reach compared to Aubay. Its strengths include extensive cloud partnerships and consulting expertise, though its size can sometimes limit agility for mid-market clients. Capgemini's broader geographic footprint pressures Aubay in multinational engagements, but Aubay maintains an edge in specific regional markets and niche service areas.
  • Atos SE (ATO.PA): Atos is a major European IT services provider undergoing restructuring. While larger in scale, its recent financial challenges have created opportunities for more stable players like Aubay in certain client segments. Atos has stronger infrastructure management capabilities but Aubay competes effectively in digital transformation projects requiring specialized industry knowledge.
  • Sopra Steria Group (SOP.PA): Sopra Steria combines IT services with software expertise, competing directly with Aubay in banking and public sector projects. Its end-to-end capabilities including proprietary software give it an edge in certain engagements, though Aubay's more focused consulting approach and agility in digital transformation projects remain competitive strengths.
  • ALTEN SA (ALTEN.PA): ALTEN specializes in engineering and technology consulting, overlapping with Aubay in technical IT services. While ALTEN has stronger engineering roots, Aubay offers more comprehensive digital transformation capabilities. Both compete for similar talent pools, with ALTEN having slightly broader European coverage.
  • IBS Intelligence (IBST.L): IBS focuses specifically on financial technology services, competing with Aubay's banking sector practice. While smaller in overall size, IBS's pure-play fintech specialization makes it a formidable competitor in banking IT projects, though Aubay's broader service portfolio provides more cross-selling opportunities.
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