US · BLBD
Blue Bird Corporation
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers
- Headquarters
- Macon, GA 31210
- Website
- blue-bird.com
Price · as of 2025-09-27
$62.87
Market cap 1.84B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | — | — |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $291.19 | +363.16% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $27.47 | -56.31% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $149.92 | +138.46% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | $0.12 | $42.60 | |||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | |||||
| 2021 | |||||
| 2022 | |||||
| 2023 | $4.36 | $16.21 | |||
| 2024 | |||||
| 2025 | $51.27 | $1,664.39 | $27.47 | $149.92 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Blue Bird Corporation's (BLBD) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- —
- Current price
- $62.87
- AI upside
- —
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$291.19
+363.16% upside
Graham-Dodd
$27.47
-56.31% upside
Graham Formula
$149.92
+138.46% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| BLBD | Blue Bird Corporation | $62.87 | 1.84B | — | +363% | -56% | +138% | 12.79 | 6.40 | 1.10 | 7.77 | — | 8.38 | 20.51% | 11.29% | 8.63% | — | — | — | 0.35 | 23.21 | 1.74 | 1.06 | -0.72 | — | — | — | 9.39% | 0.74 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.03% | 8.94 | 9.75 | 1.01 | 6.43 |
| ACVA | ACV Auctions Inc. | $4.86 | 836.75M | +506% | +410% | — | — | -12.61 | 1.94 | 1.10 | -65.68 | — | 5.06 | 62.07% | -8.12% | -8.71% | -15.21% | -19.24% | -6.39% | 0.44 | -6.41 | 1.60 | 1.11 | 7.11 | -1875.00% | 1922.00% | 1360.00% | 8.29% | 0.19 | 21.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -12.20 | 10.89 | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| AIN | Albany International Corp… | $57.65 | 1.7B | -25% | -59% | — | — | -29.86 | 2.34 | 1.44 | 36.81 | — | 3.14 | 20.62% | -1.90% | -4.85% | -6.82% | -1.81% | -3.38% | 0.63 | -0.76 | 2.10 | 0.79 | 6.18 | -16929.00% | -388.00% | -4020.00% | 4.86% | 0.34 | 7.23% | 1.91% | -57.00% | 12.85% | -91.17 | 24.73 | 1.73 | 2.81 |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | $67.23 | 1.98B | -7% | -61% | +37% | -85% | 13.41 | 0.76 | 0.48 | 14.89 | — | 0.78 | 21.42% | 9.16% | 3.58% | 5.66% | 7.32% | 3.27% | 0.56 | — | 4.15 | 0.25 | 5.86 | -5327.00% | -638.00% | 4334.00% | 6.28% | 0.18 | 3.18% | 1.75% | 23.50% | 11.09% | 8.65 | 26.26 | 0.79 | 3.24 |
| MBC | MasterBrand, Inc. | $10.12 | 1.29B | +201% | -60% | -73% | -81% | 47.57 | 0.94 | 0.46 | 10.80 | — | -3.84 | 29.25% | 4.83% | 0.98% | 2.02% | 3.20% | 0.89% | 1.00 | 1.78 | 1.67 | 0.80 | 5.17 | -7812.00% | 127.00% | -4434.00% | 9.25% | 0.47 | 4.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.43% | 18.44 | 20.73 | 0.89 | 2.18 |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino & Resort, … | $96.10 | 1.75B | -9% | -44% | -61% | -29% | 17.48 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 9.16 | 42.21 | 3.47 | 45.13% | 25.07% | 18.60% | 19.21% | 22.78% | 14.44% | 0.05 | 70.55 | 0.86 | 0.74 | -0.38 | 4141.00% | 439.00% | 3768.00% | 7.25% | 1.10 | 27.33% | 1.24% | 21.60% | 6.82% | 12.45 | 13.25 | 3.12 | 8.61 |
| MODG | Topgolf Callaway Brands C… | $14.68 | 2.7B | -33% | -83% | — | — | -0.80 | 0.48 | 0.27 | -5.32 | — | 2.79 | 62.53% | -29.66% | -34.15% | -46.06% | -17.32% | -17.28% | 1.85 | -5.44 | 1.94 | 0.88 | -3.80 | -177660.00% | -106.00% | -17333.00% | 7.47% | 0.46 | 1.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 25.92% | -4.12 | 59.79 | 1.22 | 0.17 |
| PSNY | Polestar Automotive Holdi… | $23.28 | 1.64B | +16% | -41% | — | +606% | -1.17 | -0.72 | 1.18 | -4.00 | -1.67 | -0.55 | -43.07% | -89.14% | -100.77% | 89.30% | -145.09% | -50.15% | -1.51 | -5.41 | 0.48 | 0.24 | -2.56 | 7018.00% | -1448.00% | -3363.00% | -56.04% | -0.21 | -108.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.68 | -4.95 | 3.28 | -3.89 |
| PZZA | Papa John's International… | $31.35 | 1.03B | -25% | -59% | — | -76% | 32.67 | -2.42 | 0.51 | 6.83 | — | -2.10 | 28.89% | 4.34% | 1.49% | -7.45% | 68.59% | 3.72% | -0.52 | 2.19 | 0.82 | 0.50 | 1.04 | -6457.00% | -27.00% | 7953.00% | 5.84% | 0.43 | 47.17% | 5.83% | 190.40% | 76.75% | 13.89 | 20.20 | 0.60 | 3.57 |
| TILE | Interface, Inc. | $31.49 | 1.84B | +35% | -61% | -12% | -16% | 15.29 | 1.47 | 1.28 | 9.92 | 47.15 | 1.70 | 38.75% | 11.82% | 8.37% | 13.69% | 12.81% | 7.89% | 0.22 | 8.39 | 2.34 | 1.04 | 0.97 | 3243.00% | 541.00% | 617.00% | 6.86% | 0.71 | 11.20% | 0.20% | 3.10% | 6.33% | 12.00 | 16.17 | 1.42 | 3.19 |
| WEN | The Wendy's Company | $7.66 | 1.46B | +182% | -61% | — | -42% | 8.75 | 12.31 | 0.66 | 10.08 | — | -0.79 | 26.87% | 15.27% | 7.58% | 87.63% | 6.14% | 3.30% | 35.31 | 2.63 | 1.76 | 1.19 | 7.33 | -1053.00% | -310.00% | -701.00% | 16.79% | 0.98 | 6.17% | 8.97% | 78.50% | 22.86% | 15.92 | 21.80 | 2.43 | 1.03 |
About Blue Bird Corporation
Blue Bird Corporation designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses and related parts in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. The company offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative fuel applications through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was formerly known as Hennessy Capital Acquisition Corp. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.
- CEO
- John Wyskiel
- Employees
- 1.95K
- Beta
- 1.43
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($291.19 ÷ $62.87) − 1 = +363.16% (DCF, example).