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Stock Analysis & ValuationBackblaze, Inc. (BLZE)

Previous Close
$9.45
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)154.851539
Intrinsic value (DCF)5.71-40
Graham-Dodd Methodn/a
Graham Formulan/a
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Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Backblaze, Inc. (NASDAQ: BLZE) is a leading cloud storage platform offering scalable, cost-effective solutions for businesses and consumers globally. Specializing in Infrastructure-as-a-Service (IaaS) and Data-Protection-as-a-Service, Backblaze provides Backblaze B2 Cloud Storage for developers and enterprises, enabling multi-cloud strategies, ransomware protection, and application development. Its consumer-focused Backblaze Computer Backup ensures secure, automated backups for personal and business devices. Founded in 2007 and headquartered in San Mateo, California, Backblaze operates on a web-scale infrastructure using commodity hardware, delivering high efficiency and affordability. The company serves the rapidly growing cloud storage market, competing with hyperscalers by emphasizing simplicity, transparency, and competitive pricing. With a strong focus on data resilience and cybersecurity, Backblaze is well-positioned in the $100B+ cloud storage industry, catering to SMBs, developers, and individual users seeking reliable alternatives to expensive legacy providers.

Investment Summary

Backblaze presents a high-growth opportunity in the expanding cloud storage market, with its asset-light model and competitive pricing appealing to cost-conscious customers. However, the company operates at a net loss (-$48.5M in FY2023) amid stiff competition from hyperscalers like AWS and Google Cloud. Revenue growth (2023: $127.6M) is offset by high R&D and marketing costs, though positive operating cash flow ($12.5M) suggests improving unit economics. Key risks include pricing pressure, customer concentration, and reliance on third-party data centers. The stock’s high beta (1.03) reflects volatility, but Backblaze’s niche focus on SMBs and developers could drive long-term upside if it achieves scale and sustains its >50% gross margins.

Competitive Analysis

Backblaze competes by undercutting hyperscalers on price (B2 storage at 1/4th of AWS S3) while maintaining comparable durability (99.999999999% uptime). Its differentiation lies in transparent pricing without egress fees for partners, API simplicity, and a strong focus on backup/restore use cases. However, it lacks the global infrastructure, AI integrations, and enterprise sales channels of larger rivals. The company’s B2 service is gaining traction among developers and SaaS platforms as a budget-friendly alternative, but its limited service portfolio (no compute or database offerings) restricts cross-selling opportunities. Backblaze’s consumer backup business faces declining growth as hyperscalers bundle storage with other services. Competitive advantages include a capital-efficient architecture (using commodity hardware) and a loyal SMB customer base, but long-term success depends on expanding enterprise adoption and resisting margin compression.

Major Competitors

  • Amazon Web Services (AWS) (AMZN): AWS dominates with S3 storage but is 4x more expensive than Backblaze B2 for bulk storage. Strengths include global scale, integrated services (Lambda, EC2), and enterprise credibility. Weaknesses: complex pricing and egress fees deter SMBs.
  • Google Cloud Storage (GOOGL): Competes on price with Nearline/Coldline tiers but lacks Backblaze’s backup specialization. Strengths: AI/ML integrations and multi-region support. Weaknesses: Less developer-friendly APIs and higher minimum fees.
  • Microsoft Azure Blob Storage (MSFT): Strong in hybrid cloud with Azure Stack but costly for cold storage. Strengths: Enterprise contracts and Office 365 integration. Weaknesses: Pricing opacity and steep learning curve.
  • Wasabi Technologies (WBD): Direct competitor with similar low-cost model but charges no egress fees. Strengths: Faster retrieval speeds. Weaknesses: Smaller ecosystem and less brand recognition.
  • Box, Inc. (BOX): Focuses on file collaboration rather than raw storage. Strengths: Strong governance features. Weaknesses: Higher per-user pricing and limited developer appeal.
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