investorscraft@gmail.com

Cable One, Inc. (CABO)

Previous Close
$124.64
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)1256.08908
Intrinsic value (DCF)135.118
Graham-Dodd Methodn/a
Graham Formula6.65-95

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Cable One, Inc. (NYSE: CABO) is a leading U.S. telecommunications provider offering high-speed data, video, and voice services to residential and business customers across 24 states under its Sparklight, Fidelity, and Clearwave brands. With approximately 1.2 million customers, the company delivers essential connectivity solutions, including residential Wi-Fi enhancement, digital video services with premium channels, and business-grade telecom products. Operating in the competitive Communication Services sector, Cable One differentiates itself through advanced offerings like whole-home DVRs, TV Everywhere streaming, and scalable enterprise solutions. Despite industry headwinds from cord-cutting and fiber competition, the company maintains a strong regional presence with a focus on broadband expansion and operational efficiency. Headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, Cable One serves as a critical infrastructure provider in mid-sized markets, balancing steady cash flows with strategic investments in network upgrades.

Investment Summary

Cable One presents a mixed investment profile. The company benefits from stable recurring revenue in broadband services, a high dividend yield (~11.8/share), and strong operating cash flow ($664M). However, its elevated debt load ($3.6B) and thin net margins (0.9% in latest reporting) raise leverage concerns, particularly as capital expenditures remain significant for network upgrades. While the stock's beta of 1.0 suggests market-average volatility, secular declines in video revenue and competition from fiber providers may pressure growth. Value investors may appreciate the cash-generative business model and dividend, but the company needs to demonstrate improved execution in broadband subscriber growth and debt management to justify long-term upside.

Competitive Analysis

Cable One operates in a fragmented but highly competitive broadband and video market, competing against national telecom giants, regional fiber providers, and streaming alternatives. The company's primary competitive advantage lies in its entrenched position as an incumbent cable provider in secondary markets, where infrastructure barriers deter new entrants. Its hybrid fiber-coaxial network delivers competitive broadband speeds (1Gbps+ in many areas), though it faces increasing pressure from fiber-to-the-home providers like AT&T Fiber and regional players offering symmetrical speeds. Unlike larger competitors, Cable One lacks wireless bundling capabilities (a key retention tool for Comcast/Charter) and has limited scale for content negotiations. However, its Sparklight-branded services demonstrate above-average customer satisfaction for regional ISPs. Strategically, the company is pivoting toward business services (20%+ of revenue) where it competes on reliability and localized support against Lumen and Comcast Business. The capital-intensive nature of network upgrades and modest scale (sub-2% U.S. market share) remain structural challenges against deep-pocketed rivals.

Major Competitors

  • Comcast Corporation (CMCSA): Comcast dominates as the largest U.S. cable provider with 32M+ broadband subscribers. Its Xfinity brand offers superior network density, wireless bundling (via Xfinity Mobile), and NBCUniversal content synergies. However, Cable One competes more effectively in rural/smaller markets where Comcast's scale advantages are less pronounced.
  • Charter Communications (CHTR): Charter's Spectrum service covers 41 states with aggressive pricing and widespread 1Gbps availability. Its mobile partnership with Verizon strengthens bundles, but network reliability issues persist. Cable One's regional focus allows for more tailored business services in its footprint.
  • Lumen Technologies (LUMN): Lumen provides enterprise-grade fiber and legacy copper services, overlapping in business markets. While Lumen has deeper fiber assets, its declining revenue and operational challenges create opportunities for Cable One to capture SMB customers with more responsive service.
  • AT&T Inc. (T): AT&T Fiber poses the greatest technological threat with symmetrical multi-gig speeds in expanding markets. However, AT&T's limited rural buildout leaves gaps where Cable One's HFC network remains the fastest available option.
  • WideOpenWest (WOW): Similar regional cable operator with 1.9M passings. WOW's fiber expansion strategy mirrors Cable One's challenges, but its smaller scale and financial instability make it a less formidable competitor in overlapping markets.
HomeMenuAccount