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Stock Analysis & ValuationChemtrade Logistics Income Fund (CHE-UN.TO)

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$12.86
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)55.60332
Intrinsic value (DCF)13.404
Graham-Dodd Methodn/a
Graham Formula5.43-58
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Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund (TSX: CHE-UN.TO) is a leading provider of industrial chemicals and services across Canada, the United States, and South America. Operating through three key segments—Sulphur Products & Performance Chemicals (SPPC), Water Solutions & Specialty Chemicals (WSSC), and Electrochemicals (EC)—Chemtrade serves critical industries such as water treatment, pulp and paper, and oil and gas. The SPPC segment specializes in sulphuric acid and related products, while WSSC focuses on water treatment coagulants and specialty chemicals. The EC segment produces sodium chlorate and chlor-alkali products essential for industrial applications. Headquartered in Toronto, Chemtrade has built a strong reputation for reliability and efficiency in chemical manufacturing and waste stream processing. With a market cap of approximately CAD 1.3 billion, the company plays a vital role in the basic materials sector, offering essential products that support infrastructure and industrial operations. Investors value Chemtrade for its stable cash flows, diversified product portfolio, and strategic positioning in North and South American markets.

Investment Summary

Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund presents a compelling investment case due to its stable revenue streams, diversified industrial chemical portfolio, and strong market positioning in essential sectors like water treatment and pulp and paper. The company’s FY 2024 financials show solid revenue (CAD 1.79 billion) and net income (CAD 126.9 million), supported by robust operating cash flow (CAD 347.8 million). However, investors should note the company’s high beta (1.247), indicating sensitivity to market volatility, and significant total debt (CAD 899.3 million). The dividend yield (approximately 5.2% based on CAD 0.67 per share) is attractive but must be weighed against leverage risks. Chemtrade’s exposure to cyclical industries like oil and gas also introduces macroeconomic sensitivity. Overall, the fund is suited for income-focused investors comfortable with moderate risk in the industrial chemicals sector.

Competitive Analysis

Chemtrade Logistics differentiates itself through vertical integration, cost-efficient production, and a diversified product mix across sulphur, water treatment, and electrochemical segments. Its competitive advantage lies in long-term customer contracts, particularly in the SPPC segment, where it provides critical sulphuric acid and waste processing services. The WSSC segment benefits from regulatory tailwinds in water treatment, while the EC segment leverages stable demand from pulp and paper manufacturers. However, Chemtrade faces pricing pressure from global chemical producers and raw material cost fluctuations. Its regional focus in North America provides logistical advantages but limits exposure to high-growth emerging markets. Competitors with larger scale, such as Univar Solutions and Olin Corporation, pose challenges in pricing and innovation. Chemtrade’s ability to maintain margins hinges on operational efficiency and strategic acquisitions to expand its specialty chemicals portfolio.

Major Competitors

  • Univar Solutions Inc. (UNVR): Univar is a global distributor of industrial and specialty chemicals with a broader geographic reach than Chemtrade. Its strengths include a vast product portfolio and strong supplier relationships, but it lacks Chemtrade’s vertical integration in sulphur and electrochemicals. Univar’s higher debt levels and lower margins in distribution are relative weaknesses.
  • Olin Corporation (OLN): Olin is a major chlor-alkali producer with significant scale advantages over Chemtrade’s EC segment. Its integrated supply chain and strong R&D capabilities make it a formidable competitor, though Chemtrade’s focus on niche markets like water treatment provides some insulation. Olin’s exposure to commodity price swings is a shared risk.
  • Nutrien Ltd. (TSE: NTR): Nutrien’s diversified agri-chemical business overlaps with Chemtrade’s sulphur products. Its strengths include global distribution and economies of scale, but Chemtrade’s specialization in industrial chemicals offers differentiation. Nutrien’s cyclical agricultural exposure contrasts with Chemtrade’s more stable water treatment segment.
  • LyondellBasell Industries (LYB): LyondellBasell’s petrochemical dominance gives it cost advantages in raw materials, but Chemtrade’s focus on specialty chemicals and regional services mitigates direct competition. Lyondell’s larger R&D budget is a strength, though its commodity-driven earnings are more volatile than Chemtrade’s.
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