US · COP
ConocoPhillips
- Sector
- Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
- Headquarters
- Houston, TX 77079-2703
- Website
- conocophillips.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$123.19
Market cap 138.69B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $100.50 | -18.42% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $57.95 | -52.96% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $36.95 | -70.01% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $112.20 | -8.92% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $36.42 | $71.11 | $11.71 | $50.62 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $37.90 | $59.67 | $4.42 | $32.93 | $3.24 |
| 2013 | $45.00 | $63.78 | $11.49 | $38.88 | $14.94 |
| 2014 | $43.32 | $62.82 | $9.25 | $26.98 | $19.65 |
| 2015 | $29.81 | $29.70 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $120.19 |
| 2016 | $34.38 | $31.37 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $28.11 |
| 2017 | $42.38 | $34.61 | $5.99 | $5.53 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $51.23 | $66.16 | $118.74 | $36.67 | $172.91 |
| 2019 | $36.37 | $54.06 | $12.87 | $43.34 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $49.51 | $30.37 | $2.64 | $0.00 | $80.76 |
| 2021 | $84.74 | $69.92 | $3,722.20 | $38.07 | $898.13 |
| 2022 | $94.20 | $162.33 | $45,831.48 | $43.34 | $1,105.79 |
| 2023 | $106.18 | $115.45 | $6,582.42 | $16.75 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $87.63 | $89.60 | $206.03 | $47.67 | $42.63 |
| 2025 | $118.24 | $100.50 | $12.95 | $36.95 | $112.20 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates ConocoPhillips's (COP) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $100.50
- Current price
- $123.19
- AI upside
- -18.42%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$57.95
-52.96% upside
Graham-Dodd
$36.95
-70.01% upside
Graham Formula
$112.20
-8.92% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| COP | ConocoPhillips | $123.19 | 138.69B | -18% | -53% | -70% | -9% | 17.71 | 2.19 | 2.37 | 6.31 | — | 2.19 | 35.15% | 19.85% | 13.29% | 12.36% | 8.98% | 6.53% | 0.36 | 10.40 | 1.30 | 1.07 | 0.68 | -1882.00% | 926.00% | 10951.00% | 11.86% | 1.65 | 20.33% | 2.82% | 50.00% | 8.35% | 13.34 | 9.42 | 2.65 | 3.11 |
| BP | BP p.l.c. | $38.86 | 16.99B | -4% | -43% | — | -100% | 1859.91 | 1.93 | 0.54 | 4.83 | — | 2.97 | 17.71% | 8.17% | 0.03% | 0.10% | 6.28% | 0.02% | 1.59 | 3.00 | 1.26 | 0.80 | 1.54 | -8543.00% | 8.00% | -585.00% | 11.02% | 0.30 | 11.48% | 4.95% | 9198.10% | 9.33% | 9.71 | 13.28 | 0.79 | 1.26 |
| CNQ | Canadian Natural Resource… | $43.77 | 91.18B | -50% | -34% | -97% | — | 13.54 | 2.10 | 2.32 | 6.32 | — | 2.10 | 49.30% | 47.11% | 17.12% | 15.40% | 23.38% | 7.57% | 0.51 | 24.96 | 0.77 | 0.44 | 1.24 | -2380.00% | -1268.00% | 875.00% | 9.79% | 1.39 | 14.87% | 5.36% | 72.50% | 8.57% | 6.12 | 12.71 | 2.88 | 2.58 |
| ENB | Enbridge Inc. | $53.14 | 115.94B | -9% | -59% | — | +35% | 9.97 | 1.89 | 1.80 | 10.90 | 25.93 | 5.10 | 32.97% | 16.81% | 11.49% | 18.40% | 5.23% | 5.39% | 1.71 | 2.20 | 0.46 | 1.35 | 5.15 | 3846.00% | 2192.00% | -4185.00% | 2.80% | 2.01 | 1.98% | 7.34% | 73.20% | 7.34% | 20.34 | 67.62 | 3.42 | 0.77 |
| EOG | EOG Resources, Inc. | $124.08 | 67.33B | +9% | -30% | -67% | -64% | 13.93 | 2.33 | 3.07 | 6.58 | — | 2.33 | 68.11% | 35.14% | 22.07% | 16.83% | 20.04% | 10.06% | 0.28 | 36.05 | 1.92 | 1.64 | 0.44 | -1902.00% | -347.00% | -3192.00% | 5.66% | 2.71 | 12.64% | 3.12% | 43.40% | 6.81% | 9.38 | 18.93 | 3.30 | 3.72 |
| EPD | Enterprise Products Partn… | $36.14 | 78.25B | +28% | -57% | -32% | -85% | 13.88 | 2.68 | 1.53 | 8.20 | — | 3.99 | 13.61% | 13.13% | 11.05% | 19.76% | 15.09% | 7.50% | 0.05 | 4.93 | 1.04 | 0.08 | 0.07 | -112.00% | -644.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.67 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 38.44% | 11.78 | — | 1.55 | 59.25 |
| EQNR | Equinor ASA | $29.83 | 75.62B | +69% | +16% | — | -24% | 16.44 | 2.06 | 0.78 | 2.67 | — | 2.41 | 26.84% | 25.70% | 4.77% | 12.22% | 21.09% | 3.85% | 0.83 | 18.94 | 1.24 | 0.99 | 0.78 | -3730.00% | 356.00% | -2442.00% | 7.21% | 0.65 | 11.58% | 5.78% | 95.00% | 12.92% | 3.56 | 16.22 | 0.92 | 2.61 |
| FANG | Diamondback Energy, Inc. | $174.08 | 49.88B | +1% | -51% | -44% | +42% | 31.09 | 1.40 | 3.44 | 9.24 | — | 1.40 | 35.16% | 32.73% | 11.07% | 4.45% | 8.01% | 2.41% | 0.39 | 20.16 | 0.42 | 0.32 | 2.01 | -6310.00% | 3631.00% | -19741.00% | 10.12% | 1.90 | 10.33% | 2.23% | 69.50% | 6.12% | 13.44 | 12.63 | 4.40 | 1.59 |
| PBR | Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. … | $16.63 | 107.17B | +90% | -53% | — | — | 5.12 | 0.66 | 0.43 | 3.34 | — | 0.68 | 50.29% | 28.10% | 8.23% | 11.05% | 14.77% | 3.81% | 1.02 | 8.08 | 0.69 | 0.42 | 2.08 | -7030.00% | -1338.00% | -2495.00% | 59.97% | 1.21 | 19.65% | 47.09% | 241.00% | 48.06% | 3.57 | 3.93 | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| TTE | TotalEnergies SE | $80.34 | 178.92B | -17% | -44% | -69% | -60% | 13.34 | 1.59 | 0.96 | 6.00 | — | 2.35 | 11.49% | 11.49% | 7.20% | 11.74% | 9.08% | 4.74% | 0.53 | 5.16 | 0.97 | 0.52 | 0.99 | -1001.00% | -299.00% | -3219.00% | 5.93% | 0.31 | 7.57% | 4.64% | 61.90% | 9.04% | 9.82 | 19.80 | 1.13 | 1.52 |
About ConocoPhillips
ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids worldwide. It primarily engages in the conventional and tight oil reservoirs, shale gas, heavy oil, LNG, oil sands, and other production operations. The company's portfolio includes unconventional plays in North America; conventional assets in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; various LNG developments; oil sands assets in Canada; and an inventory of conventional and unconventional exploration prospects. ConocoPhillips was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
- CEO
- Ryan Lance
- Employees
- 11.8K
- Beta
- 0.29
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($57.95 ÷ $123.19) − 1 = -52.96% (DCF, example).