investorscraft@gmail.com

Stock Analysis & ValuationCross Timbers Royalty Trust (CRT)

Previous Close
$8.79
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)1110.5612534
Intrinsic value (DCF)319.173531
Graham-Dodd Method5.14-42
Graham Formulan/a

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (NYSE: CRT) is a Dallas-based express trust established in 1991, specializing in oil and gas royalty interests. The trust holds a 90% net profits interest in producing and non-producing royalty properties across Texas, Oklahoma, and New Mexico, along with a 75% net profits working interest in seven additional properties. CRT operates as a passive income vehicle, distributing profits from oil and gas production to unitholders without engaging in exploration or operational activities. Positioned in the Energy sector, CRT offers investors exposure to hydrocarbon revenues while mitigating direct operational risks. With a market cap of ~$61.7M and a low beta (0.184), the trust appeals to income-focused investors, evidenced by its $0.89/share annual dividend. Its asset-light model and geographic diversification provide resilience against localized production disruptions, though performance remains tightly coupled to commodity price volatility.

Investment Summary

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust presents a niche opportunity for income-seeking investors, offering a dividend yield tied to oil and gas production from mature properties. The trust’s zero-debt structure and passive royalty model reduce financial and operational risks, while its low beta suggests relative stability versus broader energy equities. However, CRT’s revenue stream is highly sensitive to hydrocarbon price swings and production declines, with no capital expenditures to replenish reserves. The absence of operating cash flow data (reported as $0) raises questions about sustainability, though its $1.37B cash position (likely a reporting anomaly) and consistent dividends offset near-term concerns. Investors must weigh its 6.2% dividend yield (based on $0.89/share) against long-term reserve depletion risks and lack of growth initiatives.

Competitive Analysis

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust’s competitive edge lies in its pure-play royalty structure, which eliminates exposure to operational costs and capital expenditures typical of E&P firms. Unlike active producers, CRT benefits from fixed-cost revenue sharing, insulating unitholders from inflation-driven expense increases. However, this model also limits upside: CRT cannot reinvest profits to acquire new assets or hedge production, making distributions wholly dependent on legacy well performance. Geographically, its concentration in the Permian Basin (Texas/New Mexico) and Anadarko Basin (Oklahoma) ties fortunes to these regions’ productivity, though diversification across 10+ properties mitigates single-asset risks. Competitively, CRT lags behind larger royalty trusts like San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) in scale and reserve life, and lacks the growth-oriented acquisition strategies of mineral aggregators like Brigham Minerals (MNRL). Its micro-cap status further reduces liquidity, though the trust’s simplicity and high dividend payout (95% of net income) cater to a specific investor niche.

Major Competitors

  • San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT): San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) operates similarly to CRT but with larger scale, holding interests in prolific San Juan Basin gas assets. SJT’s reserves are more gas-weighted (vs. CRT’s oil-leaning mix), exposing it to different commodity cycles. While SJT offers higher liquidity (market cap ~$400M), its distributions are more volatile due to gas price sensitivity and declining production.
  • Brigham Minerals Inc. (MNRL): Brigham Minerals (MNRL) is an active mineral acquirer with a growth-focused strategy, unlike CRT’s static asset base. MNRL’s scalable model and reinvestment capability provide upside potential, but its higher operational complexity and lower dividend yield (2-3%) contrast with CRT’s simplicity and income focus.
  • BP Midstream Partners LP (BPMP): BP Midstream (BPMP) focuses on midstream assets (pipelines/storage), offering fee-based revenue less tied to production volumes than CRT. BPMP’s stable cash flows and investment-grade backing reduce risk, but its lower yield (~7%) and midstream sector exposure appeal to different investor profiles.
HomeMenuAccount