US · FOSLL
Fossil Group, Inc. 7% Senior Notes due 2026
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods
- Headquarters
- Richardson, DE
- Website
- fossilgroup.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
—
Market cap 76.74M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $75.34 | — |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $5.53 | — |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $19.47 | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $32.52 | $145.29 | |||
| 2011 | $40.05 | $155.42 | |||
| 2012 | $45.45 | $107.16 | |||
| 2013 | $48.07 | $141.79 | |||
| 2014 | $50.48 | $109.70 | |||
| 2015 | $34.35 | $2.16 | |||
| 2016 | $21.91 | $4.23 | |||
| 2017 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2018 | $11.61 | $0.02 | |||
| 2019 | $3.25 | $4.29 | |||
| 2020 | $0.00 | $33.63 | |||
| 2021 | $23.70 | $83.52 | $0.00 | $10.17 | $11.47 |
| 2022 | $16.83 | $138.31 | $0.00 | $2.72 | $1.22 |
| 2023 | $10.68 | $41.64 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $21.55 |
| 2024 | $13.82 | $75.34 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $19.47 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Fossil Group, Inc. 7% Senior Notes due 2026's (FOSLL) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $75.34
- Current price
- —
- AI upside
- —
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$5.53
— upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$19.47
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| FOSLL | Fossil Group, Inc. 7% Sen… | $17.43 | 76.74M | +332% | -68% | — | +12% | -6.89 | 4.92 | 0.64 | -11.12 | — | 4.95 | 52.15% | -9.08% | -8.97% | -52.75% | -21.61% | -12.20% | 2.12 | -5.47 | 1.70 | 0.88 | -2.31 | -3533.00% | -1893.00% | -15757.00% | 5.46% | 0.14 | 9.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.90% | -8.89 | 23.14 | 0.81 | 1.95 |
| CATO | The Cato Corporation | $3.85 | 72.99M | +74,956% | -75% | — | — | -2.59 | 0.29 | 0.07 | -18.43 | — | 0.29 | 31.32% | -4.17% | -2.86% | -10.18% | -11.46% | -3.85% | 0.90 | -459.24 | 1.19 | 0.54 | -20.14 | -1709.00% | -823.00% | 12909.00% | -59.04% | -0.10 | -11.68% | 22.48% | -58.20% | 38.39% | -4.24 | -4.16 | 0.18 | 1.53 |
| CPHC | Canterbury Park Holding C… | $16.12 | 81.99M | +993% | -11% | -9% | -78% | 46.67 | 1.17 | 1.60 | 10.00 | — | 1.17 | 78.81% | 10.45% | 3.43% | 2.55% | 7.21% | 1.97% | 0.00 | — | 2.29 | 1.75 | -1.18 | -8028.00% | 20.00% | -25147.00% | -5.57% | 0.61 | -8.86% | 1.43% | 66.50% | 1.43% | 13.01 | -15.23 | 1.36 | 3.89 |
| FLL | Full House Resorts, Inc. | $2.39 | 86.31M | +993% | +49% | — | — | -3.67 | 3.69 | 0.51 | 14.94 | -6.01 | -1.99 | 51.32% | 0.94% | -13.93% | -68.73% | 0.51% | -5.97% | 13.03 | 0.06 | 0.79 | 0.67 | 11.44 | 6111.00% | 2116.00% | -6931.00% | -25.95% | 0.21 | -7.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 231.55 | -16.44 | 2.18 | 0.41 |
| HOUR | Hour Loop, Inc. | $1.89 | 66.47M | +3,124% | +288% | -87% | -88% | 91.88 | 11.71 | 0.44 | 44.43 | — | 11.71 | 52.09% | 0.53% | 0.48% | 13.68% | 9.41% | 3.33% | 0.14 | 2.93 | 1.27 | 0.27 | -1.05 | -12698.00% | 464.00% | -11334.00% | 0.46% | 0.02 | 5.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.32% | 80.73 | 212.93 | 0.43 | 9.69 |
| LCUT | Lifetime Brands, Inc. | $3.08 | 69.78M | +1,768% | -35% | -4% | — | -7.09 | 0.47 | 0.16 | 10.21 | -9.15 | 2.32 | 38.17% | 3.97% | -2.22% | -6.58% | 5.54% | -2.33% | 1.09 | 1.22 | 2.46 | 1.05 | 7.12 | 7750.00% | -54.00% | -6953.00% | 15.20% | 0.12 | 3.34% | 3.54% | -25.10% | 24.43% | 13.11 | 21.72 | 0.52 | 1.72 |
| OCG | Oriental Culture Holding … | $2.99 | 61.89M | +1,468,622% | +15,752% | +20,932% | +67,482% | -7.19 | 0.35 | 28.08 | 1.80 | — | 0.36 | 70.74% | -513.45% | -390.81% | -5.10% | -12.26% | -4.79% | 0.00 | — | 13.41 | 7.35 | 6.30 | -7857.00% | -6059.00% | -23469.00% | -26.11% | -1.28 | -17.50% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.53 | 1.07 | -7.83 | 4.63 |
| STKS | The ONE Group Hospitality… | $2.10 | 65.01M | +1,163% | +1,240% | — | — | -5.58 | 0.45 | 0.14 | 17.35 | — | -1.11 | 18.23% | 1.60% | -2.35% | -12.14% | 1.37% | -2.61% | 3.12 | 0.35 | 0.53 | 0.39 | 15.07 | -84667.00% | 10235.00% | 2019.00% | -29.48% | 0.34 | -5.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.39% | 65.57 | -25.81 | 1.05 | 0.74 |
| THCH | TH International Limited | $2.74 | 89.16M | +80% | -54% | — | +104% | -1.60 | -0.88 | 0.53 | -9.21 | — | -0.78 | 15.35% | -25.09% | -29.62% | 72.62% | -33.32% | -24.37% | -2.23 | -15.55 | 0.27 | 0.22 | -6.48 | -5528.00% | -1172.00% | -7083.00% | -19.37% | -0.03 | -13.60% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -7.03 | -17.21 | 1.76 | -2.91 |
| UFI | Unifi, Inc. | $4.13 | 75.83M | +20,221% | -56% | +95% | — | -4.04 | 0.33 | 0.14 | 10.85 | — | 0.33 | 1.47% | -1.67% | -3.56% | -8.16% | -2.78% | -4.77% | 0.46 | -1.00 | 3.32 | 1.50 | 5.76 | -5747.00% | -187.00% | 24955.00% | -38.67% | -0.30 | -9.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.20% | -18.43 | -5.52 | 0.31 | 2.79 |
About Fossil Group, Inc. 7% Senior Notes due 2026
Fossil Group, Inc. engages in the design, marketing and distribution of consumer fashion accessories. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, and Asia. Its products include men's and women's fashion watches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses, shoes, soft accessories and clothing which are sold through department stores, specialty retail locations, specialty watch and jewelry stores, owned retail and factory outlet stores, mass market stores, owned, and affiliate internet sites. The company was founded by Tom Kartsotis in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, TX.
- CEO
- Kosta N. Kartsotis
- Employees
- 6.9K
- Beta
- 2.18
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($5.53 ÷ —) − 1 = — (DCF, example).