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Stock Analysis & ValuationGreat Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation (GLDD)

Previous Close
$12.08
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)27.26126
Intrinsic value (DCF)0.39-97
Graham-Dodd Method9.82-19
Graham Formula30.95156
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Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation (NASDAQ: GLDD) is a leading provider of dredging services in the United States, specializing in marine construction, coastal restoration, and environmental remediation. Founded in 1890 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company operates a diversified fleet of 18 dredges and support vessels, serving federal, state, and local governments as well as private energy and infrastructure clients. GLDD plays a critical role in port expansions, coastal protection, and waterway maintenance, ensuring navigability and resilience against erosion. With expertise in capital dredging, land reclamation, and trench digging for pipelines, the company supports vital infrastructure projects that enhance trade, energy security, and environmental sustainability. As climate change intensifies coastal erosion and federal infrastructure spending rises, GLDD is well-positioned to capitalize on growing demand for dredging and marine construction services. The company’s niche focus and long-standing contracts with government agencies provide stability in the cyclical industrials sector.

Investment Summary

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock offers exposure to essential infrastructure and climate resilience markets, backed by a monopolistic niche in U.S. dredging. Revenue visibility is supported by long-term government contracts, including coastal restoration projects funded by the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act. However, the company faces cyclical demand tied to federal budgets, high leverage (total debt of $547.7M vs. cash of $10.2M), and volatile margins due to fuel costs and project timing. The lack of dividends and beta of 1.24 reflect higher risk, but upside exists from increased climate adaptation spending and port modernization initiatives. Investors should monitor backlog growth (currently $478M as of Q3 2023) and free cash flow generation amid elevated capex needs.

Competitive Analysis

GLDD holds a dominant position in the U.S. dredging market, leveraging its specialized fleet and century-long expertise to secure large-scale contracts. Its competitive edge stems from barriers to entry: dredging requires significant capital (a new hopper dredge costs ~$100M) and regulatory compliance with the Jones Act, which restricts foreign competition. The company’s focus on complex projects like coastal restoration (e.g., Louisiana’s Barrier Island projects) differentiates it from smaller rivals. However, competition is intensifying as rivals like Manson Construction invest in fleet modernization. GLDD’s reliance on government contracts (~70% of revenue) exposes it to budgetary delays, while private-sector rivals benefit from more diversified revenue streams. The company’s environmental capabilities (e.g., sediment remediation) provide an edge in sustainability-driven projects, but operational risks like weather disruptions and cost overruns remain persistent challenges. Strategic differentiators include its proprietary dredging technology and partnerships with agencies like the Army Corps of Engineers.

Major Competitors

  • Manson Construction Co. (Subsidiary of Orion Group Holdings) (MDR): Manson is a key private competitor with a strong Pacific Northwest presence and modern fleet. It competes directly on federal dredging contracts but lacks GLDD’s scale in coastal restoration. Strengths include diversified marine construction services; weaknesses include lower brand recognition in environmental dredging.
  • Chicago Bridge & Iron Company (Now part of McDermott International) (CBI): CBI’s legacy marine construction business overlaps with GLDD in pipeline trenching and offshore infrastructure. Its global engineering resources pose a threat, but it has retreated from U.S. dredging post-bankruptcy. Strengths: international reach; Weaknesses: limited Jones Act-compliant assets.
  • Weeks Marine (Subsidiary of Tutor Perini Corporation) (WKC): A formidable rival with a diversified marine construction portfolio, Weeks Marine competes aggressively on maintenance dredging contracts. Its parent company’s financial backing provides bidding leverage, but GLDD outperforms in technical dredging (e.g., precision cutter suction projects).
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