investorscraft@gmail.com

Stock Analysis & ValuationHoulihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI)

Previous Close
$205.19
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)140.88-31
Intrinsic value (DCF)184.05-10
Graham-Dodd Method6.25-97
Graham Formula193.71-6
Find stocks with the best potential

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (NYSE: HLI) is a premier global investment bank specializing in mergers and acquisitions (M&A), capital markets, financial restructuring, and valuation advisory services. Founded in 1972 and headquartered in Los Angeles, California, the firm operates across three core segments: Corporate Finance, Financial Restructuring, and Financial and Valuation Advisory. Serving corporations, institutions, and governments worldwide, Houlihan Lokey is renowned for its expertise in complex transactions, including leveraged buyouts, debt restructuring, and fairness opinions. With a strong presence in the U.S., Europe, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific, the firm has established itself as a trusted advisor in mid-market and large-scale deals. Its Financial Restructuring segment is particularly distinguished, often leading high-profile bankruptcy and reorganization cases. As a key player in the financial services sector, Houlihan Lokey benefits from deep industry relationships, a reputation for impartiality, and a data-driven advisory approach, making it a go-to firm for clients navigating volatile markets.

Investment Summary

Houlihan Lokey presents a compelling investment case due to its strong market positioning in high-margin advisory services, consistent revenue growth, and resilient business model. The firm’s diversified service offerings, particularly in restructuring (which thrives in economic downturns), provide downside protection. With a market cap of ~$12.1B, a beta of 0.83 (indicating lower volatility than the market), and a solid dividend yield (~2.3%), HLI appeals to growth and income investors. However, reliance on fee-based revenue exposes it to cyclical M&A activity, and competition from bulge-bracket banks could pressure margins. Its lean balance sheet (cash: $971M vs. debt: $438M) and strong operating cash flow ($848.6M in FY2025) underscore financial stability.

Competitive Analysis

Houlihan Lokey’s competitive advantage lies in its niche dominance, particularly in mid-market M&A and financial restructuring, where it outperforms larger rivals through specialized expertise and agility. Unlike bulge-bracket banks (e.g., Goldman Sachs), HLI avoids conflicts of interest by not engaging in proprietary trading or lending, enhancing its credibility as an impartial advisor. Its Financial Restructuring segment is a market leader, often appointed in high-profile bankruptcies due to its technical depth and reputation. The firm’s valuation advisory services are another differentiator, serving as a moat in litigation-heavy or complex transactions. However, HLI faces competition from larger banks with broader global networks and from boutique firms (e.g., Evercore) that target similar high-value advisory work. Its lack of scale in capital markets underwriting limits revenue diversification compared to full-service peers. Nevertheless, HLI’s employee-owned culture fosters retention of top talent, a critical edge in relationship-driven advisory work.

Major Competitors

  • Goldman Sachs (GS): Goldman Sachs dominates global M&A and capital markets with unparalleled scale and a full-service investment banking platform. Its strengths include cross-selling opportunities and a vast client network, but conflicts of interest (e.g., proprietary investments) can deter clients seeking unbiased advice—a niche HLI exploits.
  • Evercore Inc. (EVR): Evercore is a pure-play advisory firm like HLI, focusing on high-margin M&A and restructuring. It competes directly with HLI in mid-market deals but has a stronger presence in mega-transactions. Evercore’s higher reliance on U.S. markets contrasts with HLI’s broader international footprint.
  • PJT Partners Inc. (PJT): PJT excels in restructuring and strategic advisory, often rivaling HLI in complex bankruptcies. Its Blackstone affiliation provides deal flow advantages, but HLI’s standalone independence appeals to clients wary of parent-company conflicts.
  • Lazard Ltd. (LAZ): Lazard’s strength in sovereign advisory and asset management diversifies its revenue beyond HLI’s focus. Both firms compete in restructuring, but Lazard’s European dominance contrasts with HLI’s U.S.-centric restructuring practice.
  • Moelis & Company (MC): Moelis is another boutique competitor with a lean partnership model. It lacks HLI’s valuation advisory segment but matches its restructuring prowess. Moelis’s smaller size allows agility but limits geographic reach compared to HLI.
HomeMenuAccount