US · HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Industrial - Machinery
- Headquarters
- Pittsburgh, PA 15212-5872
- Website
- howmet.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$239.51
Market cap 105.67B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $139.75 | -41.65% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $165.07 | -31.08% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $15.24 | -93.64% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $69.62 | -70.93% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | $4.20 | $0.00 | |||
| 2016 | $19.79 | $24.79 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $18.75 | $26.62 | $2.65 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $13.94 | $27.97 | $3.54 | $5.24 | $21.49 |
| 2019 | $19.62 | $33.35 | $2.48 | $3.70 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $31.11 | $35.22 | $1.77 | $0.85 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $33.32 | $49.15 | $0.00 | $1.04 | $1.78 |
| 2022 | $40.47 | $40.11 | $0.40 | $3.06 | $24.05 |
| 2023 | $67.37 | $51.65 | $31.04 | $6.63 | $45.63 |
| 2024 | $124.10 | $78.08 | $95.73 | $11.48 | $54.97 |
| 2025 | $265.11 | $139.75 | $123.70 | $15.24 | $69.62 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Howmet Aerospace Inc.'s (HWM) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $139.75
- Current price
- $239.51
- AI upside
- -41.65%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$165.07
-31.08% upside
Graham-Dodd
$15.24
-93.64% upside
Graham Formula
$69.62
-70.93% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| HWM | Howmet Aerospace Inc. | $239.51 | 105.67B | -42% | -31% | -94% | -71% | 71.02 | 20.01 | 12.98 | 45.34 | 221.75 | 122.55 | 30.74% | 25.81% | 18.27% | 30.44% | 23.09% | 13.90% | 0.57 | 14.11 | 2.13 | 0.87 | 0.96 | 3203.00% | 1106.00% | 4647.00% | 1.34% | 1.06 | 18.93% | 0.17% | 12.00% | 1.43% | 51.37 | 76.46 | 13.26 | 13.13 |
| CMI | Cummins Inc. | $583.87 | 80.67B | -31% | -60% | -89% | -75% | 28.15 | 6.48 | 2.38 | 15.70 | — | 10.06 | 25.29% | 11.87% | 8.44% | 25.14% | 18.37% | 8.68% | 0.66 | 12.14 | 1.76 | 0.98 | 0.98 | -2774.00% | -127.00% | 75520.00% | 2.98% | 0.38 | 14.70% | 1.32% | 37.10% | 2.14% | 21.16 | 35.43 | 2.51 | 4.90 |
| EMR | Emerson Electric Co. | $150.75 | 84.77B | -29% | -61% | — | -70% | 34.53 | 3.82 | 4.31 | 18.47 | 193.65 | -10.53 | 52.84% | 12.42% | 12.73% | 10.72% | 5.80% | 5.21% | 0.68 | 5.78 | 0.88 | 0.47 | 2.51 | 1783.00% | 300.00% | -844.00% | 3.44% | 0.32 | 9.06% | 1.54% | 53.10% | 3.14% | 40.11 | 33.66 | 4.98 | 4.07 |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works Inc. | $290.63 | 83.76B | -23% | -55% | — | -67% | 27.76 | 26.39 | 5.30 | 20.05 | — | -34.54 | 44.10% | 26.28% | 19.11% | 93.75% | 29.92% | 19.64% | 2.78 | 14.44 | 1.21 | 0.80 | 1.75 | -1042.00% | 92.00% | -482.00% | 3.18% | 0.61 | 24.85% | 2.10% | 58.20% | 3.86% | 22.11 | 34.44 | 5.81 | 8.50 |
| JCI | Johnson Controls Internat… | $144.30 | 88.32B | -48% | -68% | — | -62% | 43.26 | 5.76 | 3.16 | 27.04 | 991.11 | -10.17 | 36.41% | 11.99% | 13.95% | 11.86% | 10.16% | 4.27% | 0.87 | 18.01 | 0.93 | 0.61 | 3.43 | 437.00% | 281.00% | -3984.00% | 1.30% | 0.13 | 3.96% | 1.31% | 56.70% | 9.36% | 30.15 | 88.36 | 3.61 | 2.63 |
| MMM | 3M Company | $165.32 | 87.07B | -34% | -59% | -96% | -64% | 26.42 | 18.35 | 3.46 | 15.94 | — | -30.59 | 39.55% | 18.29% | 13.03% | 76.43% | 32.37% | 8.41% | 2.75 | 6.34 | 1.71 | 0.99 | 1.32 | -2053.00% | 152.00% | 11881.00% | 1.62% | 0.24 | 13.00% | 1.36% | 36.00% | 7.36% | 20.44 | 66.81 | 3.74 | 4.26 |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman Corporat… | $724.38 | 102.81B | -21% | -53% | -99% | -59% | 26.35 | 6.61 | 2.63 | 17.43 | 1009.27 | -113.50 | 19.81% | 10.20% | 9.97% | 26.17% | 11.19% | 8.30% | 1.18 | 6.44 | 1.09 | 0.95 | 2.13 | 261.00% | 224.00% | 2617.00% | 3.00% | 0.34 | 10.47% | 1.17% | 30.90% | 3.10% | 29.33 | 37.96 | 2.99 | 3.48 |
| PH | Parker-Hannifin Corporati… | $1,009.18 | 127.38B | -47% | -68% | -94% | -79% | 27.38 | 7.07 | 4.87 | 19.52 | 113.25 | -22.05 | 36.85% | 20.45% | 17.79% | 27.43% | 15.35% | 12.02% | 0.70 | 9.93 | 1.19 | 0.66 | 1.69 | 2418.00% | -40.00% | 1196.00% | 3.45% | 0.65 | 14.69% | 0.89% | 24.40% | 4.14% | 26.08 | 31.69 | 5.33 | 5.88 |
| TDG | TransDigm Group Incorpora… | $1,302.79 | 73.57B | +92% | -45% | — | -48% | 37.80 | -8.09 | 8.88 | 23.12 | 149.89 | -3.30 | 60.14% | 47.16% | 23.49% | -25.96% | 21.99% | 8.55% | -3.10 | 2.65 | 3.21 | 2.03 | 5.96 | 2521.00% | 1122.00% | -340.00% | 2.32% | 0.93 | 12.15% | 12.28% | 464.30% | 12.92% | 25.36 | 58.15 | 11.96 | 2.03 |
| UPS | United Parcel Service, In… | $115.96 | 98.46B | -13% | -59% | — | -67% | 17.43 | 5.99 | 1.10 | 10.11 | — | 15.25 | 18.53% | 9.56% | 6.29% | 33.83% | 16.75% | 7.78% | 1.99 | 8.38 | 1.22 | 1.09 | 2.16 | -296.00% | -249.00% | -2331.00% | 4.91% | 0.54 | 12.11% | 5.56% | 96.90% | 6.59% | 14.58 | 25.93 | 1.39 | 3.06 |
| WM | Waste Management, Inc. | $240.84 | 97.14B | -30% | -56% | — | -39% | 36.15 | 9.80 | 3.88 | 16.75 | — | -12.78 | 29.08% | 18.28% | 10.74% | 29.69% | 11.31% | 5.99% | 2.29 | 5.05 | 0.89 | 0.77 | 3.15 | -162.00% | 1424.00% | 3043.00% | 2.88% | 1.09 | 8.74% | 1.36% | 49.30% | 2.16% | 26.18 | 42.82 | 4.78 | 2.50 |
About Howmet Aerospace Inc.
Howmet Aerospace Inc. provides advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries in the United States, Japan, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, China, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. The Engine Products segment offers airfoils and seamless rolled rings primarily for aircraft engines and industrial gas turbines; and rotating parts, as well as structural parts. The Fastening Systems segment produces aerospace fastening systems, as well as commercial transportation, industrial, and other fasteners. The Engineered Structures segment provides titanium ingots and mill products for aerospace and defense applications; and aluminum and nickel forgings, and machined components and assemblies. The Forged Wheels segment offers forged aluminum wheels and related products for heavy-duty trucks and commercial transportation markets. The company was formerly known as Arconic Inc. The company was founded in 1888 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
- CEO
- John C. Plant
- Employees
- 23.93K
- Beta
- 1.25
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($165.07 ÷ $239.51) − 1 = -31.08% (DCF, example).