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Stock Analysis & ValuationJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS)

Previous Close
$63.34
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)127.94102
Intrinsic value (DCF)n/a
Graham-Dodd Method24.82-61
Graham Formula59.49-6
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Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (NASDAQ: JBSS) is a leading processor and distributor of tree nuts, peanuts, and related snack products in the U.S. Founded in 1922 and headquartered in Elgin, Illinois, the company operates under well-known brands such as Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest, Squirrel Brand, and Southern Style Nuts, as well as private-label offerings. JBSS serves a diverse customer base, including retailers, wholesalers, and commercial ingredient buyers, through a network of brokers and distributors. The company’s product portfolio spans raw and processed nuts, trail mixes, peanut butter, baking ingredients, and specialty snacks, positioning it as a key player in the packaged foods sector. With a focus on quality and innovation, JBSS has maintained a strong presence in the consumer defensive industry, catering to health-conscious and convenience-driven consumers. Its vertically integrated operations and brand recognition provide a competitive edge in the growing nut and snack market.

Investment Summary

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. presents a stable investment opportunity within the consumer defensive sector, supported by its strong brand portfolio and consistent revenue streams. The company’s low beta (0.395) suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, appealing to risk-averse investors. However, its modest net income margin (~5.6%) and high reliance on commodity pricing (nuts) expose it to input cost fluctuations. The dividend yield (~1.2%) is modest but sustainable, backed by steady operating cash flow ($101.7M in FY2024). While JBSS benefits from its niche in nuts and snacks, investors should monitor competitive pressures and potential supply chain disruptions.

Competitive Analysis

JBSS competes in the fragmented packaged nuts and snacks market, leveraging its vertically integrated operations and strong private-label presence. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition (Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest), diversified product lines, and a robust distribution network. However, the company faces intense competition from larger CPG players with greater scale and marketing resources. JBSS’s focus on nuts differentiates it from broader snack competitors, but its limited international exposure and reliance on U.S. retail channels may constrain growth compared to global peers. The company’s ability to maintain cost efficiency and innovate in premium and healthy snacks will be critical to sustaining its market position. Its small market cap (~$710M) also limits bargaining power with retailers compared to giants like Mondelez or Hormel.

Major Competitors

  • Mondelez International (MDLZ): Mondelez dominates the global snack market with brands like Planters nuts. Its vast scale and distribution reach overshadow JBSS, but it lacks JBSS’s focus on pure nut processing. Strengths include strong marketing and international presence; weaknesses include lower margins in its broader snack portfolio.
  • Hormel Foods (HRL): Hormel’s Skippy peanut butter competes with JBSS’s nut butter offerings. Hormel has stronger brand equity and diversified protein products, but JBSS holds an edge in specialty nuts and private-label manufacturing.
  • The J.M. Smucker Company (SJM): Smucker’s competes in nut butters and snacks (Jif brand). Its extensive retail relationships and higher revenue scale pose a challenge to JBSS, though JBSS’s focus on bulk and ingredient nuts provides differentiation.
  • Kellanova (K): Kellanova (formerly Kellogg) competes in snack mixes and granola. Its broader portfolio and global footprint outpace JBSS, but JBSS’s specialization in nuts offers niche advantages in quality and customization.
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