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Stock Analysis & ValuationLikewise Group plc (LIKE.L)

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£25.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, £Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)37.3649
Intrinsic value (DCF)10.48-58
Graham-Dodd Method0.10-100
Graham Formula0.05-100

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Likewise Group plc (LSE: LIKE) is a leading UK-based distributor of floorcoverings and matting products, catering to both domestic and commercial markets. Operating under well-known brands such as Dandy, BRUKE STRAKE, Marquee Floors, and Likewise, the company offers a comprehensive range of flooring solutions, including carpets, vinyl, laminate, luxury vinyl tile (LVT), artificial grass, underlays, and accessories. Additionally, Likewise manufactures and sells doormats, rugs, and runners, positioning itself as a one-stop shop for flooring needs. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in Solihull, the company serves customers across the UK and internationally. As part of the Consumer Cyclical sector and Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, Likewise Group benefits from steady demand in residential and commercial construction, renovation, and interior design markets. The company’s multi-brand strategy and diversified product portfolio enhance its resilience against market fluctuations.

Investment Summary

Likewise Group presents a niche investment opportunity in the UK flooring distribution market, with a market capitalization of approximately £52.9 million. The company reported revenue of £139.5 million in FY 2023, with net income of £844k, reflecting modest profitability. Operating cash flow was positive at £5.8 million, though high total debt (£30.4 million) relative to cash reserves (£5.7 million) raises liquidity concerns. The lack of dividends may deter income-focused investors, but growth potential exists in commercial flooring demand and international expansion. The stock’s beta of 0.821 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, making it a relatively stable play in the cyclical furnishings sector. Risks include exposure to UK construction activity and competitive pricing pressures.

Competitive Analysis

Likewise Group competes in a fragmented flooring distribution market, where differentiation hinges on brand strength, product diversity, and supply chain efficiency. The company’s multi-brand approach allows it to target various customer segments, from budget-conscious homeowners to high-end commercial clients. Its vertically integrated manufacturing of doormats and rugs provides cost advantages over pure distributors. However, the UK market is crowded with both specialized flooring distributors and large DIY retailers that offer flooring as part of broader home improvement assortments. Likewise’s focus on wholesale distribution gives it an edge in B2B relationships but limits direct consumer engagement compared to omnichannel competitors. The company’s international footprint is still developing, leaving it vulnerable to domestic economic cycles. Supply chain disruptions and raw material inflation could pressure margins, though Likewise’s established supplier network mitigates some risks. Its ability to scale efficiently while maintaining service quality will be critical in outpacing regional competitors.

Major Competitors

  • Titon Holdings Plc (TTS.L): Titon Holdings specializes in ventilation systems and window hardware but overlaps with Likewise in residential construction products. Its stronger focus on building materials gives it an edge in new-build markets, whereas Likewise has broader flooring expertise. Titon’s smaller scale limits distribution reach compared to Likewise.
  • Kier Group plc (KIE.L): Kier Group is a major construction and infrastructure services firm with in-house flooring solutions for large projects. Its integrated model poses a threat to Likewise in commercial contracts, but Kier lacks Likewise’s specialized flooring brand portfolio and retail distribution network.
  • Howden Joinery Group Plc (HWDN.L): Howden Joinery dominates the UK trade kitchen market and sells flooring as a complementary product. Its vast store network and trade customer base compete with Likewise’s wholesale model, but Howden’s flooring range is less comprehensive. Likewise’s specialized brands offer deeper product expertise.
  • Kingfisher plc (KGF.L): Kingfisher (owner of B&Q and Screwfix) is a retail giant in home improvement, including flooring. Its massive scale and omnichannel presence dwarf Likewise’s distribution, but Kingfisher’s standardized offerings lack Likewise’s tailored commercial solutions and branded product depth.
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