| Valuation method | Value, € | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial intelligence (AI) | n/a | n/a |
| Intrinsic value (DCF) | n/a | |
| Graham-Dodd Method | 32.15 | -92 |
| Graham Formula | 357.71 | -13 |
Lotto24 AG is a leading German online provider of state-licensed lottery products, offering participation in popular games such as Lotto 6aus49, EuroJackpot, and Keno through its platforms Lotto24.de and Tipp24.com. Founded in 2010 and headquartered in Hamburg, the company operates as a subsidiary of ZEAL Network SE, leveraging digital innovation to enhance lottery accessibility. As part of the Consumer Cyclical sector and Gambling, Resorts & Casinos industry, Lotto24 AG capitalizes on Germany's regulated lottery market, providing secure and convenient online betting solutions. With a strong online presence and a diverse product portfolio, the company serves a broad customer base, positioning itself as a key player in Europe's digital lottery space. Its revenue model is based on brokerage fees from lottery ticket sales, ensuring steady cash flow in a stable regulatory environment.
Lotto24 AG presents a niche investment opportunity in the German online lottery market, benefiting from stable demand and regulatory protection. With a market cap of €664.7M (2020) and solid profitability (net income of €5.57M, diluted EPS of €3.45), the company demonstrates efficient operations and low leverage (total debt of €3.56M vs. cash reserves of €22.84M). However, its beta of 0.146 suggests limited volatility but also lower growth correlation with broader markets. The lack of dividends may deter income-focused investors, while reliance on Germany's regulated lottery ecosystem limits geographic diversification. The company's competitive edge lies in its digital-first approach, but competition from both traditional lottery providers and emerging online gambling platforms poses risks. Investors should weigh its steady cash flows against sector-specific regulatory uncertainties.
Lotto24 AG holds a unique position as a pure-play online lottery broker in Germany, differentiating itself through digital convenience and a state-licensed product portfolio. Its competitive advantage stems from exclusive partnerships with official lottery operators, ensuring regulatory compliance and customer trust. Unlike casino-focused platforms, Lotto24 specializes in low-margin, high-volume lottery products, reducing regulatory scrutiny associated with higher-risk gambling. The company benefits from ZEAL Network SE's backing, providing technological infrastructure and marketing synergies. However, its reliance on the German market exposes it to local regulatory changes, such as advertising restrictions or tax adjustments. While its asset-light model (minimal capex of €-0.26M in 2020) ensures scalability, it faces pressure from direct competitors and substitutes like sports betting platforms. The lack of proprietary games limits differentiation, making customer acquisition costs critical. Its strengths lie in brand recognition (Tipp24.com heritage) and operational efficiency (positive operating cash flow of €8.25M), but international expansion remains constrained by jurisdictional licensing barriers.