US · LOPE
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services
- Headquarters
- Phoenix, AZ 85017
- Website
- gce.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$163.41
Market cap 4.45B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $222.57 | +36.2% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $95.97 | -41.27% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $59.83 | -63.39% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $115.03 | -29.61% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $17.23 | $43.85 | $237.03 | $9.26 | $20.69 |
| 2012 | $24.07 | $54.92 | $107.47 | $13.05 | $42.41 |
| 2013 | $47.61 | $76.82 | $53.59 | $17.56 | $48.37 |
| 2014 | $45.31 | $78.67 | $70.25 | $22.63 | $55.96 |
| 2015 | $41.92 | $87.34 | $54.24 | $27.50 | $57.69 |
| 2016 | $66.32 | $93.51 | $51.05 | $32.84 | $63.81 |
| 2017 | $107.45 | $112.48 | $54.95 | $42.42 | $82.92 |
| 2018 | $114.23 | $123.45 | $15.34 | $49.48 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $83.74 | $90.03 | $16.75 | $53.93 | $2.59 |
| 2020 | $107.34 | $121.09 | $17.47 | $57.58 | $88.69 |
| 2021 | $91.55 | $155.28 | $20.60 | $49.87 | $83.51 |
| 2022 | $108.55 | $162.76 | $28.87 | $43.58 | $55.53 |
| 2023 | $132.80 | $176.06 | $28.70 | $52.76 | $90.87 |
| 2024 | $170.53 | $219.47 | $34.46 | $60.27 | $119.71 |
| 2025 | $162.11 | $222.57 | $69.80 | $59.83 | $115.03 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s (LOPE) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $222.57
- Current price
- $163.41
- AI upside
- +36.2%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$95.97
-41.27% upside
Graham-Dodd
$59.83
-63.39% upside
Graham Formula
$115.03
-29.61% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| LOPE | Grand Canyon Education, I… | $163.41 | 4.45B | +36% | -41% | -63% | -30% | 20.89 | 6.05 | 4.08 | 12.86 | — | 10.39 | 52.43% | 27.45% | 19.54% | 28.24% | 38.62% | 21.50% | 0.27 | — | 3.65 | 3.52 | 0.26 | -26.00% | 707.00% | -556.00% | 5.28% | 2.49 | 39.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.86% | 14.55 | 18.51 | 3.99 | 17.31 |
| ATGE | Adtalem Global Education … | $98.76 | 3.59B | +76% | +37% | -55% | +32% | 21.03 | 3.48 | 2.79 | 13.98 | 26.60 | -17.01 | 56.86% | 19.10% | 13.26% | 16.92% | 13.29% | 8.63% | 0.54 | 6.53 | 0.82 | 0.68 | 1.44 | 7906.00% | 1285.00% | 1648.00% | 5.77% | 0.67 | 14.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.36% | 16.28 | 19.34 | 3.11 | 4.70 |
| DAR | Darling Ingredients Inc. | $53.16 | 8.41B | — | +149% | -39% | -89% | 135.50 | 1.78 | 1.39 | 13.40 | — | 1.78 | 15.73% | 6.74% | 1.02% | — | — | — | 0.83 | 1.86 | — | — | 4.17 | — | — | — | 0.00% | — | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.87 | — | 2.01 | — |
| EDU | New Oriental Education & … | $54.65 | 8.69B | +60% | +186% | -55% | -11% | 19.64 | 2.02 | 1.51 | 6.06 | 70.72 | 2.08 | 55.45% | 8.74% | 7.60% | 10.11% | -137.25% | 4.90% | 0.22 | 1377.01 | 1.58 | 1.45 | -1.36 | 2778.00% | 1360.00% | -2405.00% | 8.63% | 0.27 | -283.79% | 1.33% | 26.10% | 8.47% | 8.43 | 5.66 | 0.74 | 2.57 |
| GHC | Graham Holdings Company | $1,053.21 | 4.59B | +8% | -46% | -8% | -32% | 15.55 | 0.95 | 0.93 | 6.65 | — | 1.50 | 27.64% | 5.13% | 5.95% | 6.46% | 3.58% | 3.64% | 0.36 | 2.12 | 1.75 | 1.39 | 1.98 | -5932.00% | 252.00% | -1741.00% | 5.89% | 0.24 | 5.65% | 0.69% | 10.70% | 0.77% | 19.55 | 18.39 | 1.00 | 2.99 |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | $32.34 | 4.77B | +17% | +247% | -59% | -4% | 17.00 | 4.03 | 2.81 | 10.50 | — | 12.45 | 28.33% | 25.33% | 16.55% | 26.23% | 19.16% | 13.84% | 0.71 | 40.44 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 1.34 | -156.00% | 864.00% | 6360.00% | 5.50% | 0.77 | 16.53% | 0.01% | 0.20% | 4.50% | 12.73 | 20.86 | 3.22 | 4.40 |
| LRN | Stride, Inc. | $84.38 | 3.7B | +83% | +112% | -26% | +101% | 24.03 | 4.68 | 2.88 | 12.75 | 89.43 | 6.40 | 39.24% | 14.97% | 11.97% | 21.69% | 26.48% | 13.66% | 0.37 | 34.28 | 5.39 | 5.10 | -0.46 | 2687.00% | 1790.00% | 7164.00% | 5.39% | 1.43 | 36.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.07% | 18.00 | 17.39 | 2.70 | 7.88 |
| MZTI | The Marzetti Company | $164.34 | 4.52B | -29% | -55% | -99% | -63% | 29.94 | 5.02 | 2.62 | 17.05 | 556.29 | 6.46 | 23.87% | 11.54% | 8.77% | 17.39% | 20.17% | 13.49% | 0.06 | — | 2.38 | 1.38 | -0.37 | 538.00% | 200.00% | 1061.00% | 4.06% | 1.40 | 23.77% | 2.07% | 61.80% | 2.23% | 22.26 | 24.10 | 2.57 | 14.98 |
| POST | Post Holdings, Inc. | $106.30 | 5.54B | -29% | -64% | -90% | -38% | 16.04 | 1.43 | 0.66 | 9.71 | — | -1.31 | 26.37% | 10.44% | 4.11% | 8.56% | 5.95% | 2.54% | 2.05 | 2.36 | 1.67 | 0.75 | 5.66 | -230.00% | 297.00% | -281.00% | 9.06% | 0.82 | 4.51% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.16% | 15.15 | 26.45 | 1.58 | 1.43 |
| STRA | Strategic Education, Inc. | $82.28 | 1.93B | +74% | -52% | -90% | -17% | 14.79 | 1.14 | 1.48 | 12.83 | 92.12 | 12.10 | 48.97% | 15.47% | 9.98% | 7.65% | 8.72% | 6.19% | 0.07 | — | 1.27 | 1.04 | -0.22 | 1606.00% | 396.00% | 1957.00% | 8.22% | 0.91 | 9.59% | 3.07% | 45.40% | 11.54% | 9.35 | 11.92 | 1.45 | 4.02 |
| TAL | TAL Education Group | $10.53 | 711.97M | +712% | +3,172% | +487% | +575% | 7.57 | 0.17 | 0.28 | -14.35 | — | 0.18 | 53.34% | -0.33% | 3.76% | 2.27% | -0.94% | 1.62% | 0.09 | — | 2.86 | 2.58 | -8.82 | -247288.00% | 5098.00% | 5452.00% | 44.78% | 0.28 | 52.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.06% | 358.34 | -9.27 | -1.18 | 1.05 |
About Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides education services to colleges and universities in the United States. The company's technology services include learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; academic services comprises program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites; and counseling services and support include admission, financial aid, and field experience and other counseling services. It also offers marketing and communication services, such as lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, market research, media planning and strategy, video, and business intelligence and data science; and back-office services comprising finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. The company, through its subsidiary, Orbis Education Services, LLC, supports healthcare education programs for 27 universities. Grand Canyon Education, Inc. was founded in 1949 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona.
- CEO
- Brian E. Mueller
- Employees
- 4.09K
- Beta
- 0.71
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($95.97 ÷ $163.41) − 1 = -41.27% (DCF, example).