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Stock Analysis & ValuationPJSC LSR Group (LSRG.L)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
£2.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, £Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)0.10-95
Intrinsic value (DCF)2.2513
Graham-Dodd Method2.4020
Graham Formula5.00150

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

PJSC LSR Group (LSRG.L) is a leading Russian real estate development and construction company listed on the London Stock Exchange. Specializing in residential and commercial property development, LSR Group operates across key Russian markets, including Moscow and St. Petersburg. The company is vertically integrated, managing the entire development cycle from land acquisition to construction and sales, which enhances efficiency and cost control. With a strong focus on urban development and large-scale projects, LSR Group plays a pivotal role in Russia's real estate sector. Despite geopolitical and economic challenges, the company maintains a robust project pipeline, leveraging its expertise in high-demand housing and infrastructure development. Investors should note its exposure to macroeconomic volatility in Russia, but its market leadership and integrated business model provide resilience.

Investment Summary

PJSC LSR Group presents a high-risk, high-reward investment case due to its dominant position in Russia's real estate sector but significant exposure to geopolitical and economic instability. The company's vertically integrated model and strong project pipeline support revenue stability, yet its high beta (1.61) indicates volatility. Financials show substantial revenue (RUB 239.2B) but negative operating cash flow (RUB -40.1B), raising liquidity concerns. Debt levels (RUB 271.9B) are elevated, though mitigated by cash reserves (RUB 46.3B). Investors must weigh its market leadership against macroeconomic risks, including sanctions and currency fluctuations.

Competitive Analysis

LSR Group's competitive advantage lies in its vertical integration, allowing control over costs and project timelines, a critical edge in Russia's fragmented real estate market. The company focuses on large-scale residential projects, benefiting from urbanization trends and housing demand in major cities. However, its reliance on the Russian market exposes it to regulatory and economic risks absent in diversified global peers. Competitors like PIK Group and Etalon Group also dominate the Russian residential sector but may differ in regional focus or financial health. LSR's high leverage could limit flexibility compared to less indebted rivals, though its established brand and government contracts provide stability. The lack of international diversification is a key weakness versus global developers but aligns with its domestic strength.

Major Competitors

  • PIK Group (PIKK.ME): PIK Group is Russia's largest residential developer by sales volume, with a nationwide presence. Its economies of scale and strong brand give it pricing power, but it faces similar macroeconomic risks as LSR. PIK's higher diversification across regions may reduce localized demand risks.
  • Etalon Group (ETLN.ME): Etalon Group focuses on mid-to-high-end residential projects in Moscow and St. Petersburg, competing directly with LSR. Its conservative leverage and strong presales model improve cash flow stability, but its smaller scale limits cost advantages compared to LSR.
  • INFRAGO Investments (AQUA.ME): INFRAGO (formerly AQUA) specializes in suburban residential projects, differentiating it from LSR's urban focus. Its lower exposure to high-cost urban land reduces risk but also limits growth potential in prime markets where LSR operates.
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