US · MELI
MercadoLibre, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
- Headquarters
- Montevideo 11300
- Website
- mercadolibre.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$1,850.05
Market cap 89.1B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $1,090.43 | -41.06% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $46,881.21 | +2,434.05% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $326.84 | -82.33% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $1,789.72 | -3.26% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $93.45 | $72.59 | $274.82 | $8.66 | $77.37 |
| 2012 | $90.66 | $72.29 | $319.63 | $10.56 | $73.49 |
| 2013 | $99.53 | $86.30 | $441.28 | $11.77 | $88.84 |
| 2014 | $124.44 | $87.46 | $330.59 | $5.10 | $41.35 |
| 2015 | $114.89 | $90.12 | $334.09 | $10.58 | $58.90 |
| 2016 | $210.80 | $141.36 | $658.56 | $14.78 | $112.54 |
| 2017 | $413.94 | $217.05 | $2,615.80 | $0.00 | $15.67 |
| 2018 | $449.59 | $239.08 | $2,581.56 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $614.51 | $326.01 | $9,629.17 | $22.42 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $1,550.15 | $685.30 | $50,206.37 | $30.38 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $891.69 | $614.57 | $353,513.33 | $36.10 | $137.57 |
| 2022 | $1,168.04 | $565.15 | $332,080.72 | $81.12 | $557.70 |
| 2023 | $1,512.50 | $779.67 | $199,858.13 | $156.04 | $914.74 |
| 2024 | $2,009.34 | $1,033.84 | $92,729.54 | $271.36 | $1,662.16 |
| 2025 | $1,777.00 | $1,090.43 | $65,397.45 | $326.84 | $1,789.72 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates MercadoLibre, Inc.'s (MELI) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $1,090.43
- Current price
- $1,850.05
- AI upside
- -41.06%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$46,881.21
+2,434.05% upside
Graham-Dodd
$326.84
-82.33% upside
Graham Formula
$1,789.72
-3.26% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MELI | MercadoLibre, Inc. | $1,850.05 | 89.1B | -41% | +2,434% | -82% | -3% | 45.11 | 13.35 | 3.12 | 26.73 | 1000.16 | 13.75 | 44.50% | 11.08% | 6.91% | 35.99% | 23.32% | 5.89% | 1.69 | 21.63 | 1.17 | 0.47 | 2.17 | 451.00% | 3906.00% | 5264.00% | 11.96% | 0.42 | 111.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.73 | 8.84 | 3.29 | 2.76 |
| CPNG | Coupang, Inc. | $19.08 | 34.85B | +114% | +128% | -84% | -87% | 173.32 | 7.80 | 1.04 | 53.95 | 568.52 | 8.13 | 29.37% | 1.37% | 0.60% | 4.77% | 5.13% | 1.26% | 1.54 | 5.50 | 1.04 | 0.71 | 1.17 | 3049.00% | 1409.00% | -4816.00% | 1.45% | 0.19 | 14.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 77.91 | 70.59 | 1.07 | 3.38 |
| CVNA | Carvana Co. | $334.16 | 72.45B | -49% | +2,169% | -77% | +67% | 23.47 | 12.92 | 2.19 | 19.81 | 5.44 | 13.14 | 20.63% | 9.26% | 6.92% | 80.62% | 21.89% | 17.48% | 0.18 | 3.72 | 4.31 | 1.69 | -0.78 | 43145.00% | 4863.00% | 750.00% | 2.00% | 0.68 | 25.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.55% | 22.74 | 48.12 | 2.10 | 5.43 |
| EBAY | eBay Inc. | $90.86 | 41.07B | -11% | -21% | -94% | -22% | 20.06 | 8.68 | 3.61 | 15.61 | 197.59 | 270.54 | 71.45% | 20.51% | 18.30% | 40.85% | 24.82% | 10.80% | 1.60 | 9.26 | 1.10 | 0.91 | 1.93 | 1015.00% | 795.00% | -1508.00% | 4.15% | 0.47 | 20.92% | 1.33% | 26.60% | 7.57% | 19.54 | 26.79 | 4.01 | 2.94 |
| JD | JD.com, Inc. | $26.53 | 37.65B | +15% | +321% | +2% | +108% | 10.10 | 1.88 | 0.39 | 6.48 | 13.20 | 2.67 | 9.79% | 3.34% | 3.57% | 18.96% | 32.71% | 6.73% | 0.38 | 13.38 | 1.29 | 0.88 | -0.39 | 7651.00% | 684.00% | 1207.00% | 9.81% | 0.19 | 43.14% | 1.83% | 18.50% | 10.93% | 7.92 | 6.93 | 0.26 | 2.86 |
| LOW | Lowe's Companies, Inc. | $264.57 | 148.41B | -28% | -61% | — | -50% | 21.60 | -14.50 | 1.67 | 14.00 | — | -7.27 | 33.48% | 11.77% | 7.71% | -55.11% | 80.32% | 13.48% | -0.72 | — | 1.08 | 0.13 | 0.58 | -311.00% | 312.00% | -61.00% | 5.32% | 0.51 | 79.57% | 1.83% | 39.60% | 24.04% | 14.73 | 19.55 | 1.73 | 3.31 |
| NKE | NIKE, Inc. | $62.18 | 91.89B | -9% | -51% | — | — | 33.83 | 8.24 | 2.35 | 24.56 | — | 8.57 | 42.73% | 7.99% | 6.95% | 23.29% | 20.53% | 8.62% | 0.83 | 12.81 | 2.21 | 1.31 | 0.79 | -4209.00% | -984.00% | -5061.00% | 3.00% | 0.35 | 21.87% | 2.11% | 71.50% | 4.85% | 29.92 | 33.89 | 2.39 | 4.79 |
| PDD | PDD Holdings Inc. | $103.73 | 145.15B | -1% | +1,794% | -14% | +609% | 10.53 | 3.78 | 3.01 | 7.91 | 12.41 | 3.78 | 60.92% | 27.53% | 28.55% | 44.92% | -669.51% | 26.36% | 0.03 | — | 2.21 | 1.82 | -0.43 | 8482.00% | 5904.00% | 2926.00% | 10.22% | 0.65 | -881.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.96 | 7.13 | 2.19 | 6.25 |
| SBUX | Starbucks Corporation | $98.02 | 111.67B | -45% | -65% | — | -82% | 51.92 | -11.91 | 2.59 | 22.22 | — | -8.29 | 24.15% | 9.63% | 4.99% | -23.89% | 14.13% | 5.86% | -3.29 | 6.60 | 0.72 | 0.46 | 4.35 | -5076.00% | 279.00% | -2640.00% | 2.53% | 0.46 | 16.36% | 2.87% | 149.30% | 2.87% | 33.38 | 48.95 | 3.21 | 2.50 |
| SE | Sea Limited | $108.45 | 64.2B | -0% | +378% | -83% | -75% | 175.70 | 9.32 | 4.64 | 69.90 | 91.51 | 9.47 | 42.84% | 3.94% | 2.64% | 5.93% | 8.06% | 2.14% | 0.49 | 17.28 | 1.49 | 1.29 | 1.63 | 19200.00% | 2875.00% | 6228.00% | 3.79% | 0.29 | 61.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 111.03 | 24.87 | 4.37 | 3.94 |
| TJX | The TJX Companies, Inc. | $161.66 | 179.92B | -39% | -55% | -95% | -55% | 32.75 | 17.66 | 2.98 | 22.94 | 225.03 | 17.83 | 30.96% | 11.89% | 9.10% | 59.13% | 25.62% | 16.27% | 2.20 | — | 1.14 | 0.47 | 1.89 | 1455.00% | 712.00% | 1567.00% | 2.70% | 0.51 | 23.03% | 1.02% | 33.50% | 2.43% | 27.32 | 40.38 | 3.25 | 6.63 |
About MercadoLibre, Inc.
MercadoLibre, Inc. operates online commerce platforms in Latin America. It operates Mercado Libre Marketplace, an automated online commerce platform that enables businesses, merchants, and individuals to list merchandise and conduct sales and purchases online; and Mercado Pago FinTech platform, a financial technology solution platform, which facilitates transactions on and off its marketplaces by providing a mechanism that allows its users to send and receive payments online, as well as allows users to transfer money through their websites or on the apps. The company also offers Mercado Fondo that allows users to invest funds deposited in their Mercado Pago accounts; Mercado Credito, which extends loans to certain merchants and consumers; and Mercado Envios logistics solution that enables sellers on its platform to utilize third-party carriers and other logistics service providers, as well as fulfillment and warehousing services for sellers. In addition, it provides Mercado Libre Classifieds, an online classified listing service, where users can list and purchase motor vehicles, real estate, and services; Mercado Libre Ads, an advertising platform, which enables large retailers and brands to promote their products and services on the Internet; and Mercado Shops, an online storefronts solution that enables users to set-up, manage, and promote their own digital stores. MercadoLibre, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay.
- CEO
- Ariel Szarfsztejn
- Employees
- 84.21K
- Beta
- 1.45
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($46,881.21 ÷ $1,850.05) − 1 = +2,434.05% (DCF, example).