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Stock Analysis & ValuationMüller - Die lila Logistik AG (MLL.DE)

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5.15
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)28.49453
Intrinsic value (DCF)1.87-64
Graham-Dodd Method6.6830
Graham Formula1.89-63

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Müller - Die lila Logistik AG is a Germany-based logistics company specializing in integrated freight and logistics solutions. Founded in 1991 and headquartered in Besigheim, the company operates through three key segments: Lila Operating (logistics services), Lila Real Estate (logistics property leasing), and Lila Consult (logistics consulting). Müller - Die lila Logistik provides end-to-end logistical support, including procurement, production, and distribution logistics, with a strong focus on warehousing and supply network optimization. The company serves diverse industries such as automotive, electronics, consumer goods, industrial manufacturing, medical, and pharmaceuticals. With a market capitalization of approximately €39 million, Müller - Die lila Logistik AG is a niche player in the German logistics sector, leveraging its specialized real estate assets and consultative approach to logistics management. The company's purple branding ('lila' means purple in German) distinguishes it in a competitive market dominated by larger multinational players.

Investment Summary

Müller - Die lila Logistik AG presents a mixed investment profile. On the positive side, the company operates in the essential logistics sector with a diversified industrial client base and maintains a modest beta of 0.592, suggesting lower volatility than the broader market. The company generated €248.7 million in revenue in its last fiscal year with a net income of €3.8 million, demonstrating profitability in a competitive industry. However, investors should note the company's small market cap (€39M) limits liquidity, and the absence of dividends may deter income-focused investors. The debt-to-equity position appears elevated with €112.5 million in total debt against €16 million in cash. The company could be attractive as a potential acquisition target for larger logistics firms seeking German market presence, but organic growth prospects appear constrained by the competitive landscape.

Competitive Analysis

Müller - Die lila Logistik AG competes in the highly fragmented German logistics market, where it differentiates through its specialized industry expertise (particularly in automotive and pharma logistics) and integrated service model combining operations, real estate, and consulting. The company's competitive advantage lies in its mid-sized, flexible structure allowing for customized solutions compared to larger impersonal competitors, while its owned logistics properties provide cost stability versus pure 3PL providers. However, the company lacks the scale advantages of global logistics leaders in terms of network density and technology investments. Its focus on the German market provides regional expertise but limits growth potential compared to multinational peers. The real estate segment provides an asset-backed component to the business model, but may limit capital efficiency. Müller's purple branding creates distinctiveness in a commoditized sector, though brand recognition remains regional. The consulting arm provides higher-margin revenue streams but requires continued expertise investment. Competitive threats come from both larger players with superior technology and smaller niche operators with lower cost structures.

Major Competitors

  • Deutsche Post AG (DHL.DE): Deutsche Post DHL dominates German logistics with global scale, strong brand recognition, and integrated express/mail services. Its strengths include unmatched European network density and digital capabilities, though its size can limit flexibility for specialized client needs. Compared to Müller, DHL has vastly greater resources but may lack the personalized service approach.
  • Deutsche Bahn AG (Schenker division) (DB1n.DE): DB Schenker is Europe's largest land transport operator with particular strength in rail-connected logistics. Its state backing provides financial stability but may limit operational agility. Compared to Müller, Schenker has superior multimodal capabilities but less focus on small-to-mid-sized industrial clients.
  • Kuehne + Nagel International AG (KNIN.DE): Kuehne + Nagel is a global logistics leader with particular strength in sea freight and contract logistics. Its Swiss precision and quality focus command premium pricing, though this makes it less competitive on price-sensitive business. Compared to Müller, K+N has superior global reach but less German mid-market specialization.
  • Delivery Hero SE (DHER.DE): Delivery Hero focuses on last-mile food delivery logistics rather than industrial logistics, representing a different segment. Its strengths lie in urban delivery technology and network effects, though it operates at much lower margins than traditional logistics providers. Not a direct competitor to Müller's industrial focus.
  • Rhenus SE & Co. KG (RTL2.DE): Rhenus is a major German logistics provider with strong Mittelstand focus similar to Müller. Its private ownership allows long-term investment but limits capital access. Compared to Müller, Rhenus has broader European coverage but less specialized consulting services.
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