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Stock Analysis & ValuationMidland States Bancorp, Inc. (MSBIP)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
$25.51
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)23.51-8
Intrinsic value (DCF)1135.854353
Graham-Dodd Method9.20-64
Graham Formula26.695

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ: MSBIP) is a financial holding company that operates Midland States Bank, offering a comprehensive suite of banking and wealth management services to individuals, businesses, and municipalities. Founded in 1881 and headquartered in Effingham, Illinois, the company operates through three segments: Banking, Wealth Management, and Other. Its banking services include commercial and residential real estate loans, consumer installment loans, and deposit products such as checking, savings, and certificates of deposit. The Wealth Management segment provides financial planning, investment management, and retirement plan consulting. With 52 full-service banking offices as of December 2021, Midland States Bancorp serves a regional clientele primarily in Illinois. The company’s diversified revenue streams and strong regional presence position it as a key player in the Midwest banking sector, catering to both retail and commercial customers with tailored financial solutions.

Investment Summary

Midland States Bancorp presents a mixed investment profile. The company benefits from a diversified business model, combining traditional banking with wealth management services, which provides stability across economic cycles. Its regional focus in Illinois offers deep market penetration and customer loyalty. However, the company reported a net loss of $13.43 million in the latest fiscal year, with diluted EPS at -$0.62, signaling potential operational challenges. The beta of 0.688 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors. The dividend yield, supported by a $1.9376 per share payout, could attract income-focused shareholders, but investors should weigh this against the company’s recent profitability struggles and elevated total debt of $474.45 million. Regional banks face stiff competition and interest rate sensitivity, making Midland’s performance highly dependent on macroeconomic conditions.

Competitive Analysis

Midland States Bancorp’s competitive advantage lies in its regional expertise and diversified service offerings. The company’s deep roots in Illinois provide a strong local brand and customer trust, which larger national banks may lack. Its integrated wealth management segment differentiates it from pure-play regional banks, creating cross-selling opportunities and fee-based revenue streams. However, Midland operates in a highly competitive landscape dominated by both larger national banks and agile community banks. Its smaller scale limits its ability to compete on pricing and technology investments compared to mega-banks like JPMorgan Chase or Bank of America. The company’s focus on commercial real estate and agricultural loans exposes it to sector-specific risks, particularly in a rising interest rate environment. While its leasing and wealth management services add diversification, they also require specialized expertise and face competition from standalone financial advisors and fintech disruptors. Midland’s regional concentration is both a strength and a vulnerability, as it relies heavily on the economic health of the Midwest.

Major Competitors

  • JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM): JPMorgan Chase is a global banking leader with unmatched scale, offering a full range of financial services. Its strengths include robust investment banking, extensive branch networks, and cutting-edge digital platforms. However, its size can lead to inefficiencies, and it lacks Midland’s hyper-localized customer relationships in Illinois.
  • Bank of America Corporation (BAC): Bank of America excels in retail banking and wealth management, with a strong national presence. Its digital banking capabilities are superior to Midland’s, but it may not match Midland’s personalized service in regional markets. BofA’s broader geographic diversification reduces its reliance on any single regional economy.
  • U.S. Bancorp (USB): U.S. Bancorp is a strong regional competitor with a reputation for operational efficiency and conservative risk management. It outperforms Midland in terms of asset quality and profitability but lacks Midland’s localized focus in Illinois. USB’s larger scale allows for better technology investments.
  • Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG): Citizens Financial operates in the Northeast and Midwest, overlapping with Midland’s markets. It has a stronger commercial banking franchise but faces similar regional banking challenges. Citizens’ larger size provides cost advantages, but Midland may have deeper community ties in its core Illinois markets.
  • Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB): Fifth Third Bancorp is another Midwest-focused bank with a broader geographic footprint than Midland. It offers competitive commercial and retail banking services but struggles with margin compression in low-rate environments. Midland’s niche in agricultural lending gives it an edge in certain rural markets.
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