| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial intelligence (AI) | 50.39 | 35 |
| Intrinsic value (DCF) | 10.28 | -72 |
| Graham-Dodd Method | n/a | |
| Graham Formula | 13.86 | -63 |
NCR Atleos Corporation (NASDAQ: NATL) is a leading financial technology company specializing in self-service banking, payments, and network solutions. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, the company operates globally, serving financial institutions, merchants, retailers, and consumers through its three core segments: Self-Service Banking, Payments and Network, and Telecommunications and Technology. NCR Atleos provides innovative automated and interactive teller machine (ATM) technology, including hardware, software, and services, along with the Allpoint network for seamless transactions. Additionally, the company offers managed network and infrastructure services to enterprise clients, leveraging partnerships with communications service providers and technology manufacturers. With a strong presence in the U.S., Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific, NCR Atleos plays a pivotal role in the digital transformation of financial services, enhancing accessibility and efficiency for businesses and consumers alike.
NCR Atleos presents a mixed investment profile. The company operates in the high-growth fintech sector, with a diversified revenue stream from self-service banking, payments, and network services. Its global footprint and established relationships with financial institutions provide stability. However, the company carries significant debt ($3.05B) relative to its market cap ($1.88B), which could pose financial risks in a rising interest rate environment. While it generated $344M in operating cash flow in the latest fiscal year, its net income of $91M and diluted EPS of $1.23 indicate moderate profitability. The lack of dividends may deter income-focused investors. Given its beta of 1.2, the stock is slightly more volatile than the broader market, making it suitable for investors with a higher risk tolerance seeking exposure to the evolving fintech landscape.
NCR Atleos competes in the highly competitive fintech and ATM services market, where differentiation is driven by technology innovation, network reach, and service reliability. The company's competitive advantage lies in its integrated self-service banking solutions, including its Allpoint network, which enhances transaction accessibility for consumers. Its managed network services for enterprises also provide a sticky revenue stream. However, the company faces intense competition from both traditional financial service providers and agile fintech disruptors. Its heavy debt load could limit its ability to invest in R&D compared to cash-rich competitors. NCR Atleos' global presence is a strength, but regional competitors with deeper local market knowledge may challenge its growth in emerging markets. The company's ability to maintain and expand its partnerships with financial institutions and technology manufacturers will be critical to sustaining its market position. While its diversified service offerings provide resilience, execution risks in integrating new technologies and managing legacy systems remain key challenges.