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Stock Analysis & ValuationNVIDIA Corporation (NVD.DE)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
161.98
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)75.80-53
Intrinsic value (DCF)1727.71967
Graham-Dodd Method15.00-91
Graham Formula301.6086

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

NVIDIA Corporation (NVD.DE) is a global leader in graphics, compute, and networking solutions, driving innovation in AI, gaming, and data center technologies. Headquartered in Santa Clara, California, NVIDIA operates in the high-growth semiconductor industry, providing cutting-edge GPUs for gaming, professional visualization, and autonomous vehicles. The company's Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, while its Compute & Networking segment delivers data center platforms for AI and high-performance computing (HPC). NVIDIA's strategic collaborations, such as with Kroger Co., highlight its role in transforming industries through AI and accelerated computing. With a market cap exceeding €2.8 trillion, NVIDIA is a dominant force in the tech sector, leveraging its expertise in GPU architecture and software ecosystems like Omniverse and NVIDIA AI Enterprise. The company's diversified product portfolio and strong R&D focus position it at the forefront of next-generation computing and AI-driven solutions.

Investment Summary

NVIDIA presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its leadership in AI, gaming, and data center markets, supported by robust revenue growth (€130.5B in FY2025) and strong profitability (€72.9B net income). The company's high beta (2.114) indicates volatility but also reflects its growth potential in emerging tech trends like autonomous driving and AI infrastructure. Risks include cyclical semiconductor demand, geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains, and competition in AI hardware. However, NVIDIA's technological moat, strong cash flow (€64.1B operating cash flow), and strategic positioning in high-margin segments make it a key player for long-term investors seeking exposure to AI and advanced computing.

Competitive Analysis

NVIDIA's competitive advantage stems from its dominant market share in GPUs, proprietary CUDA architecture, and early-mover advantage in AI acceleration. The company's integration of hardware and software (e.g., Omniverse, AI Enterprise) creates sticky customer ecosystems, particularly in data centers and gaming. NVIDIA's acquisition of Mellanox strengthened its networking capabilities, differentiating it from pure-play GPU competitors. However, rivals like AMD and Intel are aggressively targeting its datacenter GPU market with alternative architectures. NVIDIA's automotive segment faces competition from Mobileye and Qualcomm, while its gaming GPUs contend with AMD's Radeon series. The company's scale in AI training (e.g., A100/H100 chips) remains unmatched, but open-source AI frameworks and custom silicon (e.g., Google TPUs) pose long-term threats. NVIDIA's ability to maintain its innovation pace and monetize AI software will be critical in sustaining its edge.

Major Competitors

  • Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): AMD competes with NVIDIA in gaming GPUs (Radeon) and datacenter GPUs (Instinct series), leveraging its CPU-GPU integration for heterogeneous computing. While AMD's market share is smaller, its competitive pricing and TSMC's advanced node access pose a threat. Weaknesses include weaker AI software ecosystems compared to NVIDIA's CUDA.
  • Intel Corporation (INTC): Intel challenges NVIDIA in datacenter GPUs (Ponte Vecchio) and AI accelerators (Habana Labs). Its strengths include integrated CPU-GPU solutions and manufacturing scale, but it lags in GPU architecture maturity. Intel's oneAPI aims to rival CUDA but lacks developer traction.
  • Qualcomm (QCOM): Qualcomm competes in automotive AI (Snapdragon Ride) and edge AI, with strengths in power efficiency and mobile ecosystems. However, it lacks NVIDIA's high-performance GPU expertise and datacenter presence.
  • Broadcom (AVGO): Broadcom's networking chips (e.g., Tomahawk) compete with NVIDIA's Mellanox in data center interconnects. Its strength lies in ASIC design for hyperscalers, but it lacks NVIDIA's end-to-end AI stack.
  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM): TSMC is NVIDIA's key foundry partner but also enables competitors (AMD, Intel) with advanced nodes. Its dominance in semiconductor manufacturing gives it pricing power, posing a supply chain risk to NVIDIA.
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