investorscraft@gmail.com

Stock Analysis & ValuationPlaza Retail REIT (PLZ-UN.TO)

Previous Close
$4.19
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)36.55772
Intrinsic value (DCF)1.35-68
Graham-Dodd Method1.83-56
Graham Formula3.23-23
Find stocks with the best potential

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Plaza Retail REIT (PLZ-UN.TO) is a leading Canadian real estate investment trust specializing in retail property ownership and development, with a strong focus on Ontario, Quebec, and Atlantic Canada. As of September 2020, Plaza's diversified portfolio includes interests in 272 properties, encompassing approximately 8.6 million square feet of retail space, along with additional lands earmarked for future development. The REIT primarily operates open-air shopping centers and stand-alone small-box retail outlets, predominantly leased to national tenants, ensuring stable cash flows. Plaza Retail REIT is well-positioned in the Canadian retail real estate market, benefiting from strategic geographic diversification and a tenant base that includes essential service providers, enhancing resilience against economic downturns. With a market capitalization of approximately CAD 417 million, Plaza offers investors exposure to a stable and income-generating asset class within the REIT - Retail sector.

Investment Summary

Plaza Retail REIT presents a compelling investment opportunity for income-focused investors, offering a dividend yield supported by a stable portfolio of retail properties. The REIT's focus on essential retail tenants and strategic geographic diversification across Ontario, Quebec, and Atlantic Canada provides resilience against economic volatility. However, investors should be mindful of the high total debt of CAD 657 million, which could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment. The REIT's beta of 0.95 suggests it is less volatile than the broader market, making it a relatively stable investment. With a diluted EPS of CAD 0.23 and a dividend payout ratio that appears sustainable, Plaza Retail REIT is attractive for those seeking steady income, though growth prospects may be limited by the mature nature of its portfolio.

Competitive Analysis

Plaza Retail REIT competes in the Canadian retail real estate market with a niche focus on open-air centers and small-box retail outlets, primarily in secondary markets. Its competitive advantage lies in its strategic geographic diversification and a tenant base dominated by national retailers, which ensures stable occupancy rates and rental income. The REIT's smaller scale compared to larger peers allows for more agile management and localized market expertise, particularly in Atlantic Canada where it has a strong presence. However, Plaza faces competition from larger REITs with greater financial resources and more extensive portfolios, which can leverage economies of scale for development and acquisitions. The REIT's focus on essential retail tenants, such as grocery stores and pharmacies, provides a defensive edge during economic downturns, but its limited exposure to high-growth urban markets may constrain long-term appreciation potential. Plaza's ability to maintain high occupancy rates and manage debt levels will be critical in sustaining its competitive position.

Major Competitors

  • CT REIT (CRT-UN.TO): CT REIT, backed by Canadian Tire, has a strong tenant base and a focus on large-format retail properties. Its affiliation with a major retailer provides stability, but its growth is heavily tied to Canadian Tire's expansion plans. Compared to Plaza, CT REIT has a more concentrated tenant risk but benefits from stronger financial backing.
  • SmartCentres REIT (SRU-UN.TO): SmartCentres REIT is one of Canada's largest retail REITs, with a portfolio heavily anchored by Walmart. Its scale and prime locations provide competitive advantages, but its reliance on a single anchor tenant poses concentration risks. Plaza's more diversified tenant base offers a contrast in risk profile.
  • RioCan REIT (REI-UN.TO): RioCan is a dominant player in the Canadian retail REIT space with a national portfolio and significant development capabilities. Its larger scale and urban focus provide growth opportunities, but Plaza's regional expertise in secondary markets allows it to carve out a niche with less competition.
  • NorthWest Healthcare Properties REIT (NWH-UN.TO): NorthWest Healthcare focuses on medical office and healthcare-related properties, offering a different risk-return profile compared to Plaza's retail-centric portfolio. While less directly competitive, NorthWest's defensive healthcare assets highlight Plaza's exposure to retail sector cyclicality.
HomeMenuAccount