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Stock Analysis & ValuationQualys, Inc. (QLYS)

Previous Close
$133.46
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)139.074
Intrinsic value (DCF)99.39-26
Graham-Dodd Method36.36-73
Graham Formula81.71-39
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Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Qualys, Inc. (NASDAQ: QLYS) is a leading provider of cloud-based IT security and compliance solutions, serving enterprises, government entities, and SMBs globally. Headquartered in Foster City, California, Qualys offers an integrated suite of security applications delivered via its Qualys Cloud Platform, enabling real-time vulnerability management, threat detection, compliance monitoring, and remediation. The company’s solutions—including Vulnerability Management, Web Application Firewall, and Cloud Security Assessment—help organizations safeguard IT assets, mitigate cyber risks, and meet regulatory requirements. Qualys operates in high-demand sectors such as finance, healthcare, government, and technology, capitalizing on the growing need for automated, scalable cybersecurity solutions. With a subscription-based revenue model and a strong partner network, Qualys is well-positioned in the $200B+ cybersecurity market, benefiting from increasing cloud adoption and regulatory pressures.

Investment Summary

Qualys presents a compelling investment case due to its strong profitability (net income of $173.7M in FY 2023), recurring revenue model, and leadership in cloud-native security. The company’s low beta (0.61) suggests defensive characteristics, while its robust operating cash flow ($244.1M) supports continued R&D and acquisitions. However, competition from larger players like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks poses a risk, and the lack of dividends may deter income-focused investors. With a market cap of $4.89B and a disciplined growth strategy, Qualys is well-suited for investors seeking exposure to the high-growth cybersecurity sector.

Competitive Analysis

Qualys competes in the crowded cloud security market by differentiating its unified platform, which consolidates vulnerability management, compliance, and threat detection into a single SaaS solution. Its competitive edge lies in agentless architecture, reducing deployment complexity, and a focus on automation, which appeals to resource-constrained IT teams. The company’s asset discovery and inventory capabilities are particularly strong, giving it an advantage in hybrid cloud environments. However, Qualys lags behind endpoint-focused rivals like CrowdStrike in behavioral threat detection and lacks the brand recognition of broader security suites like Palo Alto’s Prisma Cloud. Its partnerships with MSPs and resellers help penetrate mid-market segments, but larger enterprises often prefer integrated platforms from vendors with broader product portfolios. Qualys’ profitability (28.6% net margin) and capital efficiency (high FCF conversion) provide flexibility to invest in AI-driven features, a critical area for future differentiation.

Major Competitors

  • CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD): CrowdStrike dominates the endpoint detection and response (EDR) space with its AI-powered Falcon platform. Strengths include superior threat intelligence and rapid incident response, but it lacks Qualys’ depth in compliance and vulnerability scanning. CrowdStrike’s higher growth (35% YoY revenue increase in 2023) comes at the cost of profitability (negative net income).
  • Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW): Palo Alto offers Prisma Cloud, a broader suite competing with Qualys in cloud security posture management. Its strengths include firewall integration and brand recognition, but its platform is more complex and costly. Palo Alto’s scale ($6.9B revenue in 2023) allows for aggressive M&A, though Qualys maintains an edge in pure-play vulnerability assessment.
  • Tenable Holdings, Inc. (TENB): Tenable is Qualys’ closest pure-play competitor in vulnerability management, with strengths in operational technology (OT) security. However, Tenable’s lower profitability (negative operating margin in 2023) and heavier reliance on professional services make Qualys’ SaaS model more scalable.
  • Rapid7, Inc. (RPD): Rapid7 combines vulnerability management with SIEM and XDR capabilities, appealing to SOC teams. Its acquisition-focused strategy has led to integration challenges, whereas Qualys’ organic development ensures platform cohesion. Rapid7’s higher revenue growth (16% in 2023) is offset by weaker margins.
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