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Stock Analysis & ValuationTEGNA Inc. (TGNA)

Previous Close
$21.05
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)83.72298
Intrinsic value (DCF)5.22-75
Graham-Dodd Method10.49-50
Graham Formula51.44144
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Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

TEGNA Inc. (NYSE: TGNA) is a leading media company in the U.S., operating 64 television stations across 51 markets. Specializing in news, digital content, and advertising solutions, TEGNA delivers programming through broadcast, online, mobile, and social platforms. The company owns and operates multicast networks like True Crime Network, Quest, and Twist, catering to niche audiences with on-demand and original content. Additionally, TEGNA’s VAULT Studios produces true crime and investigative podcasts and TV programs, while its TEGNA Marketing Solutions (TMS) provides cross-platform advertising solutions, including the Premion OTT advertising network. Founded in 1906 and headquartered in Tysons, Virginia, TEGNA has evolved from its legacy as Gannett Co. into a modern, diversified media player. With a strong focus on local news and digital expansion, TEGNA remains a key player in the broadcasting sector, balancing traditional TV revenue with growing digital and OTT opportunities.

Investment Summary

TEGNA presents a mixed investment case. On the positive side, the company benefits from stable cash flows driven by its local broadcasting operations and growing digital advertising revenue through Premion. Its diversified content strategy, including true crime and multicast networks, provides additional monetization avenues. However, TEGNA faces risks from cord-cutting trends, regulatory pressures in the broadcasting industry, and high leverage (total debt of ~$3.14B against a market cap of ~$2.67B). While its beta of 0.325 suggests lower volatility, the dividend yield (~1.9% at a $0.50 annual payout) is modest. Investors should weigh its strong free cash flow generation (~$632M in FY 2024E) against industry headwinds and debt levels.

Competitive Analysis

TEGNA’s competitive advantage lies in its extensive local broadcasting footprint and digital transformation efforts. Its 64 TV stations provide scale in local news, a sticky revenue source despite cord-cutting. The company’s investment in multicast networks (True Crime, Quest) and VAULT Studios differentiates it from pure-play broadcasters by tapping into growing demand for niche and true crime content. TEGNA Marketing Solutions, particularly Premion, positions it well in the high-growth OTT advertising space. However, TEGNA lacks the national scale of major media conglomerates and relies heavily on advertising cycles. Its debt load (~1.2x revenue) limits flexibility compared to peers with stronger balance sheets. While TEGNA’s local focus insulates it somewhat from streaming competition, it must continue pivoting to digital to offset linear TV declines. The company’s ability to monetize digital content and maintain political/advertising revenue cyclicality will be critical to its long-term positioning.

Major Competitors

  • Nexstar Media Group (NEXA): Nexstar is the largest local TV station owner in the U.S. (200+ stations), giving it greater scale and bargaining power with advertisers and affiliates compared to TEGNA. Its ownership of The CW Network provides national content synergies, but its heavy reliance on traditional broadcasting exposes it to similar cord-cutting risks. Nexstar’s larger size allows for cost efficiencies, but TEGNA’s digital ventures (e.g., Premion) are more advanced.
  • E.W. Scripps Company (SSP): Scripps operates 61 local stations and focuses on news and investigative content, similar to TEGNA. Its ownership of networks like Ion Television and Bounce TV provides multicast revenue streams. However, Scripps has a weaker digital advertising footprint compared to TEGNA’s Premion, and its smaller scale limits margins. Both companies face high leverage, but TEGNA’s revenue diversification is stronger.
  • Gray Television (GRAY): Gray Television owns 180+ stations but is more concentrated in smaller markets vs. TEGNA’s mid-sized focus. Gray’s recent acquisitions (e.g., Quincy Media) expanded its reach, but its lack of a significant digital ad platform like Premion puts it at a disadvantage. Gray’s aggressive M&A strategy has also led to elevated debt levels, mirroring TEGNA’s challenges.
  • Fox Corporation (FOXA): Fox’s national scale and ownership of Fox News, Fox Sports, and Tubi (OTT) make it a formidable competitor in news and advertising. However, TEGNA’s local news dominance in key markets provides a defensive moat. Fox’s broader portfolio diversifies its revenue streams, but TEGNA’s Premion competes directly with Tubi in the OTT ad space.
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