US · TREX
Trex Company, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Construction
- Headquarters
- Winchester, VA 22603-8605
- Website
- trex.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$38.79
Market cap 4.44B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $41.44 | +6.83% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $17.86 | -53.96% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $18.43 | -52.49% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $17.87 | -53.93% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $3.41 | $25.58 | $0.00 | $0.20 | $0.68 |
| 2012 | $6.36 | $40.20 | $0.00 | $0.83 | $0.48 |
| 2013 | $9.50 | $33.34 | $0.00 | $2.00 | $4.90 |
| 2014 | $12.15 | $33.70 | $9.59 | $2.40 | $7.04 |
| 2015 | $10.67 | $33.16 | $25.52 | $2.76 | $7.74 |
| 2016 | $17.70 | $35.80 | $26.31 | $3.94 | $9.55 |
| 2017 | $26.92 | $41.90 | $41.59 | $5.43 | $20.36 |
| 2018 | $35.26 | $47.07 | $53.64 | $8.06 | $32.32 |
| 2019 | $51.54 | $52.93 | $39.91 | $9.46 | $20.73 |
| 2020 | $96.16 | $72.36 | $40.59 | $12.07 | $38.70 |
| 2021 | $74.04 | $66.31 | $127.13 | $15.20 | $76.61 |
| 2022 | $48.82 | $47.34 | $27.14 | $12.78 | $1.42 |
| 2023 | $94.90 | $70.31 | $6.37 | $15.91 | $13.56 |
| 2024 | $56.19 | $54.25 | $5.26 | $18.19 | $27.42 |
| 2025 | $40.68 | $41.44 | $2.66 | $18.43 | $17.87 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Trex Company, Inc.'s (TREX) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $41.44
- Current price
- $38.79
- AI upside
- +6.83%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$17.86
-53.96% upside
Graham-Dodd
$18.43
-52.49% upside
Graham Formula
$17.87
-53.93% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TREX | Trex Company, Inc. | $38.79 | 4.44B | +7% | -54% | -52% | -54% | 22.86 | 4.21 | 3.71 | 14.27 | — | 4.34 | 39.17% | 21.97% | 16.22% | 20.21% | 16.11% | 13.53% | 0.22 | — | 1.24 | 0.22 | 0.70 | -1483.00% | 198.00% | -24510.00% | 3.09% | 1.43 | 11.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.91% | 17.75 | 34.04 | 3.90 | 8.81 |
| ACA | Arcosa, Inc. | $107.48 | 5.27B | -29% | -60% | -59% | -22% | 25.54 | 2.03 | 1.85 | 11.57 | 20.94 | 5.53 | 22.45% | 11.80% | 7.23% | 8.25% | 7.41% | 4.26% | 0.58 | 3.13 | 2.20 | 1.26 | 2.28 | 12199.00% | 1220.00% | -4380.00% | 3.30% | 0.68 | 4.43% | 0.19% | 4.80% | 5.25% | 19.50 | 37.78 | 2.30 | 2.66 |
| BZ | Kanzhun Limited | $16.08 | 7.41B | +20% | +29% | -56% | -5% | 36.32 | 3.83 | 7.74 | 22.88 | 82.83 | 3.90 | 83.15% | 15.95% | 21.54% | 11.08% | 155.73% | 8.41% | 0.02 | — | 3.60 | 3.55 | -1.21 | 4385.00% | 2358.00% | 2845.00% | 4.72% | 0.85 | 417.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.00% | 36.27 | 15.84 | 5.78 | 9.05 |
| CPA | Copa Holdings, S.A. | $138.61 | 5.72B | +35% | +94% | -62% | +52% | 8.11 | 1.96 | 1.51 | 5.63 | 68.20 | 2.04 | 31.65% | 22.64% | 18.56% | 26.09% | 19.77% | 10.90% | 0.92 | 8.32 | 1.23 | 1.07 | 1.84 | 1189.00% | 498.00% | -953.00% | 5.66% | 0.78 | 8.59% | 4.88% | 39.60% | 5.04% | 8.15 | 21.66 | 1.84 | 2.48 |
| ECG | Everus Construction Group… | $120.87 | 6.17B | -29% | +1,098% | -76% | +25% | 30.18 | 9.67 | 1.63 | 18.58 | 74.40 | 12.52 | 12.12% | 7.07% | 5.39% | 38.34% | 30.82% | 13.37% | 0.17 | 12.34 | 1.76 | 1.28 | -0.20 | 4057.00% | 3147.00% | -2180.00% | 1.48% | 0.21 | 14.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.62% | 22.76 | 66.94 | 1.61 | 6.78 |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovation… | $54.34 | 6.53B | -9% | -61% | -99% | -77% | 21.24 | 2.66 | 1.42 | 12.41 | — | -7.47 | 44.83% | 11.56% | 6.69% | 12.42% | 7.99% | 4.57% | 1.07 | 4.48 | 1.84 | 0.73 | 3.28 | -3413.00% | -316.00% | -2270.00% | 5.78% | 0.45 | 7.69% | 1.90% | 40.40% | 8.39% | 16.72 | 23.52 | 1.93 | 2.03 |
| GVA | Granite Construction Inco… | $134.46 | 5.87B | -52% | +130% | -76% | -41% | 30.27 | 4.95 | 1.32 | 16.17 | 78.52 | 9.76 | 16.07% | 6.38% | 4.36% | 17.59% | 12.97% | 5.47% | 1.38 | 5.98 | 1.22 | 0.99 | 2.58 | 3855.00% | 1040.00% | 335.00% | 5.66% | 0.32 | 19.90% | 0.39% | 11.80% | 1.21% | 24.31 | 20.76 | 1.55 | 2.94 |
| KBR | KBR, Inc. | $42.23 | 5.36B | -7% | -55% | — | -34% | 13.30 | 3.57 | 0.69 | 8.17 | 90.83 | -2.82 | 14.77% | 7.30% | 5.33% | 27.27% | 10.71% | 6.08% | 1.88 | 3.59 | 1.22 | 0.94 | 2.48 | 1464.00% | 57.00% | 3377.00% | 9.61% | 0.33 | 13.02% | 1.57% | 20.80% | 13.15% | 13.54 | 14.94 | 0.99 | 2.53 |
| POWL | Powell Industries, Inc. | $523.60 | 6.36B | -63% | +28% | -79% | -52% | 22.82 | 6.44 | 3.74 | 15.16 | 109.13 | 6.56 | 29.37% | 19.73% | 16.37% | 32.17% | 115.17% | 17.74% | 0.00 | — | 2.09 | 1.86 | -1.86 | 2091.00% | 908.00% | 6011.00% | 3.75% | 0.38 | 105.73% | 0.31% | 7.10% | 3.88% | 16.76 | 23.59 | 3.31 | 8.25 |
| RAL | Ralliant Corp. | $45.89 | 5.18B | -19% | -55% | — | — | -4.31 | 3.23 | 2.55 | -5.71 | — | -6.33 | 50.29% | 12.45% | -58.50% | -45.30% | 8.14% | -28.63% | 0.70 | 7.98 | 0.84 | 0.52 | -0.78 | -50224.00% | -399.00% | -1471.00% | 6.80% | 0.34 | 11.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 23.68 | 17.02 | 2.95 | 2.15 |
| TKR | The Timken Company | $108.38 | 7.54B | -29% | -59% | -78% | -68% | 26.61 | 2.41 | 1.67 | 12.66 | — | 11.03 | 28.68% | 12.35% | 6.29% | 9.60% | 8.94% | 4.41% | 0.68 | 5.13 | 2.82 | 1.32 | 2.40 | -1764.00% | 19.00% | 3284.00% | 5.29% | 0.60 | 8.41% | 1.28% | 34.10% | 3.30% | 16.69 | 23.25 | 2.06 | 3.21 |
About Trex Company, Inc.
Trex Company, Inc. manufactures and distributes decking, railing, and outdoor living products and accessories for residential and commercial markets in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Trex Residential and Trex Commercial. It offers decking products under the names Trex Transcend, Trex Select, and Trex Enhance for protection against fading, staining, mold, and scratching; Trex Hideaway, a hidden fastening system; and Trex DeckLighting, a LED dimmable deck lighting for use on posts, floors, and steps. The company also provides Trex Transcend Railing products that are used in Trex decking products and other decking materials; Trex Select Railing products for a simple clean finished look; Trex Enhance Railing system; and Trex Signature aluminum railing for a contemporary look. In addition, it offers Trex Seclusions, a fencing product that includes structural posts, bottom and top rails, pickets, and decorative post caps. In addition, it designs, engineers, and markets architectural and aluminum railing systems, and staging equipment and accessories for the commercial market, as well as sports stadiums and performing arts venues. Further, the company acts as a licensor in various licensing agreements with third parties to manufacture and sell products under the Trex name, including Trex Outdoor Furniture; Trex RainEscape, an above joist deck drainage system; Trex Pergola, a cellular PVC product; Trex Latticeworks outdoor lattice boards; Trex Cornhole boards; Diablo Trex Blade, a saw blade for wood-alternative composite decking; Trex SpiralStairs and structural steel posts; and Trex Outdoor Kitchens, Cabinetry, and Storage products. It sells its products through wholesale distributors, retail lumber dealers, and Home Depot and Lowe's stores, as well as through its direct sales staff, independent sales representatives, and bidding on projects. Trex Company, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Winchester, Virginia.
- CEO
- Bryan Horix Fairbanks
- Employees
- 1.84K
- Beta
- 1.59
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($17.86 ÷ $38.79) − 1 = -53.96% (DCF, example).