investorscraft@gmail.com

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG)

Previous Close
$263.22
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)102.16-61
Intrinsic value (DCF)490.6686
Graham-Dodd Method181.35-31
Graham Formula510.8794

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (NYSE: ABG) is a leading automotive retailer in the U.S., operating 155 dealership locations and 35 collision centers as of December 2021. The company offers a comprehensive suite of automotive services, including new and used vehicle sales, repair and maintenance, replacement parts, and collision repair. Additionally, ABG provides finance and insurance products such as extended service contracts, prepaid maintenance, and third-party vehicle financing. With a portfolio of 205 new vehicle franchises representing 31 brands, Asbury Automotive serves a broad customer base across the U.S. Headquartered in Duluth, Georgia, the company has established itself as a key player in the consumer cyclical sector, capitalizing on strong brand partnerships and a diversified revenue model. The auto dealership industry remains highly competitive, but ABG’s scale, digital retailing initiatives (like its Clicklane platform), and focus on high-margin aftermarket services position it for sustained growth.

Investment Summary

Asbury Automotive Group presents a compelling investment case due to its diversified revenue streams, strong brand partnerships, and focus on high-margin aftermarket services. The company’s $17.2B revenue (FY 2023) and $430M net income reflect operational efficiency in a cyclical industry. However, risks include high leverage (total debt of $5.28B) and exposure to macroeconomic headwinds such as rising interest rates and fluctuating vehicle demand. ABG’s zero dividend policy may deter income-focused investors, but its growth initiatives—including acquisitions and digital retail expansion—could drive long-term shareholder value. The stock’s beta of 0.98 suggests moderate volatility relative to the market, making it a balanced play in the auto retail space.

Competitive Analysis

Asbury Automotive Group competes in the fragmented U.S. auto dealership industry, where scale and brand diversification are critical. Its competitive advantages include a broad geographic footprint, strong OEM relationships (31 brands), and a growing digital retail platform (Clicklane), which enhances customer convenience and operational efficiency. The company’s focus on higher-margin F&I (finance and insurance) and aftermarket services (21% of gross profit in 2023) differentiates it from peers reliant solely on vehicle sales. However, ABG faces intense competition from larger rivals like AutoNation and Lithia Motors, which have greater scale and acquisition firepower. While ABG’s debt load is elevated, its strategic acquisitions (e.g., Larry H. Miller Dealerships) bolster market share. The company’s ability to integrate acquisitions and optimize digital retailing will be key to maintaining its mid-tier position in the industry.

Major Competitors

  • AutoNation, Inc. (AN): AutoNation is the largest U.S. auto retailer by revenue, with a nationwide footprint and strong brand recognition. Its scale allows for cost efficiencies, but its reliance on traditional dealership models contrasts with ABG’s digital push. AN’s higher debt-to-equity ratio (1.5x vs. ABG’s 1.2x) is a concern.
  • Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD): Lithia Motors is a rapidly growing competitor with a decentralized acquisition strategy. Its aggressive expansion (including international markets) outpaces ABG, but integration risks persist. LAD’s focus on used vehicles and digital retailing (Driveway) mirrors ABG’s Clicklane, creating direct competition.
  • Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG): Penske operates a diversified auto retail and commercial truck dealership network. Its premium brand focus (e.g., BMW, Mercedes-Benz) yields higher margins but limits volume growth compared to ABG’s mass-market mix. PAG’s international presence provides geographic diversification ABG lacks.
  • Sonic Automotive, Inc. (SAH): Sonic’s EchoPark used-vehicle segment competes with ABG’s pre-owned sales, but SAH’s smaller scale and inconsistent profitability are drawbacks. ABG’s stronger F&I performance and collision center network give it an edge in aftermarket revenue.
HomeMenuAccount