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Associated Banc-Corp (ASB)

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$25.54
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)24.01-6
Intrinsic value (DCF)25.580
Graham-Dodd Method12.22-52
Graham Formula7.37-71

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Associated Banc-Corp (NYSE: ASB) is a leading regional bank holding company serving customers across Wisconsin, Illinois, and Minnesota. Founded in 1861 and headquartered in Green Bay, Wisconsin, the company operates through three core segments: Corporate and Commercial Specialty, Community, Consumer, and Business, and Risk Management and Shared Services. ASB provides a comprehensive suite of banking and financial services, including commercial and retail lending, deposit solutions, wealth management, and treasury services. With 215 branches as of 2021, the bank focuses on delivering tailored financial solutions to individuals, small businesses, and corporate clients. As a key player in the Midwest banking sector, Associated Banc-Corp benefits from its deep regional roots, diversified revenue streams, and a strong commitment to community banking. The company’s strategic positioning in stable Midwestern markets enhances its resilience against economic fluctuations, making it a relevant player in the regional banking industry.

Investment Summary

Associated Banc-Corp presents a stable investment opportunity within the regional banking sector, supported by its diversified business model and strong Midwest presence. The company’s low beta (0.774) suggests lower volatility compared to broader markets, appealing to risk-averse investors. However, its net income of $123M (2021) and diluted EPS of $0.72 reflect modest profitability, which may lag behind larger peers. The dividend yield (~3.5% based on a $0.90/share payout) adds income appeal, but investors should monitor rising interest rate risks and competitive pressures in the regional banking space. ASB’s focus on commercial lending and community banking provides stability, but growth may be constrained by its geographic concentration.

Competitive Analysis

Associated Banc-Corp’s competitive advantage lies in its entrenched regional presence and diversified service offerings, which cater to both retail and commercial clients. The bank’s Corporate and Commercial Specialty segment provides high-margin services like commercial real estate financing and treasury management, differentiating it from smaller community banks. However, ASB faces intense competition from larger national banks (e.g., U.S. Bancorp) with greater scale and digital capabilities, as well as agile fintech disruptors. Its Community, Consumer, and Business segment competes with local credit unions and smaller regional banks, where personalized service is critical. ASB’s risk management focus and conservative lending practices bolster its stability but may limit aggressive growth. The bank’s $3.8B market cap positions it as a mid-tier regional player, requiring strategic investments in technology and customer experience to maintain competitiveness against both scale-driven and niche rivals.

Major Competitors

  • U.S. Bancorp (USB): U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB) is a dominant national competitor with a broader geographic footprint and superior digital banking capabilities. Its scale allows for cost efficiencies and a wider product suite, but ASB’s localized focus may offer better customer relationships in the Midwest.
  • Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB): Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ: FITB) overlaps with ASB in Midwest markets and excels in commercial banking. Its larger balance sheet provides competitive lending rates, though ASB’s community-centric approach may resonate more with local businesses.
  • Huntington Bancshares (HBAN): Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ: HBAN) is another Midwest-focused rival with strong retail banking and a growing digital platform. ASB’s smaller size allows for niche customization, but Huntington’s brand recognition and deposit base pose challenges.
  • Bank of Montreal (U.S. Operations) (BMO): Bank of Montreal’s U.S. operations compete in ASB’s markets, leveraging cross-border capabilities. ASB’s regional expertise provides an edge in local commercial lending, but BMO’s international reach attracts larger corporate clients.
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