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Bally's Corporation (BALY)

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$10.97
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)n/an/a
Intrinsic value (DCF)0.00-100
Graham-Dodd Methodn/a
Graham Formulan/a

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Bally’s Corporation (NYSE: BALY) is a rapidly expanding global casino-entertainment company with a diversified omni-channel presence. The company owns and operates 15 casinos across 10 U.S. states, a golf course in New York, a horse racetrack in Colorado, and holds online sports betting (OSB) licenses in 18 states. Its recent acquisition of Aspers Casino in the UK strengthens its international footprint. Bally’s Interactive International, formerly Gamesys Group, is a leading global interactive gaming operator, while Bally Bet and Bally Casino enhance its digital gaming and sports betting platforms. With over 10,600 employees, Bally’s operates approximately 15,300 slot machines, 580 table games, and 3,800 hotel rooms. The company also holds development rights in Las Vegas following the closure of the Tropicana. A pending merger with The Queen Casino & Entertainment will add four more casinos, expanding into Iowa and increasing its workforce by 900 employees. Additionally, Bally’s will gain a significant stake in Intralot S.A., a global lottery management firm. Positioned in the high-growth gambling and resorts sector, Bally’s leverages both physical and digital gaming to drive revenue.

Investment Summary

Bally’s Corporation presents a high-risk, high-reward investment opportunity in the casino and online gaming sector. The company’s aggressive expansion, including acquisitions and digital platform growth, positions it for long-term revenue diversification. However, its high beta (3.07) reflects significant volatility, and its negative net income (-$567.8M) and EPS (-$11.71 diluted) raise concerns about profitability. The heavy debt load ($4.94B) could strain liquidity, though operating cash flow ($114M) provides some cushion. Investors should weigh its growth potential against financial risks, particularly in a cyclical industry sensitive to economic downturns. The lack of dividends may deter income-focused investors, but strategic mergers and digital expansion could unlock value for growth-oriented portfolios.

Competitive Analysis

Bally’s Corporation competes in the highly fragmented casino and online gaming industry, leveraging a hybrid land-based and digital strategy. Its acquisition of Gamesys Group (now Bally’s Interactive) strengthens its iGaming and sports betting capabilities, positioning it against pure-play digital operators like DraftKings and Penn National’s Barstool Sportsbook. The company’s physical casino footprint provides stable cash flows, but regional competitors like Boyd Gaming and Caesars Entertainment dominate key markets. Bally’s expansion into the UK via Aspers Casino diversifies revenue but faces stiff competition from entrenched players like Entain and Flutter Entertainment. The pending Queen merger enhances its U.S. regional presence, though scale remains a challenge against giants like MGM Resorts. Bally’s digital growth is promising, but profitability lags behind rivals due to high customer acquisition costs. Its high debt could limit flexibility in a capital-intensive industry. Competitive advantages include a diversified asset base and omni-channel integration, but execution risks in mergers and digital scaling remain key challenges.

Major Competitors

  • Caesars Entertainment (CZR): Caesars dominates the U.S. casino market with a vast portfolio of resorts and a strong digital presence via Caesars Sportsbook. Its loyalty program and brand recognition give it an edge over Bally’s, but higher leverage ratios pose financial risks.
  • MGM Resorts International (MGM): MGM leads in luxury resorts and has a robust digital arm with BetMGM. Its scale and partnerships (e.g., with Entain) outpace Bally’s, though regional focus limits its reach compared to Bally’s broader state footprint.
  • Penn National Gaming (PENN): Penn National’s Barstool Sportsbook and regional casino network rival Bally’s digital and land-based mix. Its media integration is a strength, but Bally’s UK expansion offers geographic diversification Penn lacks.
  • Boyd Gaming (BYD): Boyd excels in regional casinos with lower leverage than Bally’s. Its conservative growth strategy contrasts with Bally’s aggressive M&A, but Boyd’s profitability is more stable.
  • DraftKings (DKNG): DraftKings is a pure-play digital sports betting leader with superior tech and market share. Bally’s hybrid model offers stability, but DraftKings’ growth rates and brand loyalty pose a challenge in the online segment.
  • Entain Plc (ENT): Entain’s global iGaming dominance (via brands like Ladbrokes) surpasses Bally’s digital reach. However, Bally’s U.S. casino assets provide a hedge against regulatory risks Entain faces in Europe.
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