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IDACORP, Inc. (IDA)

Previous Close
$117.58
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)89.91-24
Intrinsic value (DCF)10.99-91
Graham-Dodd Method40.51-66
Graham Formula62.65-47

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

IDACORP, Inc. (NYSE: IDA) is a leading regulated electric utility company serving approximately 604,000 retail customers in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon. Founded in 1915 and headquartered in Boise, Idaho, the company operates a diversified energy portfolio, including 17 hydropower plants, three natural gas-fired plants, and interests in two coal-fired plants. With a robust infrastructure of over 4,800 pole-miles of high-voltage transmission lines and 28,500 pole-miles of distribution lines, IDACORP ensures reliable energy delivery to commercial, industrial, and residential customers. The company serves key sectors such as food processing, manufacturing, agriculture, healthcare, and government. Additionally, IDACORP invests in housing and real estate tax credit projects, diversifying its revenue streams. As a stable player in the Utilities sector, IDACORP benefits from predictable cash flows and a regulated business model, making it a resilient investment in the energy market.

Investment Summary

IDACORP presents a stable investment opportunity within the regulated utilities sector, characterized by predictable cash flows and a low beta of 0.579, indicating lower volatility compared to the broader market. The company’s diversified energy generation mix, including hydropower and natural gas, provides operational resilience. However, risks include regulatory scrutiny, exposure to coal-fired plants amid the energy transition, and high total debt of $3.07 billion. The dividend yield, supported by a $3.41 per share payout, may appeal to income-focused investors, but future growth could be constrained by capital-intensive infrastructure needs and evolving energy policies.

Competitive Analysis

IDACORP’s competitive advantage lies in its regulated utility status, which ensures stable revenue through approved rate structures and a monopoly in its service territories. Its hydropower assets provide low-cost, renewable energy, enhancing sustainability credentials. However, the company faces competition from other regional utilities and renewable energy providers pushing for grid modernization. IDACORP’s reliance on coal-fired plants (albeit partial) could pose long-term risks as decarbonization pressures mount. Its geographic concentration in Idaho and Oregon limits diversification but also reduces exposure to extreme weather risks affecting other regions. The company’s investment in tax credit projects adds a non-core revenue stream but does not significantly offset its utility-focused earnings. Compared to peers, IDACORP’s smaller scale may limit its ability to fund large-scale renewable projects independently, potentially requiring partnerships or regulatory support for future growth.

Major Competitors

  • Portland General Electric Company (POR): Portland General Electric (PGE) operates in Oregon, overlapping with IDACORP’s service area. PGE has a stronger focus on renewables, with wind and solar assets, but faces higher regulatory risks due to aggressive state decarbonization targets. Its larger customer base provides economies of scale, but wildfire liabilities in Oregon pose operational risks.
  • Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW): Parent company of Arizona Public Service (APS), Pinnacle West serves a high-growth region with greater solar energy exposure. Its larger market cap and renewable investments give it an edge in the energy transition, but IDACORP’s hydropower assets offer more stable generation costs compared to Pinnacle’s solar-dependent portfolio.
  • Avista Corporation (AVA): Avista serves the Pacific Northwest and competes indirectly with IDACORP. Its balanced mix of hydro, thermal, and wind energy aligns with regional sustainability goals. However, Avista’s smaller scale and exposure to volatile natural gas prices may limit its margin stability compared to IDACORP’s regulated operations.
  • OGE Energy Corp. (OGE): OGE Energy operates in Oklahoma and Arkansas, with a focus on natural gas and wind. Its unregulated midstream business (Enable Midstream) adds volatility, unlike IDACORP’s pure-play utility model. OGE’s lower dividend yield may make it less attractive to income investors compared to IDACORP.
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