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The Macerich Company (MAC)

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$16.41
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)20.8427
Intrinsic value (DCF)0.77-95
Graham-Dodd Methodn/a
Graham Formulan/a

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

The Macerich Company (NYSE: MAC) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership, leasing, management, and redevelopment of high-quality regional shopping centers across the United States. With a portfolio of 47 properties spanning 51 million square feet, Macerich focuses on densely populated, high-traffic markets, including the West Coast, Arizona, Chicago, and the Metro New York to Washington, DC corridor. The company is renowned for its sustainability leadership, earning the #1 GRESB ranking in the North American Retail Sector for five consecutive years (2015-2019). As a fully integrated REIT, Macerich operates in the competitive retail real estate sector, emphasizing premium mall experiences and strategic redevelopment to adapt to evolving consumer trends. Its properties serve as key retail and lifestyle destinations, positioning Macerich as a critical player in the future of mixed-use and experiential retail spaces.

Investment Summary

Macerich presents a high-risk, high-reward investment opportunity in the retail REIT sector. The company’s strong portfolio of well-located regional malls and sustainability leadership are offset by significant financial challenges, including negative net income (-$194.1M in the latest fiscal year) and high leverage (total debt of $5.06B). The retail real estate market remains volatile, with e-commerce pressure and shifting consumer behaviors impacting foot traffic. However, Macerich’s focus on redevelopment and premium properties in affluent markets could position it for long-term recovery. Investors should weigh its 2.112 beta (indicating high volatility) and modest dividend yield ($0.51 per share) against potential upside from a retail resurgence. The stock may appeal to contrarian investors betting on a mall rebound, but caution is warranted given its debt load and sector headwinds.

Competitive Analysis

Macerich competes in the retail REIT sector by focusing on high-quality, densely populated markets where its properties serve as dominant shopping destinations. Its competitive advantage lies in its premium mall portfolio, sustainability leadership, and strategic redevelopment initiatives aimed at enhancing tenant mix and consumer experience. However, the company faces intense competition from other retail REITs, many of which have stronger balance sheets and more diversified asset bases. Macerich’s high leverage (debt-to-equity concerns) and exposure to traditional mall formats—a segment under pressure from e-commerce—pose risks. Its regional concentration (West Coast and Northeast) also limits geographic diversification compared to peers with nationwide footprints. The company’s ability to attract high-end tenants and reinvest in properties (e.g., adding mixed-use components) is critical to maintaining occupancy and rental income. While Macerich’s GRESB accolades highlight its ESG strengths, operational execution and debt management will determine its long-term competitiveness in a challenging sector.

Major Competitors

  • Simon Property Group (SPG): Simon Property Group is the largest retail REIT in the U.S., with a diversified portfolio of premium outlets, malls, and mixed-use developments. Its scale, strong balance sheet, and international presence give it an edge over Macerich. However, Simon’s broader exposure to traditional malls also leaves it vulnerable to sector-wide pressures. Its financial flexibility allows for aggressive redevelopment, a key advantage.
  • Taubman Centers (TCO): Taubman Centers (now privately held after acquisition by Simon) specialized in luxury and high-end malls, similar to Macerich’s focus on affluent markets. Its properties were often more upscale, but its smaller scale and eventual privatization highlight the challenges mid-tier retail REITs face in competing independently.
  • Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT): Federal Realty focuses on grocery-anchored, open-air shopping centers in urban markets, a less mall-dependent model than Macerich. Its stable tenant base and lower leverage make it a less risky retail REIT, though its growth potential may be more limited compared to Macerich’s redevelopment opportunities.
  • Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM): Kimco specializes in strip centers and grocery-anchored retail, offering a more defensive portfolio than Macerich’s malls. Its lower leverage and focus on essentials-based tenants provide stability, but it lacks Macerich’s high-end mall appeal and redevelopment upside.
  • Regency Centers (REG): Regency Centers operates high-quality, grocery-anchored shopping centers, competing indirectly with Macerich for tenant demand. Its focus on suburban markets and strong occupancy rates contrast with Macerich’s urban mall strategy. Regency’s lower-risk profile appeals to conservative investors, but it lacks Macerich’s potential for transformative redevelopments.
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